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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Allison

Bournemouth 4–3 Luton

Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 2.17
Draw 4.75 fair 4.45
Away 5.75 fair 3.17
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 2.87
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bournemouth Luton
24 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 4
11 Corners 3
16 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (278 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 1.85 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
BournemouthDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.37scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 37:49
Luton before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
1.41scored / match
2.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 38:55
Bournemouth all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.41
1.81 Goals conceded 2.04
3.19 Total goals 3.44
13.93 Shots 12.07
4.81 Shots on target 3.59
14.56 Shots faced 17.07
6.11 Corners 5.70
5.70 Corners against 5.81
13.11 Fouls 11.70
2.11 Yellow cards 1.93
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

30% Wins 19%
30% Draws 22%
41% Losses 59%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 85%
67% Over 2.5 goals 70%
48% Over 3.5 goals 44%
7% Over 4.5 goals 26%
4% Over 5.5 goals 7%
59% Both teams scored 78%
22% Clean sheets 7%
22% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 22%
41% Draws 33%
33% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 70%
41% Over 1.5 goals 30%
7% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth all matches
Luton all matches
Bournemouth before this match, at home
1.08points / match
1.08scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:20
Luton before this match, away
0.77points / match
1.31scored / match
2.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:30
Bournemouth at home away Luton

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.31
1.54 Goals conceded 2.31
2.62 Total goals 3.62
13.92 Shots 10.00
4.85 Shots on target 3.08
12.69 Shots faced 20.23
6.69 Corners 4.38
5.77 Corners against 6.85
12.85 Fouls 11.85
1.77 Yellow cards 1.77
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

23% Wins 15%
38% Draws 31%
38% Losses 54%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 85%
54% Over 2.5 goals 69%
31% Over 3.5 goals 54%
0% Over 4.5 goals 31%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
46% Both teams scored 77%
23% Clean sheets 0%
38% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 23%
54% Draws 38%
31% Losses 38%
69% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 15%
0% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Bournemouth – Sheffield United 2–2 (0–1) 1.335.258.00 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
17.02.24 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.73 2.08
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
01.02.24 West Ham – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.752.75 1.62 2.25
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
31.12.23 Tottenham – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–0) 1.754.204.00 1.40 2.88
26.12.23 Bournemouth – Fulham 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
03.02.24 Newcastle – Luton 4–4 (2–2) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
12.01.24 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
26.12.23 Sheffield United – Luton 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70

Bournemouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Bournemouth – Sheffield United 2–2 (0–1) 1.335.258.00 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Bournemouth – Fulham 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08
03.12.23 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Bournemouth – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Bournemouth – Wolves 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
03.02.24 Newcastle – Luton 4–4 (2–2) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
12.01.24 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
26.12.23 Sheffield United – Luton 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
30.09.23 Everton – Luton 1–2 (1–2) 1.573.806.50 2.05 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bournemouth winsDrawsLuton wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.22E1 Luton – Bournemouth 3–2 (2–0) 2.803.402.45 2.02 1.83
25.09.21E1 Bournemouth – Luton 2–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.85 2.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 28 20 4 4 70 24 +46 64
2 Liverpool 28 19 7 2 65 26 +39 64
3 Man City 28 19 6 3 63 28 +35 63
4 Aston Villa 28 17 4 7 59 41 +18 55
5 Tottenham 27 16 5 6 59 39 +20 53
6 Man United 28 15 2 11 39 39 0 47
7 West Ham 28 12 7 9 45 49 -4 43
8 Brighton 28 11 9 8 50 44 +6 42
9 Wolves 28 12 5 11 42 44 -2 41
10 Newcastle 28 12 4 12 59 48 +11 40
11 Chelsea 27 11 6 10 47 45 +2 39
12 Fulham 28 10 5 13 40 44 -4 35
13 Bournemouth 27 8 8 11 37 49 -12 32
14 Everton 28 8 7 13 29 39 -10 31
15 Crystal Palace 28 7 8 13 33 48 -15 29
16 Brentford 28 7 5 16 40 52 -12 26
17 Nott'm Forest 28 6 6 16 34 50 -16 24
18 Luton 27 5 6 16 38 55 -17 21
19 Burnley 28 3 5 20 27 62 -35 14
20 Sheffield United 28 3 5 20 24 74 -50 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 38 12 +26 36
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 36 13 +23 35
3 Man City 14 10 4 0 34 12 +22 34
4 Aston Villa 14 10 1 3 35 19 +16 31
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 19 +10 30
6 Newcastle 14 9 2 3 34 16 +18 29
7 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27
8 Fulham 14 8 1 5 26 15 +11 25
9 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25
10 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24
11 West Ham 14 6 5 3 24 21 +3 23
12 Chelsea 13 6 3 4 23 20 +3 21
13 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16
14 Brentford 14 4 4 6 24 29 -5 16
15 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 19 21 -2 15
16 Bournemouth 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13
18 Luton 14 3 2 9 21 25 -4 11
19 Sheffield United 14 2 2 10 12 42 -30 8
20 Burnley 14 1 2 11 13 34 -21 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 9 2 3 34 11 +23 29
2 Man City 14 9 2 3 29 16 +13 29
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28
4 Aston Villa 14 7 3 4 24 22 +2 24
5 Tottenham 13 6 5 2 30 20 +10 23
6 Man United 14 7 1 6 18 19 -1 22
7 West Ham 14 6 2 6 21 28 -7 20
8 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18
9 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18
10 Everton 14 5 3 6 14 21 -7 18
11 Wolves 14 5 2 7 20 23 -3 17
12 Brighton 14 4 3 7 22 28 -6 15
13 Crystal Palace 14 3 4 7 14 28 -14 13
14 Newcastle 14 3 2 9 25 32 -7 11
15 Brentford 14 3 1 10 16 23 -7 10
16 Luton 13 2 4 7 17 30 -13 10
17 Fulham 14 2 4 8 14 29 -15 10
18 Nott'm Forest 14 2 3 9 15 29 -14 9
19 Burnley 14 2 3 9 14 28 -14 9
20 Sheffield United 14 1 3 10 12 32 -20 6

