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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Arsenal 2–0 Luton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.10 fair 1.41
Draw 10.00 fair 6.31
Away 19.00 fair 7.60
Under 2.5 ✓ 4.00 fair 3.71
Over 2.5 1.25 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Luton
13 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 1
12 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (298 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 2.69 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9% 2–0 8.1% 3–1 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.24points / match
2.41scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 70:24
Luton before this match, all matches
0.73points / match
1.43scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 43:62
Arsenal all matches all matches Luton

Per match

2.41 Goals scored 1.43
0.83 Goals conceded 2.07
3.24 Total goals 3.50
16.69 Shots 11.70
5.90 Shots on target 3.60
8.41 Shots faced 17.27
7.21 Corners 5.63
2.79 Corners against 5.93
9.90 Fouls 11.70
1.48 Yellow cards 1.97
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

69% Wins 17%
17% Draws 23%
14% Losses 60%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
76% Over 1.5 goals 87%
66% Over 2.5 goals 70%
48% Over 3.5 goals 43%
24% Over 4.5 goals 27%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
48% Both teams scored 80%
41% Clean sheets 7%
14% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 27%
48% Draws 30%
14% Losses 43%
72% Over 0.5 goals 73%
52% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Luton all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.57scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 36:13
Luton before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.40scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 21:36
Arsenal at home away Luton

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 1.40
0.93 Goals conceded 2.40
3.50 Total goals 3.80
17.93 Shots 9.67
6.79 Shots on target 3.13
7.36 Shots faced 20.27
7.43 Corners 4.40
2.86 Corners against 6.87
9.64 Fouls 11.93
1.57 Yellow cards 1.93
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

79% Wins 13%
14% Draws 27%
7% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 87%
79% Over 2.5 goals 73%
57% Over 3.5 goals 53%
21% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
64% Both teams scored 80%
29% Clean sheets 0%
7% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 33%
43% Draws 33%
14% Losses 33%
86% Over 0.5 goals 73%
57% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.03.24 Man City – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
09.03.24 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70
04.03.24 Sheffield United – Arsenal 0–6 (0–5) 17.007.001.18 1.40 2.88
24.02.24 Arsenal – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 1.365.258.00 1.48 2.60
17.02.24 Burnley – Arsenal 0–5 (0–2) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 West Ham – Arsenal 0–6 (0–4) 6.004.331.53 1.67 2.15
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.759.00 1.73 2.08
31.12.23 Fulham – Arsenal 2–1 (1–1) 5.254.501.55 1.73 2.08

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
03.02.24 Newcastle – Luton 4–4 (2–2) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70
24.02.24 Arsenal – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 1.365.258.00 1.48 2.60
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
20.01.24 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.759.00 1.73 2.08
28.12.23 Arsenal – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.335.507.50 1.57 2.35
17.12.23 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
02.12.23 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
28.10.23 Arsenal – Sheffield United 5–0 (1–0) 1.138.5019.00 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
03.02.24 Newcastle – Luton 4–4 (2–2) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
12.01.24 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
26.12.23 Sheffield United – Luton 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsLuton wins
1matches
7.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.23E0 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 20 7 2 67 27 +40 67
2 Arsenal 29 20 5 4 70 24 +46 65
3 Man City 29 19 7 3 63 28 +35 64
4 Aston Villa 30 18 5 7 62 42 +20 59
5 Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 +18 57
6 Man United 29 15 3 11 40 40 0 48
7 West Ham 31 12 9 10 50 55 -5 45
8 Newcastle 30 13 5 12 64 52 +12 44
9 Brighton 29 11 9 9 51 46 +5 42
10 Wolves 30 12 6 12 43 47 -4 42
11 Bournemouth 30 11 8 11 44 53 -9 41
12 Chelsea 28 11 7 10 49 47 +2 40
13 Fulham 31 11 6 14 47 50 -3 39
14 Everton 30 8 8 14 31 42 -11 32
15 Crystal Palace 30 7 9 14 34 50 -16 30
16 Nott'm Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 29
17 Brentford 30 7 6 17 42 55 -13 27
18 Luton 30 5 7 18 43 62 -19 22
19 Burnley 31 4 7 20 32 66 -34 19
20 Sheffield United 29 3 6 20 27 77 -50 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 15 12 3 0 40 13 +27 39
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 36 13 +23 35
3 Man City 15 10 5 0 34 12 +22 35
4 Aston Villa 15 11 1 3 37 19 +18 34
5 Newcastle 16 10 3 3 39 20 +19 33
6 Tottenham 15 11 0 4 31 20 +11 33
7 Fulham 15 9 1 5 29 15 +14 28
8 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27
9 West Ham 16 6 7 3 26 23 +3 25
10 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25
11 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24
12 Bournemouth 16 6 5 5 21 24 -3 23
13 Chelsea 14 6 4 4 25 22 +3 22
14 Nott'm Forest 16 5 4 7 23 23 0 19
15 Brentford 15 4 5 6 25 30 -5 17
16 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13
18 Luton 15 3 3 9 22 26 -4 12
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 16 36 -20 9
20 Sheffield United 15 2 3 10 15 45 -30 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 9 3 3 34 11 +23 30
2 Man City 14 9 2 3 29 16 +13 29
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28
4 Aston Villa 15 7 4 4 25 23 +2 25
5 Tottenham 15 6 6 3 31 24 +7 24
6 Man United 15 7 2 6 19 20 -1 23
7 West Ham 15 6 2 7 24 32 -8 20
8 Everton 16 5 4 7 16 24 -8 19
9 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18
10 Wolves 16 5 3 8 21 26 -5 18
11 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18
12 Brighton 15 4 3 8 23 30 -7 15
13 Crystal Palace 16 3 5 8 15 30 -15 14
14 Newcastle 14 3 2 9 25 32 -7 11
15 Fulham 16 2 5 9 18 35 -17 11
16 Brentford 15 3 1 11 17 25 -8 10
17 Burnley 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10
18 Nott'm Forest 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10
19 Luton 15 2 4 9 21 36 -15 10
20 Sheffield United 14 1 3 10 12 32 -20 6

