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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Bell

Derby 1–1 Shrewsbury

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.40 fair 1.61
Draw ✓ 4.75 fair 4.45
Away 8.00 fair 6.51
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 2.10

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Shrewsbury
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
7 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (355 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.81 – 0.77
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawShrewsbury
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.8% 2–0 12.5% 1–1 10.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.97points / match
1.77scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 53:28
Shrewsbury before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
0.70scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 21:41
Derby all matches all matches Shrewsbury

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 0.70
0.93 Goals conceded 1.37
2.70 Total goals 2.07
13.07 Shots 10.60
4.43 Shots on target 3.13
10.13 Shots faced 12.63
6.97 Corners 4.63
5.27 Corners against 5.83
10.70 Fouls 11.13
1.87 Yellow cards 1.83
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

60% Wins 33%
17% Draws 10%
23% Losses 57%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 63%
57% Over 2.5 goals 37%
30% Over 3.5 goals 10%
13% Over 4.5 goals 3%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 27%
40% Clean sheets 27%
13% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
47% Draws 50%
13% Losses 30%
67% Over 0.5 goals 53%
30% Over 1.5 goals 20%
13% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Shrewsbury all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.93points / match
1.86scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:14
Shrewsbury before this match, away
0.73points / match
0.40scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 6:23
Derby at home away Shrewsbury

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 0.40
1.00 Goals conceded 1.53
2.86 Total goals 1.93
13.86 Shots 10.07
4.36 Shots on target 2.40
8.86 Shots faced 12.13
7.00 Corners 4.40
4.43 Corners against 6.00
10.71 Fouls 10.93
2.00 Yellow cards 1.93
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

57% Wins 20%
21% Draws 13%
21% Losses 67%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
86% Over 1.5 goals 67%
64% Over 2.5 goals 27%
29% Over 3.5 goals 7%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 13%
36% Clean sheets 27%
7% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 20%
50% Draws 33%
14% Losses 47%
64% Over 0.5 goals 67%
21% Over 1.5 goals 13%
7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Shrewsbury away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
06.01.24 Fleetwood Town – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 5.504.001.60 1.80 2.00
01.01.24 Derby – Peterboro 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83

Shrewsbury all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Shrewsbury – Cambridge 1–2 (1–1) 2.503.302.88 2.40 1.53
27.01.24 Northampton – Shrewsbury 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Peterboro – Shrewsbury 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
13.01.24 Shrewsbury – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Shrewsbury – Fleetwood Town 3–1 (2–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.70
29.12.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.003.80 2.30 1.60
26.12.23 Cheltenham – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.30 1.60
23.12.23 Shrewsbury – Peterboro 1–2 (0–0) 5.254.201.60 1.90 1.95
16.12.23 Shrewsbury – Portsmouth 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.301.80 2.08 1.73
09.12.23 Wycombe – Shrewsbury 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Derby – Peterboro 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.80 2.00
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83
16.12.23 Derby – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 1.95
25.11.23 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98

