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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Aston Villa 3–1 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.85 fair 1.74
Draw 4.00 fair 5.11
Away 3.60 fair 4.35
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 3.61
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.38

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Bournemouth
14 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 4
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (327 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.46
Expected goals 2.32 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9% 1–1 7.8% 3–1 7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.91points / match
2.06scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 68:49
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.47scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 47:57
Aston Villa all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

2.06 Goals scored 1.47
1.48 Goals conceded 1.78
3.55 Total goals 3.25
14.00 Shots 14.06
5.27 Shots on target 4.88
11.36 Shots faced 13.69
6.39 Corners 6.34
4.24 Corners against 5.50
11.00 Fouls 13.25
2.55 Yellow cards 2.06
0.97 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

58% Wins 34%
18% Draws 28%
24% Losses 38%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
88% Over 1.5 goals 91%
70% Over 2.5 goals 69%
55% Over 3.5 goals 47%
30% Over 4.5 goals 9%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
67% Both teams scored 63%
24% Clean sheets 22%
12% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 25%
30% Draws 44%
24% Losses 31%
76% Over 0.5 goals 72%
45% Over 1.5 goals 41%
18% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.19points / match
2.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 40:22
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.60scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:31
Aston Villa at home away Bournemouth

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.60
1.38 Goals conceded 2.07
3.88 Total goals 3.67
14.88 Shots 13.53
5.75 Shots on target 4.53
9.69 Shots faced 16.47
6.19 Corners 5.33
3.63 Corners against 5.73
11.25 Fouls 13.40
2.69 Yellow cards 2.27
1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

69% Wins 33%
13% Draws 20%
19% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 80%
69% Over 3.5 goals 60%
31% Over 4.5 goals 13%
19% Over 5.5 goals 7%
69% Both teams scored 73%
25% Clean sheets 20%
6% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 33%
25% Draws 33%
13% Losses 33%
75% Over 0.5 goals 80%
38% Over 1.5 goals 47%
19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Arsenal – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.295.7510.00 1.50 2.63
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
03.04.24 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.752.45 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.752.20 1.60 2.30
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.902.60 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
02.04.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.73 2.10
30.03.24 Bournemouth – Everton 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 1.70 2.10
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Bournemouth – Sheffield United 2–2 (0–1) 1.335.258.00 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
17.02.24 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.73 2.08

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
30.03.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
17.02.24 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.73 2.08
01.02.24 West Ham – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.752.75 1.62 2.25
31.12.23 Tottenham – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–0) 1.754.204.00 1.40 2.88
23.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.95
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
06.12.23 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.01 1.89
25.11.23 Sheffield United – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 3.203.502.20 1.85 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsBournemouth wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
18.03.23E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
06.08.22E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 33 23 5 5 77 26 +51 74
2 Man City 32 22 7 3 76 32 +44 73
3 Liverpool 32 21 8 3 72 31 +41 71
4 Aston Villa 33 19 6 8 68 49 +19 63
5 Tottenham 32 18 6 8 65 49 +16 60
6 Newcastle 32 15 5 12 69 52 +17 50
7 Man United 32 15 5 12 47 48 -1 50
8 West Ham 33 13 9 11 52 58 -6 48
9 Chelsea 31 13 8 10 61 52 +9 47
10 Brighton 32 11 11 10 52 50 +2 44
11 Wolves 33 12 7 14 46 53 -7 43
12 Fulham 33 12 6 15 49 51 -2 42
13 Bournemouth 32 11 9 12 47 57 -10 42
14 Everton 33 10 8 15 34 48 -14 38
15 Brentford 34 9 8 17 52 59 -7 35
16 Crystal Palace 32 8 9 15 37 54 -17 33
17 Nott'm Forest 34 7 9 18 42 60 -18 30
18 Luton 34 6 7 21 47 75 -28 25
19 Burnley 34 5 8 21 37 69 -32 23
20 Sheffield United 33 3 7 23 31 88 -57 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 17 13 3 1 43 15 +28 42
2 Man City 17 12 5 0 43 14 +29 41
3 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 38 15 +23 38
4 Newcastle 17 11 3 3 43 20 +23 36
5 Tottenham 16 12 0 4 34 21 +13 36
6 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 40 22 +18 35
7 Fulham 16 9 1 6 29 16 +13 28
8 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 35 25 +10 28
9 Brighton 15 7 6 2 28 19 +9 27
10 Man United 15 8 2 5 23 22 +1 26
11 West Ham 17 6 7 4 26 25 +1 25
12 Wolves 16 7 3 6 23 25 -2 24
13 Bournemouth 17 6 6 5 23 26 -3 24
14 Brentford 17 5 6 6 27 30 -3 21
15 Nott'm Forest 17 5 5 7 25 25 0 20
16 Everton 16 5 4 7 18 18 0 19
17 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 21 24 -3 16
18 Luton 17 4 3 10 25 32 -7 15
19 Burnley 17 2 4 11 17 37 -20 10
20 Sheffield United 17 2 4 11 18 51 -33 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 11 3 3 39 11 +28 36
2 Man City 15 10 2 3 33 18 +15 32
3 Liverpool 15 8 5 2 29 16 +13 29
4 Aston Villa 17 8 4 5 28 27 +1 28
5 Tottenham 16 6 6 4 31 28 +3 24
6 Man United 17 7 3 7 24 26 -2 24
7 West Ham 16 7 2 7 26 33 -7 23
8 Chelsea 15 5 4 6 26 27 -1 19
9 Wolves 17 5 4 8 23 28 -5 19
10 Everton 17 5 4 8 16 30 -14 19
11 Bournemouth 15 5 3 7 24 31 -7 18
12 Brighton 17 4 5 8 24 31 -7 17
13 Crystal Palace 17 4 5 8 16 30 -14 17
14 Brentford 17 4 2 11 25 29 -4 14
15 Newcastle 15 4 2 9 26 32 -6 14
16 Fulham 17 3 5 9 20 35 -15 14
17 Burnley 17 3 4 10 20 32 -12 13
18 Nott'm Forest 17 2 4 11 17 35 -18 10
19 Luton 17 2 4 11 22 43 -21 10
20 Sheffield United 16 1 3 12 13 37 -24 6