Arsenal   Luton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 30 6 24 2.1 1.5 17 6 7 62 44 57
2 8 Newcastle 30 8 22 2.1 1.7 13 5 12 64 52 44
3 4 Aston Villa 30 9 21 2.1 1.4 18 5 7 62 42 59
4 13 Fulham 31 10 21 1.5 1.6 11 6 14 47 50 39
5 17 Brentford 30 9 21 1.4 1.8 7 6 17 42 55 27
6 18 Luton 30 9 21 1.4 2.1 5 7 18 43 62 22
7 7 West Ham 31 11 20 1.6 1.8 12 9 10 50 55 45
8 11 Bournemouth 30 10 20 1.5 1.8 11 8 11 44 53 41
9 20 Sheffield United 29 9 20 0.9 2.7 3 6 20 27 77 15
10 1 Liverpool 29 10 19 2.3 0.9 20 7 2 67 27 67
11 2 Arsenal 29 10 19 2.4 0.8 20 5 4 70 24 65
12 9 Brighton 29 10 19 1.8 1.6 11 9 9 51 46 42
13 10 Wolves 30 11 19 1.4 1.6 12 6 12 43 47 42
14 19 Burnley 31 12 19 1.0 2.1 4 7 20 32 66 19
15 6 Man United 29 11 18 1.4 1.4 15 3 11 40 40 48
16 12 Chelsea 28 10 18 1.8 1.7 11 7 10 49 47 40
17 3 Man City 29 12 17 2.2 1.0 19 7 3 63 28 64
18 15 Crystal Palace 30 14 16 1.1 1.7 7 9 14 34 50 30
19 16 Nott'm Forest 31 15 16 1.3 1.7 7 8 16 39 53 29
20 14 Everton 30 16 14 1.0 1.4 8 8 14 31 42 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 15 2 13 2.1 1.3 11 0 4 31 20 33
2 17 Brentford 15 3 12 1.7 2.0 4 5 6 25 30 17
3 20 Sheffield United 15 3 12 1.0 3.0 2 3 10 15 45 9
4 1 Liverpool 15 4 11 2.7 0.9 12 3 0 40 13 39
5 2 Arsenal 14 3 11 2.6 0.9 11 2 1 36 13 35
6 4 Aston Villa 15 4 11 2.5 1.3 11 1 3 37 19 34
7 8 Newcastle 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 3 3 39 20 33
8 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25
9 13 Fulham 15 5 10 1.9 1.0 9 1 5 29 15 28
10 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.5 1.7 3 3 9 22 26 12
11 10 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24
12 11 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 6 5 5 21 24 23
13 19 Burnley 16 7 9 1.0 2.2 2 3 11 16 36 9
14 7 West Ham 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 7 3 26 23 25
15 9 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27
16 12 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.8 1.6 6 4 4 25 22 22
17 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16
18 16 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 23 19
19 3 Man City 15 8 7 2.3 0.8 10 5 0 34 12 35
20 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 6 2 7 24 32 20
2 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 2.1 1.6 6 6 3 31 24 24
3 8 Newcastle 14 3 11 1.8 2.3 3 2 9 25 32 11
4 9 Brighton 15 4 11 1.5 2.0 4 3 8 23 30 15
5 11 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18
6 13 Fulham 16 5 11 1.1 2.2 2 5 9 18 35 11
7 18 Luton 15 4 11 1.4 2.4 2 4 9 21 36 10
8 3 Man City 14 4 10 2.1 1.1 9 2 3 29 16 29
9 4 Aston Villa 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 7 4 4 25 23 25
10 10 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 3 8 21 26 18
11 12 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18
12 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10
13 17 Brentford 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 1 11 17 25 10
14 1 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28
15 2 Arsenal 15 7 8 2.3 0.7 9 3 3 34 11 30
16 6 Man United 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 2 6 19 20 23
17 15 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 3 5 8 15 30 14
18 16 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10
19 20 Sheffield United 14 6 8 0.9 2.3 1 3 10 12 32 6
20 14 Everton 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 5 4 7 16 24 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51