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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Cardiff 1–1 Watford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.25 fair 2.40
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.02
Away 3.20 fair 2.99
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Watford
12 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 3
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (308 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 8.9% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
1.00scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 25:40
Watford before this match, all matches
1.48points / match
1.40scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 35:36
Cardiff all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.40
1.60 Goals conceded 1.44
2.60 Total goals 2.84
12.40 Shots 11.72
4.12 Shots on target 3.96
12.12 Shots faced 13.04
5.08 Corners 5.20
4.72 Corners against 5.20
11.76 Fouls 12.52
1.96 Yellow cards 2.24
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

20% Wins 44%
32% Draws 16%
48% Losses 40%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
84% Over 1.5 goals 76%
36% Over 2.5 goals 68%
28% Over 3.5 goals 20%
16% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
48% Both teams scored 64%
16% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 16%
44% Draws 44%
36% Losses 40%
72% Over 0.5 goals 68%
36% Over 1.5 goals 32%
8% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Watford all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.08points / match
1.00scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 12:17
Watford before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.33scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:26
Cardiff at home away Watford

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.33
1.42 Goals conceded 2.17
2.42 Total goals 3.50
14.50 Shots 10.33
5.25 Shots on target 3.25
11.67 Shots faced 14.83
6.67 Corners 4.75
4.33 Corners against 6.08
11.42 Fouls 13.17
1.67 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
8% Draws 17%
58% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 83%
25% Over 2.5 goals 75%
17% Over 3.5 goals 42%
8% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
25% Both teams scored 67%
25% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%
33% Draws 25%
33% Losses 58%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 42%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.25 1.73 2.10
01.01.25 Cardiff – Coventry 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.502.30 1.88 1.98
29.12.24 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 Cardiff – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.402.00 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95
11.12.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.20 1.67
30.11.24 Coventry – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.33 1.88 1.98
27.11.24 Cardiff – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.503.60 2.03 1.83

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Watford – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.502.40 2.10 1.73
01.01.25 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
29.12.24 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Watford – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.252.55 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 Hull – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.90 1.95
30.11.24 Watford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.93 1.93
26.11.24 Watford – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85
22.11.24 Plymouth – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.402.25 1.73 2.10

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Cardiff – Coventry 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.502.30 1.88 1.98
21.12.24 Cardiff – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.402.00 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Cardiff – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
09.11.24 Cardiff – Blackburn 1–3 (0–1) 2.303.403.00 1.95 1.90
02.11.24 Cardiff – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.73 2.10
22.10.24 Cardiff – Portsmouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Cardiff – Plymouth 5–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
21.09.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.001.62 1.93 1.93