Bournemouth   Luton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 27 5 22 2.2 1.4 16 5 6 59 39 53
2 4 Aston Villa 28 7 21 2.1 1.5 17 4 7 59 41 55
3 10 Newcastle 28 7 21 2.1 1.7 12 4 12 59 48 40
4 16 Brentford 28 8 20 1.4 1.9 7 5 16 40 52 26
5 1 Arsenal 28 9 19 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 70 24 64
6 7 West Ham 28 9 19 1.6 1.8 12 7 9 45 49 43
7 9 Wolves 28 9 19 1.5 1.6 12 5 11 42 44 41
8 18 Luton 27 8 19 1.4 2.0 5 6 16 38 55 21
9 20 Sheffield United 28 9 19 0.9 2.6 3 5 20 24 74 14
10 2 Liverpool 28 10 18 2.3 0.9 19 7 2 65 26 64
11 6 Man United 28 10 18 1.4 1.4 15 2 11 39 39 47
12 8 Brighton 28 10 18 1.8 1.6 11 9 8 50 44 42
13 12 Fulham 28 10 18 1.4 1.6 10 5 13 40 44 35
14 13 Bournemouth 27 9 18 1.4 1.8 8 8 11 37 49 32
15 3 Man City 28 11 17 2.2 1.0 19 6 3 63 28 63
16 11 Chelsea 27 10 17 1.7 1.7 11 6 10 47 45 39
17 19 Burnley 28 11 17 1.0 2.2 3 5 20 27 62 14
18 15 Crystal Palace 28 12 16 1.2 1.7 7 8 13 33 48 29
19 17 Nott'm Forest 28 13 15 1.2 1.8 6 6 16 34 50 24
20 14 Everton 28 15 13 1.0 1.4 8 7 13 29 39 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 14 2 12 2.1 1.4 10 0 4 29 19 30
2 16 Brentford 14 2 12 1.7 2.1 4 4 6 24 29 16
3 1 Arsenal 14 3 11 2.6 0.9 11 2 1 36 13 35
4 4 Aston Villa 14 3 11 2.5 1.4 10 1 3 35 19 31
5 20 Sheffield United 14 3 11 0.9 3.0 2 2 10 12 42 8
6 2 Liverpool 14 4 10 2.7 0.9 11 3 0 38 12 36
7 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25
8 10 Newcastle 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 9 2 3 34 16 29
9 18 Luton 14 4 10 1.5 1.8 3 2 9 21 25 11
10 9 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24
11 12 Fulham 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 1 5 26 15 25
12 7 West Ham 14 6 8 1.7 1.5 6 5 3 24 21 23
13 8 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27
14 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16
15 19 Burnley 14 6 8 0.9 2.4 1 2 11 13 34 5
16 3 Man City 14 7 7 2.4 0.9 10 4 0 34 12 34
17 11 Chelsea 13 6 7 1.8 1.5 6 3 4 23 20 21
18 13 Bournemouth 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
19 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13
20 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.4 1.5 4 3 7 19 21 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 14 3 11 1.5 2.0 6 2 6 21 28 20
2 10 Newcastle 14 3 11 1.8 2.3 3 2 9 25 32 11
3 13 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18
4 3 Man City 14 4 10 2.1 1.1 9 2 3 29 16 29
5 4 Aston Villa 14 4 10 1.7 1.6 7 3 4 24 22 24
6 5 Tottenham 13 3 10 2.3 1.5 6 5 2 30 20 23
7 8 Brighton 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 3 7 22 28 15
8 9 Wolves 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 20 23 17
9 11 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18
10 12 Fulham 14 5 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 8 14 29 10
11 18 Luton 13 4 9 1.3 2.3 2 4 7 17 30 10
12 19 Burnley 14 5 9 1.0 2.0 2 3 9 14 28 9
13 1 Arsenal 14 6 8 2.4 0.8 9 2 3 34 11 29
14 2 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28
15 6 Man United 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 7 1 6 18 19 22
16 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.0 2.0 3 4 7 14 28 13
17 16 Brentford 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 3 1 10 16 23 10
18 17 Nott'm Forest 14 6 8 1.1 2.1 2 3 9 15 29 9
19 20 Sheffield United 14 6 8 0.9 2.3 1 3 10 12 32 6
20 14 Everton 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 5 3 6 14 21 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38