Shrewsbury away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Northampton – Shrewsbury 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Peterboro – Shrewsbury 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
29.12.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.003.80 2.30 1.60
26.12.23 Cheltenham – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.30 1.60
09.12.23 Wycombe – Shrewsbury 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Exeter – Shrewsbury 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.15 1.67
18.11.23 Blackpool – Shrewsbury 4–0 (2–0) 1.574.006.00 2.00 1.85
28.10.23 Wigan – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.03 1.83
24.10.23 Barnsley – Shrewsbury 3–0 (2–0) 1.623.755.75 1.95 1.90
14.10.23 Cambridge – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsShrewsbury wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23E2 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
04.03.23E2 Derby – Shrewsbury 2–2 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.08 1.73
16.08.22E2 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 31 18 9 4 50 28 +22 63
2 Derby 30 18 5 7 53 28 +25 59
3 Bolton 28 18 4 6 51 27 +24 58
4 Peterboro 30 16 8 6 57 34 +23 56
5 Barnsley 29 15 8 6 53 33 +20 53
6 Stevenage 29 15 7 7 42 28 +14 52
7 Oxford 30 15 6 9 49 37 +12 51
8 Blackpool 30 13 7 10 47 35 +12 46
9 Wigan 30 13 6 11 43 36 +7 45
10 Leyton Orient 30 12 9 9 34 34 0 45
11 Bristol Rvs 30 11 7 12 40 41 -1 40
12 Northampton 29 12 4 13 36 42 -6 40
13 Lincoln 30 9 11 10 31 30 +1 38
14 Exeter 31 10 6 15 23 42 -19 36
15 Reading 30 9 8 13 38 44 -6 35
16 Cambridge 28 9 8 11 25 34 -9 35
17 Wycombe 29 8 10 11 35 39 -4 34
18 Shrewsbury 30 10 3 17 21 41 -20 33
19 Burton 30 8 8 14 25 39 -14 32
20 Charlton 30 7 10 13 43 46 -3 31
21 Port Vale 28 8 6 14 28 43 -15 30
22 Fleetwood Town 30 6 7 17 30 50 -20 25
23 Cheltenham 28 6 5 17 21 40 -19 23
24 Carlisle 30 4 8 18 26 50 -24 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 16 10 3 3 33 15 +18 33
2 Bolton 15 10 2 3 30 18 +12 32
3 Portsmouth 15 9 4 2 23 16 +7 31
4 Peterboro 14 8 4 2 33 15 +18 28
5 Wigan 15 9 1 5 22 14 +8 28
6 Derby 14 8 3 3 26 14 +12 27
7 Oxford 15 7 5 3 25 15 +10 26
8 Reading 15 7 4 4 23 16 +7 25
9 Cambridge 15 7 4 4 15 15 0 25
10 Barnsley 15 7 3 5 28 19 +9 24
11 Stevenage 14 6 6 2 18 11 +7 24
12 Northampton 15 7 3 5 20 17 +3 24
13 Bristol Rvs 15 6 5 4 23 17 +6 23
14 Burton 15 6 4 5 16 15 +1 22
15 Shrewsbury 15 7 1 7 15 18 -3 22
16 Charlton 16 6 3 7 28 24 +4 21
17 Leyton Orient 14 6 3 5 14 19 -5 21
18 Exeter 16 5 5 6 10 13 -3 20
19 Lincoln 14 4 6 4 17 12 +5 18
20 Wycombe 14 4 5 5 17 19 -2 17
21 Port Vale 14 5 1 8 17 18 -1 16
22 Cheltenham 14 4 3 7 13 21 -8 15
23 Carlisle 15 3 5 7 14 22 -8 14
24 Fleetwood Town 15 3 2 10 13 25 -12 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 16 9 5 2 27 12 +15 32
2 Derby 16 10 2 4 27 14 +13 32
3 Barnsley 14 8 5 1 25 14 +11 29
4 Stevenage 15 9 1 5 24 17 +7 28
5 Peterboro 16 8 4 4 24 19 +5 28
6 Bolton 13 8 2 3 21 9 +12 26
7 Oxford 15 8 1 6 24 22 +2 25
8 Leyton Orient 16 6 6 4 20 15 +5 24
9 Lincoln 16 5 5 6 14 18 -4 20
10 Wigan 15 4 5 6 21 22 -1 17
11 Wycombe 15 4 5 6 18 20 -2 17
12 Bristol Rvs 15 5 2 8 17 24 -7 17
13 Northampton 14 5 1 8 16 25 -9 16
14 Exeter 15 5 1 9 13 29 -16 16
15 Fleetwood Town 15 3 5 7 17 25 -8 14
16 Port Vale 14 3 5 6 11 25 -14 14
17 Blackpool 14 3 4 7 14 20 -6 13
18 Shrewsbury 15 3 2 10 6 23 -17 11
19 Charlton 14 1 7 6 15 22 -7 10
20 Cambridge 13 2 4 7 10 19 -9 10
21 Reading 15 2 4 9 15 28 -13 10
22 Burton 15 2 4 9 9 24 -15 10
23 Cheltenham 14 2 2 10 8 19 -11 8
24 Carlisle 15 1 3 11 12 28 -16 6