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 Hull – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.90 1.95
22.11.24 Plymouth – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.402.25 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 Swansea – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 1.83 2.03
02.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 2–6 (1–1) 1.913.503.90 1.95 1.90
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsWatford wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24E1 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
03.02.24E1 Watford – Cardiff 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.33 2.03 1.83
07.10.23E1 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
19.04.23E1 Watford – Cardiff 1–3 (1–3) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67
02.11.22E1 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 26 16 6 4 36 17 +19 54
2 Leeds 26 15 8 3 48 19 +29 53
3 Burnley 26 14 10 2 31 9 +22 52
4 Sunderland 26 14 8 4 39 22 +17 50
5 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 43 32 +11 41
6 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32 21 +11 40
7 Blackburn 25 11 6 8 28 23 +5 39
8 Bristol City 26 9 10 7 33 30 +3 37
9 Watford 25 11 4 10 35 36 -1 37
10 Sheffield Weds 26 10 7 9 38 40 -2 37
11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 43 37 +6 36
12 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30 30 0 34
13 QPR 26 7 11 8 29 34 -5 32
14 Millwall 25 7 9 9 24 23 +1 30
15 Preston 26 6 12 8 28 34 -6 30
16 Coventry 26 7 8 11 34 37 -3 29
17 Oxford 25 7 7 11 28 40 -12 28
18 Derby 26 7 6 13 31 35 -4 27
19 Stoke 26 6 9 11 24 32 -8 27
20 Luton 26 7 4 15 27 44 -17 25
21 Portsmouth 24 5 8 11 30 41 -11 23
22 Hull 26 5 8 13 25 36 -11 23
23 Cardiff 25 5 8 12 25 40 -15 23
24 Plymouth 25 4 8 13 24 53 -29 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 13 10 2 1 30 7 +23 32
2 Sunderland 13 9 4 0 22 8 +14 31
3 Sheffield United 12 9 2 1 17 5 +12 29
4 Watford 13 9 2 2 19 10 +9 29
5 Burnley 12 6 6 0 15 4 +11 24
6 Norwich 13 6 5 2 31 18 +13 23
7 Bristol City 13 6 5 2 19 10 +9 23
8 Blackburn 13 7 2 4 17 11 +6 23
9 Middlesbrough 14 6 5 3 20 15 +5 23
10 Preston 14 5 7 2 16 12 +4 22
11 Oxford 13 6 4 3 19 17 +2 22
12 West Brom 12 5 6 1 13 6 +7 21
13 Luton 13 6 3 4 18 16 +2 21
14 Derby 12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20
15 Swansea 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20
16 Millwall 13 6 2 5 14 10 +4 20
17 Sheffield Weds 14 5 5 4 22 20 +2 20
18 QPR 14 5 5 4 20 19 +1 20
19 Coventry 12 5 3 4 22 16 +6 18
20 Stoke 14 4 6 4 18 17 +1 18
21 Plymouth 11 4 5 2 21 18 +3 17
22 Portsmouth 11 4 4 3 17 11 +6 16
23 Cardiff 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13
24 Hull 14 2 6 6 14 18 -4 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 14 8 4 2 16 5 +11 28
2 Sheffield United 14 7 4 3 19 12 +7 25
3 Leeds 13 5 6 2 18 12 +6 21
4 West Brom 14 4 7 3 19 15 +4 19
5 Sunderland 13 5 4 4 17 14 +3 19
6 Middlesbrough 12 5 3 4 23 17 +6 18
7 Sheffield Weds 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17
8 Blackburn 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
9 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
10 Swansea 13 4 2 7 10 16 -6 14
11 Norwich 13 3 4 6 12 19 -7 13
12 QPR 12 2 6 4 9 15 -6 12
13 Hull 12 3 2 7 11 18 -7 11
14 Coventry 14 2 5 7 12 21 -9 11
15 Millwall 12 1 7 4 10 13 -3 10
16 Cardiff 13 1 7 5 13 23 -10 10
17 Stoke 12 2 3 7 6 15 -9 9
18 Watford 12 2 2 8 16 26 -10 8
19 Preston 12 1 5 6 12 22 -10 8
20 Derby 14 1 4 9 12 24 -12 7
21 Portsmouth 13 1 4 8 13 30 -17 7
22 Oxford 12 1 3 8 9 23 -14 6
23 Luton 13 1 1 11 9 28 -19 4
24 Plymouth 14 0 3 11 3 35 -32 3

