Hearts 3–1 St Mirren
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
1.80
fair 2.08
Draw
3.75
fair 4.14
Away
4.20
fair 3.61
Under 2.5
1.82
fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓
1.92
fair 1.82
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hearts
St Mirren
10
Shots
11
6
Shots on target
3
5
Corners
6
8
Fouls
16
0
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (163 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.75
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
48%
24%
28%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
45%
55%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
43%
57%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
17%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3%
2–1 9.5%
1–0 9.4%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.37scored / match
1.37conceded / match
9
6
12
WonDrawnLost
27 played · 37:37
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.19scored / match
1.44conceded / match
10
4
13
WonDrawnLost
27 played · 32:39
Hearts all matches
all matches St Mirren
Per match
1.37
Goals scored
1.19
1.37
Goals conceded
1.44
2.74
Total goals
2.63
13.19
Shots
11.11
4.30
Shots on target
3.74
10.96
Shots faced
12.26
6.48
Corners
4.48
4.67
Corners against
5.37
10.93
Fouls
13.00
2.04
Yellow cards
2.37
0.56
1st-half goals scored
0.70
0.48
1st-half goals conceded
0.56
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
37%
22%
Draws
15%
44%
Losses
48%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
93%
74%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
56%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
33%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
15%
Over 4.5 goals
4%
4%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
59%
Both teams scored
48%
26%
Clean sheets
19%
22%
Failed to score
41%
How often Half Time
37%
Wins
33%
33%
Draws
48%
30%
Losses
19%
74%
Over 0.5 goals
67%
22%
Over 1.5 goals
44%
7%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts all matches
2
1
W
1
2
L
2
2
D
1
W
1
W
D
3
2
W
6
W
1
3
L
2
1
W
St Mirren all matches
2
1
W
2
1
W
1
2
L
2
L
3
L
1
L
3
W
1
L
D
2
W
Hearts
before this match, at home
1.38points / match
1.38scored / match
1.31conceded / match
5
3
5
WonDrawnLost
13 played · 18:17
St Mirren
before this match, away
1.23points / match
1.31scored / match
1.85conceded / match
5
1
7
WonDrawnLost
13 played · 17:24
Hearts at home
away St Mirren
Per match
1.38
Goals scored
1.31
1.31
Goals conceded
1.85
2.69
Total goals
3.15
15.46
Shots
9.92
5.15
Shots on target
3.77
10.38
Shots faced
12.92
7.00
Corners
3.54
4.62
Corners against
5.54
10.46
Fouls
14.23
1.62
Yellow cards
2.62
0.62
1st-half goals scored
0.85
0.31
1st-half goals conceded
0.69
How often Full Time
38%
Wins
38%
23%
Draws
8%
38%
Losses
54%
92%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
77%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
54%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
31%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
15%
Over 4.5 goals
8%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
62%
Both teams scored
54%
31%
Clean sheets
15%
15%
Failed to score
31%
How often Half Time
46%
Wins
38%
31%
Draws
31%
23%
Losses
31%
77%
Over 0.5 goals
85%
15%
Over 1.5 goals
54%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts at home
4
W
1
2
L
1
4
L
1
1
D
2
W
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
W
3
2
W
1
3
L
St Mirren away
4
L
1
2
L
2
1
W
2
L
3
2
W
2
1
W
2
L
3
L
3
W
2
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.02.25 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 16.02.25 | Hearts – Rangers | 1–3 (0–1) | 4.75 | 3.75 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 01.02.25 | Dundee – Hearts | 0–6 (0–2) | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 25.01.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 12.01.25 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 05.01.25 | Dundee United – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 02.01.25 | Hearts – Motherwell | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 29.12.24 | Ross County – Hearts | 2–2 (0–1) | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 26.12.24 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 22.12.24 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.02.25 | Rangers – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 1.18 | 6.50 | 15.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 16.02.25 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.02.25 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 25.01.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 11.01.25 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 05.01.25 | Celtic – St Mirren | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.11 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 02.01.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 29.12.24 | St Mirren – Dundee | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 26.12.24 | St Mirren – Rangers | 2–1 (1–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 21.12.24 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.02.25 | Hearts – Rangers | 1–3 (0–1) | 4.75 | 3.75 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 25.01.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 02.01.25 | Hearts – Motherwell | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 26.12.24 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 22.12.24 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 07.12.24 | Hearts – Dundee | 2–0 (2–0) | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 01.12.24 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 23.11.24 | Hearts – Celtic | 1–4 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 30.10.24 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 19.10.24 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
St Mirren away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.02.25 | Rangers – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 1.18 | 6.50 | 15.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 25.01.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 05.01.25 | Celtic – St Mirren | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.11 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 02.01.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 21.12.24 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 14.12.24 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 2–3 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.11.24 | Dundee United – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 09.11.24 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–2) | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 27.10.24 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.22 | 6.25 | 11.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 |
| 19.10.24 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
7 3 3
Hearts winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
13matches
2.54goals / match
46%over 2.5
46%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.24SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 21.09.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 15.05.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.04.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 23.12.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.09.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.05.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 82 | 15 | +67 | 72 |
| 2 | Rangers | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 22 | +32 | 56 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 41 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 40 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | +1 | 37 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 34 |
| 7 | Hearts | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Ross County | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 31 |
| 11 | Dundee | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 27 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 21 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 3 | +45 | 40 |
| 2 | Rangers | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 6 | +29 | 37 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 7 | Hearts | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 | Ross County | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | +22 | 32 |
| 2 | Rangers | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 19 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
| 5 | Hearts | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Aberdeen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 15 |
| 7 | Ross County | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 15 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 13 |
| 10 | Dundee | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 12 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 9 |
Hearts St Mirren
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 28 | 7 | 21 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 82 | 15 | 72 |
| 2 | 11 | Dundee | 27 | 7 | 20 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 58 | 27 |
| 3 | 10 | Motherwell | 27 | 8 | 19 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 46 | 31 |
| 4 | 12 | St Johnstone | 27 | 8 | 19 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 30 | 53 | 21 |
| 5 | 6 | St Mirren | 27 | 9 | 18 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 39 | 34 |
| 6 | 8 | Ross County | 27 | 9 | 18 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 48 | 32 |
| 7 | 3 | Aberdeen | 28 | 11 | 17 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 41 |
| 8 | 2 | Rangers | 27 | 11 | 16 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 56 |
| 9 | 5 | Hibernian | 27 | 12 | 15 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 37 |
| 10 | 7 | Hearts | 27 | 12 | 15 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
| 11 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 27 | 15 | 12 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 31 |
| 12 | 4 | Dundee United | 27 | 17 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 40 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Dundee | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 31 | 15 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 14 | 3 | 11 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 3 | 40 |
| 3 | 12 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | Ross County | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 17 |
| 5 | 10 | Motherwell | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 6 | 2 | Rangers | 14 | 6 | 8 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | 3 | Aberdeen | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 26 |
| 8 | 5 | Hibernian | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | 6 | St Mirren | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | 7 | Hearts | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 11 | 4 | Dundee United | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
| 12 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 14 | 4 | 10 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | 6 | St Mirren | 13 | 3 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 16 |
| 3 | 10 | Motherwell | 14 | 4 | 10 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 13 |
| 4 | 3 | Aberdeen | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 15 |
| 5 | 8 | Ross County | 13 | 4 | 9 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 15 |
| 6 | 12 | St Johnstone | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | Rangers | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | 7 | Hearts | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
| 9 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | Hibernian | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | Dundee | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | Dundee United | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 19 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
