Kilmarnock 4–3 St Mirren
Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
2.75
fair 2.41
Draw
3.30
fair 3.78
Away
2.45
fair 3.13
Under 2.5
1.73
fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓
2.10
fair 2.12
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
20
Shots
15
7
Shots on target
7
9
Corners
4
10
Fouls
19
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (148 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kilmarnock to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.93
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
42%
26%
32%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
53%
47%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
48%
52%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
8%
0
20%
1
25%
2
22%
3
14%
4
12%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6%
1–0 10.7%
0–1 9.1%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
0.68points / match
0.96scored / match
1.92conceded / match
3
8
14
WonDrawnLost
25 played · 24:48
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
0.75scored / match
1.29conceded / match
5
8
11
WonDrawnLost
24 played · 18:31
Kilmarnock all matches
all matches St Mirren
Per match
0.96
Goals scored
0.75
1.92
Goals conceded
1.29
2.88
Total goals
2.04
10.52
Shots
12.42
3.68
Shots on target
3.54
15.08
Shots faced
12.50
4.24
Corners
5.92
5.72
Corners against
5.13
13.16
Fouls
12.58
2.20
Yellow cards
1.96
0.52
1st-half goals scored
0.25
0.72
1st-half goals conceded
0.38
How often Full Time
12%
Wins
21%
32%
Draws
33%
56%
Losses
46%
92%
Over 0.5 goals
88%
84%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
64%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
4%
Over 4.5 goals
4%
4%
Over 5.5 goals
4%
56%
Both teams scored
38%
20%
Clean sheets
29%
32%
Failed to score
46%
How often Half Time
28%
Wins
13%
28%
Draws
67%
44%
Losses
21%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
42%
36%
Over 1.5 goals
17%
8%
Over 2.5 goals
4%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kilmarnock all matches
3
L
1
2
L
1
L
D
1
2
L
1
3
L
1
1
D
4
L
3
W
1
5
L
St Mirren all matches
2
W
1
W
D
1
2
L
2
L
2
L
2
L
1
1
D
D
1
W
Kilmarnock
before this match, at home
0.75points / match
0.92scored / match
1.58conceded / match
2
3
7
WonDrawnLost
12 played · 11:19
St Mirren
before this match, away
0.55points / match
0.91scored / match
1.91conceded / match
1
3
7
WonDrawnLost
11 played · 10:21
Kilmarnock at home
away St Mirren
Per match
0.92
Goals scored
0.91
1.58
Goals conceded
1.91
2.50
Total goals
2.82
12.33
Shots
12.27
3.75
Shots on target
3.09
11.75
Shots faced
13.18
4.83
Corners
6.27
3.92
Corners against
5.73
13.50
Fouls
12.73
2.33
Yellow cards
1.82
0.58
1st-half goals scored
0.18
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.64
How often Full Time
17%
Wins
9%
25%
Draws
27%
58%
Losses
64%
92%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
58%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
9%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
9%
42%
Both teams scored
64%
25%
Clean sheets
0%
42%
Failed to score
36%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
0%
25%
Draws
64%
42%
Losses
36%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
45%
33%
Over 1.5 goals
27%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
9%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kilmarnock at home
1
2
L
2
W
3
L
1
L
1
3
L
1
1
D
3
L
1
L
1
3
L
3
W
St Mirren away
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
L
1
3
L
1
3
L
3
3
D
1
2
L
2
L
2
L
1
1
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.02.26 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (1–0) | 1.27 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 31.01.26 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 3–0 (2–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 24.01.26 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.45 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 10.01.26 | Livingston – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 03.01.26 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 1–3 (0–1) | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.76 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 30.12.25 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.05 | 2.57 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 27.12.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 20.12.25 | Kilmarnock – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 14.12.25 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.71 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 06.12.25 | Kilmarnock – Rangers | 0–3 (0–1) | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.02.26 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.86 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 31.01.26 | St Mirren – Dundee | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.71 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 20.01.26 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.82 | 3.40 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 14.01.26 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.41 | 4.10 | 7.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 10.01.26 | St Mirren – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 03.01.26 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.12.25 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.12.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 20.12.25 | St Mirren – Livingston | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.81 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
Kilmarnock at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 3–0 (2–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 03.01.26 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 1–3 (0–1) | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.76 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 20.12.25 | Kilmarnock – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.12.25 | Kilmarnock – Rangers | 0–3 (0–1) | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 29.11.25 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 22.11.25 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 1–3 (0–2) | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 29.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 18.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.10.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 14.09.25 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 1–2 (0–0) | 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.22 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
St Mirren away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.01.26 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.82 | 3.40 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 14.01.26 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.41 | 4.10 | 7.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 03.01.26 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.12.25 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 03.12.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–3 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.11.25 | Dundee – St Mirren | 3–1 (2–1) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 25.10.25 | Dundee United – St Mirren | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 04.10.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.09.25 | Falkirk – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 31.08.25 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
6 5 1
Kilmarnock winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
12matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
33%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.12.25SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 04.10.25SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 29.03.25SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (2–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 02.01.25SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 14.09.24SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 11.05.24SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 16.03.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 5–2 (0–2) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 27.12.23SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 30.09.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 22.04.23SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 02.01.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 15.10.22SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 57 |
| 2 | Rangers | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 42 | 18 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 | Celtic | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 23 | +20 | 48 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 43 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 39 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 28 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 23 |
| 10 | Dundee | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 17 |
| 12 | Livingston | 25 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 9 | +17 | 31 |
| 2 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 28 |
| 3 | Rangers | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 27 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 23 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 9 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 7 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 | Celtic | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 19 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 12 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 8 |
| 10 | Dundee | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 7 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 12 | Livingston | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 4 |
Kilmarnock St Mirren
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 25 | 9 | 16 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 48 | 17 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 25 | 9 | 16 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 52 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic | 24 | 10 | 14 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 48 |
| 4 | 5 | Hibernian | 26 | 12 | 14 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | 1 | Hearts | 26 | 13 | 13 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 57 |
| 6 | 6 | Falkirk | 25 | 12 | 13 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 32 | 36 |
| 7 | 2 | Rangers | 25 | 13 | 12 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 42 | 18 | 51 |
| 8 | 8 | Dundee United | 24 | 12 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 40 | 25 |
| 9 | 10 | Dundee | 24 | 13 | 11 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 23 |
| 10 | 4 | Motherwell | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 43 |
| 11 | 7 | Aberdeen | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | 9 | St Mirren | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 31 | 23 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | Livingston | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | Celtic | 12 | 4 | 8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | 5 | Hibernian | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | Hearts | 13 | 7 | 6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 9 | 31 |
| 6 | 2 | Rangers | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 28 |
| 7 | 6 | Falkirk | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | 8 | Dundee United | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | 7 | Aberdeen | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | 4 | Motherwell | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| 12 | 9 | St Mirren | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 17 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | Hearts | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | 5 | Hibernian | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
| 4 | 6 | Falkirk | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | 12 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | Rangers | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 23 |
| 7 | 3 | Celtic | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | 8 | Dundee United | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | St Mirren | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | Dundee | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | Motherwell | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | 7 | Aberdeen | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