Aston Villa   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 32 6 26 2.0 1.5 18 6 8 65 49 60
2 18 Luton 34 10 24 1.4 2.2 6 7 21 47 75 25
3 4 Aston Villa 33 10 23 2.1 1.5 19 6 8 68 49 63
4 6 Newcastle 32 9 23 2.2 1.6 15 5 12 69 52 50
5 15 Brentford 34 11 23 1.5 1.7 9 8 17 52 59 35
6 20 Sheffield United 33 10 23 0.9 2.7 3 7 23 31 88 16
7 13 Bournemouth 32 10 22 1.5 1.8 11 9 12 47 57 42
8 3 Liverpool 32 11 21 2.2 1.0 21 8 3 72 31 71
9 7 Man United 32 11 21 1.5 1.5 15 5 12 47 48 50
10 8 West Ham 33 12 21 1.6 1.8 13 9 11 52 58 48
11 9 Chelsea 31 10 21 2.0 1.7 13 8 10 61 52 47
12 11 Wolves 33 12 21 1.4 1.6 12 7 14 46 53 43
13 12 Fulham 33 12 21 1.5 1.5 12 6 15 49 51 42
14 1 Arsenal 33 13 20 2.3 0.8 23 5 5 77 26 74
15 2 Man City 32 12 20 2.4 1.0 22 7 3 76 32 73
16 10 Brighton 32 12 20 1.6 1.6 11 11 10 52 50 44
17 19 Burnley 34 14 20 1.1 2.0 5 8 21 37 69 23
18 17 Nott'm Forest 34 16 18 1.2 1.8 7 9 18 42 60 30
19 16 Crystal Palace 32 15 17 1.2 1.7 8 9 15 37 54 33
20 14 Everton 33 18 15 1.0 1.5 10 8 15 34 48 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 16 2 14 2.1 1.3 12 0 4 34 21 36
2 20 Sheffield United 17 3 14 1.1 3.0 2 4 11 18 51 10
3 3 Liverpool 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 3 1 43 15 42
4 4 Aston Villa 16 4 12 2.5 1.4 11 2 3 40 22 35
5 6 Newcastle 17 5 12 2.5 1.2 11 3 3 43 20 36
6 15 Brentford 17 5 12 1.6 1.8 5 6 6 27 30 21
7 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.5 1.9 4 3 10 25 32 15
8 1 Arsenal 16 5 11 2.4 0.9 12 2 2 38 15 38
9 7 Man United 15 4 11 1.5 1.5 8 2 5 23 22 26
10 9 Chelsea 16 6 10 2.2 1.6 8 4 4 35 25 28
11 11 Wolves 16 6 10 1.4 1.6 7 3 6 23 25 24
12 12 Fulham 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 9 1 6 29 16 28
13 13 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 6 6 5 23 26 24
14 2 Man City 17 8 9 2.5 0.8 12 5 0 43 14 41
15 10 Brighton 15 6 9 1.9 1.3 7 6 2 28 19 27
16 16 Crystal Palace 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 4 4 7 21 24 16
17 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.5 1.5 5 5 7 25 25 20
18 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.0 2.2 2 4 11 17 37 10
19 8 West Ham 17 9 8 1.5 1.5 6 7 4 26 25 25
20 14 Everton 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 18 18 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 West Ham 16 3 13 1.6 2.1 7 2 7 26 33 23
2 5 Tottenham 16 4 12 1.9 1.8 6 6 4 31 28 24
3 13 Bournemouth 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 5 3 7 24 31 18
4 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.3 2.5 2 4 11 22 43 10
5 2 Man City 15 4 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 3 33 18 32
6 4 Aston Villa 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 5 28 27 28
7 6 Newcastle 15 4 11 1.7 2.1 4 2 9 26 32 14
8 9 Chelsea 15 4 11 1.7 1.8 5 4 6 26 27 19
9 10 Brighton 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 4 5 8 24 31 17
10 11 Wolves 17 6 11 1.4 1.6 5 4 8 23 28 19
11 12 Fulham 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 3 5 9 20 35 14
12 15 Brentford 17 6 11 1.5 1.7 4 2 11 25 29 14
13 19 Burnley 17 6 11 1.2 1.9 3 4 10 20 32 13
14 7 Man United 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 24 26 24
15 1 Arsenal 17 8 9 2.3 0.6 11 3 3 39 11 36
16 3 Liverpool 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 8 5 2 29 16 29
17 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 11 17 35 10
18 20 Sheffield United 16 7 9 0.8 2.3 1 3 12 13 37 6
19 14 Everton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 5 4 8 16 30 19
20 16 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 4 5 8 16 30 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51