Derby   Shrewsbury

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Oxford 30 10 20 1.6 1.2 15 6 9 49 37 51
2 4 Peterboro 30 11 19 1.9 1.1 16 8 6 57 34 56
3 12 Northampton 29 11 18 1.2 1.4 12 4 13 36 42 40
4 20 Charlton 30 12 18 1.4 1.5 7 10 13 43 46 31
5 1 Portsmouth 31 14 17 1.6 0.9 18 9 4 50 28 63
6 2 Derby 30 13 17 1.8 0.9 18 5 7 53 28 59
7 5 Barnsley 29 12 17 1.8 1.1 15 8 6 53 33 53
8 8 Blackpool 30 13 17 1.6 1.2 13 7 10 47 35 46
9 11 Bristol Rvs 30 14 16 1.3 1.4 11 7 12 40 41 40
10 22 Fleetwood Town 30 14 16 1.0 1.7 6 7 17 30 50 25
11 6 Stevenage 29 14 15 1.4 1.0 15 7 7 42 28 52
12 15 Reading 30 15 15 1.3 1.5 9 8 13 38 44 35
13 3 Bolton 28 14 14 1.8 1.0 18 4 6 51 27 58
14 9 Wigan 30 16 14 1.4 1.2 13 6 11 43 36 45
15 17 Wycombe 29 15 14 1.2 1.3 8 10 11 35 39 34
16 21 Port Vale 28 15 13 1.0 1.5 8 6 14 28 43 30
17 10 Leyton Orient 30 18 12 1.1 1.1 12 9 9 34 34 45
18 16 Cambridge 28 16 12 0.9 1.2 9 8 11 25 34 35
19 24 Carlisle 30 18 12 0.9 1.7 4 8 18 26 50 20
20 14 Exeter 31 20 11 0.7 1.4 10 6 15 23 42 36
21 18 Shrewsbury 30 19 11 0.7 1.4 10 3 17 21 41 33
22 19 Burton 30 19 11 0.8 1.3 8 8 14 25 39 32
23 23 Cheltenham 28 17 11 0.8 1.4 6 5 17 21 40 23
24 13 Lincoln 30 20 10 1.0 1.0 9 11 10 31 30 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Charlton 16 4 12 1.8 1.5 6 3 7 28 24 21
2 3 Bolton 15 5 10 2.0 1.2 10 2 3 30 18 32
3 4 Peterboro 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 8 4 2 33 15 28
4 5 Barnsley 15 5 10 1.9 1.3 7 3 5 28 19 24
5 7 Oxford 15 5 10 1.7 1.0 7 5 3 25 15 26
6 8 Blackpool 16 6 10 2.1 0.9 10 3 3 33 15 33
7 2 Derby 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 8 3 3 26 14 27
8 1 Portsmouth 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 9 4 2 23 16 31
9 11 Bristol Rvs 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 23 17 23
10 12 Northampton 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 3 5 20 17 24
11 9 Wigan 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 9 1 5 22 14 28
12 18 Shrewsbury 15 8 7 1.0 1.2 7 1 7 15 18 22
13 22 Fleetwood Town 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 3 2 10 13 25 11
14 10 Leyton Orient 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 6 3 5 14 19 21
15 15 Reading 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 4 4 23 16 25
16 17 Wycombe 14 8 6 1.2 1.4 4 5 5 17 19 17
17 21 Port Vale 14 8 6 1.2 1.3 5 1 8 17 18 16
18 23 Cheltenham 14 8 6 0.9 1.5 4 3 7 13 21 15
19 6 Stevenage 14 9 5 1.3 0.8 6 6 2 18 11 24
20 13 Lincoln 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 4 6 4 17 12 18
21 16 Cambridge 15 10 5 1.0 1.0 7 4 4 15 15 25
22 19 Burton 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 5 16 15 22
23 24 Carlisle 15 10 5 0.9 1.5 3 5 7 14 22 14
24 14 Exeter 16 12 4 0.6 0.8 5 5 6 10 13 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stevenage 15 5 10 1.6 1.1 9 1 5 24 17 28
2 7 Oxford 15 5 10 1.6 1.5 8 1 6 24 22 25
3 12 Northampton 14 4 10 1.1 1.8 5 1 8 16 25 16
4 1 Portsmouth 16 7 9 1.7 0.8 9 5 2 27 12 32
5 4 Peterboro 16 7 9 1.5 1.2 8 4 4 24 19 28
6 15 Reading 15 6 9 1.0 1.9 2 4 9 15 28 10
7 22 Fleetwood Town 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 17 25 14
8 2 Derby 16 8 8 1.7 0.9 10 2 4 27 14 32
9 11 Bristol Rvs 15 7 8 1.1 1.6 5 2 8 17 24 17
10 17 Wycombe 15 7 8 1.2 1.3 4 5 6 18 20 17
11 5 Barnsley 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 8 5 1 25 14 29
12 8 Blackpool 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 4 7 14 20 13
13 9 Wigan 15 8 7 1.4 1.5 4 5 6 21 22 17
14 14 Exeter 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 5 1 9 13 29 16
15 16 Cambridge 13 6 7 0.8 1.5 2 4 7 10 19 10
16 21 Port Vale 14 7 7 0.8 1.8 3 5 6 11 25 14
17 24 Carlisle 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 1 3 11 12 28 6
18 10 Leyton Orient 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 6 6 4 20 15 24
19 19 Burton 15 9 6 0.6 1.6 2 4 9 9 24 10
20 20 Charlton 14 8 6 1.1 1.6 1 7 6 15 22 10
21 13 Lincoln 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 5 5 6 14 18 20
22 23 Cheltenham 14 9 5 0.6 1.4 2 2 10 8 19 8
23 3 Bolton 13 9 4 1.6 0.7 8 2 3 21 9 26
24 18 Shrewsbury 15 11 4 0.4 1.5 3 2 10 6 23 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51