Cardiff   Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Watford 25 8 17 1.4 1.4 11 4 10 35 36 37
2 21 Portsmouth 24 8 16 1.2 1.7 5 8 11 30 41 23
3 11 Norwich 26 11 15 1.7 1.4 9 9 8 43 37 36
4 16 Coventry 26 11 15 1.3 1.4 7 8 11 34 37 29
5 20 Luton 26 11 15 1.0 1.7 7 4 15 27 44 25
6 10 Sheffield Weds 26 12 14 1.5 1.5 10 7 9 38 40 37
7 24 Plymouth 25 11 14 1.0 2.1 4 8 13 24 53 20
8 4 Sunderland 26 14 12 1.5 0.8 14 8 4 39 22 50
9 12 Swansea 26 14 12 1.2 1.2 9 7 10 30 30 34
10 18 Derby 26 14 12 1.2 1.3 7 6 13 31 35 27
11 5 Middlesbrough 26 15 11 1.7 1.2 11 8 7 43 32 41
12 8 Bristol City 26 15 11 1.3 1.2 9 10 7 33 30 37
13 13 QPR 26 15 11 1.1 1.3 7 11 8 29 34 32
14 15 Preston 26 15 11 1.1 1.3 6 12 8 28 34 30
15 17 Oxford 25 14 11 1.1 1.6 7 7 11 28 40 28
16 2 Leeds 26 16 10 1.8 0.7 15 8 3 48 19 53
17 6 West Brom 26 16 10 1.2 0.8 9 13 4 32 21 40
18 19 Stoke 26 17 9 0.9 1.2 6 9 11 24 32 27
19 22 Hull 26 17 9 1.0 1.4 5 8 13 25 36 23
20 23 Cardiff 25 16 9 1.0 1.6 5 8 12 25 40 23
21 7 Blackburn 25 17 8 1.1 0.9 11 6 8 28 23 39
22 1 Sheffield United 26 19 7 1.4 0.7 16 6 4 36 17 54
23 14 Millwall 25 19 6 1.0 0.9 7 9 9 24 23 30
24 3 Burnley 26 21 5 1.2 0.3 14 10 2 31 9 52
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 12 2 10 1.8 1.3 5 3 4 22 16 18
2 11 Norwich 13 4 9 2.4 1.4 6 5 2 31 18 23
3 9 Watford 13 5 8 1.5 0.8 9 2 2 19 10 29
4 13 QPR 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 4 20 19 20
5 20 Luton 13 5 8 1.4 1.2 6 3 4 18 16 21
6 24 Plymouth 11 3 8 1.9 1.6 4 5 2 21 18 17
7 2 Leeds 13 6 7 2.3 0.5 10 2 1 30 7 32
8 21 Portsmouth 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 4 4 3 17 11 16
9 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.7 0.6 9 4 0 22 8 31
10 12 Swansea 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20
11 18 Derby 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 4 19 11 20
12 19 Stoke 14 8 6 1.3 1.2 4 6 4 18 17 18
13 5 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.4 1.1 6 5 3 20 15 23
14 8 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 5 2 19 10 23
15 10 Sheffield Weds 14 9 5 1.6 1.4 5 5 4 22 20 20
16 17 Oxford 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 6 4 3 19 17 22
17 7 Blackburn 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 7 2 4 17 11 23
18 15 Preston 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 5 7 2 16 12 22
19 22 Hull 14 10 4 1.0 1.3 2 6 6 14 18 12
20 3 Burnley 12 9 3 1.2 0.3 6 6 0 15 4 24
21 6 West Brom 12 9 3 1.1 0.5 5 6 1 13 6 21
22 14 Millwall 13 10 3 1.1 0.8 6 2 5 14 10 20
23 23 Cardiff 12 9 3 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13
24 1 Sheffield United 12 10 2 1.4 0.4 9 2 1 17 5 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Watford 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 2 2 8 16 26 8
2 10 Sheffield Weds 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17
3 21 Portsmouth 13 4 9 1.0 2.3 1 4 8 13 30 7
4 6 West Brom 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 4 7 3 19 15 19
5 15 Preston 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 1 5 6 12 22 8
6 20 Luton 13 6 7 0.7 2.2 1 1 11 9 28 4
7 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 4 17 14 19
8 5 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.9 1.4 5 3 4 23 17 18
9 8 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
10 11 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 19 13
11 12 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.2 4 2 7 10 16 14
12 17 Oxford 12 6 6 0.8 1.9 1 3 8 9 23 6
13 18 Derby 14 8 6 0.9 1.7 1 4 9 12 24 7
14 23 Cardiff 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 1 7 5 13 23 10
15 24 Plymouth 14 8 6 0.2 2.5 0 3 11 3 35 3
16 1 Sheffield United 14 9 5 1.4 0.9 7 4 3 19 12 25
17 16 Coventry 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 12 21 11
18 22 Hull 12 7 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 7 11 18 11
19 7 Blackburn 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
20 2 Leeds 13 10 3 1.4 0.9 5 6 2 18 12 21
21 13 QPR 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 6 4 9 15 12
22 14 Millwall 12 9 3 0.8 1.1 1 7 4 10 13 10
23 19 Stoke 12 9 3 0.5 1.2 2 3 7 6 15 9
24 3 Burnley 14 12 2 1.1 0.4 8 4 2 16 5 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40