Burnley 4–0 Luton – England Championship, 8 Mar 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Burnley Luton

16 Shots 3

3 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 4

5 Fouls 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (423 league matches this season so far).

Result Burnley to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.50

Expected goals 1.77 – 0.51

Home / Draw / Away

68% 22% 10%

BurnleyDrawLuton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

60% 40%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

67% 33%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

27% 2

20% 3

12% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 18% 2–0 16% 0–0 10.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches

2.03points / match

1.29scored / match

0.29conceded / match

19 14 2

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 45:10

Luton before this match, all matches

0.89points / match

0.91scored / match

1.57conceded / match

8 7 20

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 32:55

Burnley all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.91

0.29 Goals conceded 1.57

1.57 Total goals 2.49

11.60 Shots 11.14

3.80 Shots on target 3.37

9.49 Shots faced 12.49

5.40 Corners 5.91

3.83 Corners against 4.91

12.03 Fouls 12.34

1.86 Yellow cards 1.89

0.66 1st-half goals scored 0.49

0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

54% Wins 23%

40% Draws 20%

6% Losses 57%

69% Over 0.5 goals 94%

46% Over 1.5 goals 69%

23% Over 2.5 goals 46%

11% Over 3.5 goals 20%

9% Over 4.5 goals 14%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

23% Both teams scored 51%

71% Clean sheets 20%

37% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 29%

51% Draws 40%

11% Losses 31%

54% Over 0.5 goals 69%

20% Over 1.5 goals 34%

6% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches

1

W

D

5

W

D

1

W

2

W

D

4

W

2

1

W

Luton all matches

1

2

L

D

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

1

W

Burnley before this match, at home

2.06points / match

1.29scored / match

0.24conceded / match

9 8

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 22:4

Luton before this match, away

0.29points / match

0.71scored / match

2.12conceded / match

1 2 14

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 12:36

Burnley at home away Luton

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.71

0.24 Goals conceded 2.12

1.53 Total goals 2.82

12.41 Shots 9.53

3.76 Shots on target 3.00

8.47 Shots faced 14.12

6.59 Corners 4.94

2.88 Corners against 5.47

10.94 Fouls 12.88

1.59 Yellow cards 2.12

0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.18 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

53% Wins 6%

47% Draws 12%

0% Losses 82%

65% Over 0.5 goals 94%

47% Over 1.5 goals 76%

24% Over 2.5 goals 47%

12% Over 3.5 goals 29%

6% Over 4.5 goals 24%

0% Over 5.5 goals 12%

24% Both teams scored 47%

76% Clean sheets 12%

35% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 24%

59% Draws 24%

6% Losses 53%

53% Over 0.5 goals 88%

24% Over 1.5 goals 53%

0% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home

2

W

1

D

2

1

W

D

1

W

2

W

4

W

Luton away

3

L

2

4

L

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

2

L

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Cardiff – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	4.20	3.40	1.90	2.57	1.46
21.02.25	Burnley – Sheffield Weds	4–0 (1–0)	1.77	3.25	5.00	2.38	1.57
15.02.25	Preston – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	3.75	3.25	2.05	2.75	1.44
12.02.25	Burnley – Hull	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.50	5.50	2.38	1.57
04.02.25	Burnley – Oxford	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	3.80	7.50	2.20	1.67
01.02.25	Portsmouth – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.40	1.75	2.20	1.67
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
22.01.25	Plymouth – Burnley	0–5 (0–5)	6.00	3.60	1.60	2.05	1.68
17.01.25	Burnley – Sunderland	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.63	1.50
04.01.25	Blackburn – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.40	2.20	2.38	1.57

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Luton – Portsmouth	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.05	1.80
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
19.02.25	Luton – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80
15.02.25	Luton – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.15	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
18.01.25	Luton – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.67
06.01.25	QPR – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67

Burnley at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.25	Burnley – Sheffield Weds	4–0 (1–0)	1.77	3.25	5.00	2.38	1.57
12.02.25	Burnley – Hull	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.50	5.50	2.38	1.57
04.02.25	Burnley – Oxford	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	3.80	7.50	2.20	1.67
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
17.01.25	Burnley – Sunderland	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.63	1.50
01.01.25	Burnley – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	3.80	6.50	2.20	1.67
21.12.24	Burnley – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.73
10.12.24	Burnley – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.50	5.25	2.63	1.50
06.12.24	Burnley – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.73
26.11.24	Burnley – Coventry	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.20	1.67

Luton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
06.01.25	QPR – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
29.12.24	Swansea – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.03	1.83
26.12.24	Bristol City – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
14.12.24	Blackburn – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	2.00	1.80
30.11.24	Norwich – Luton	4–2 (2–1)	2.00	3.70	3.40	1.80	2.00
27.11.24	Leeds – Luton	3–0 (2–0)	1.42	4.20	8.00	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2

Burnley winsDrawsLuton wins

5matches

2.60goals / match

40%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.08.24E1	Luton – Burnley	1–4 (0–2)	2.38	3.40	2.88	1.88	1.98
12.01.24E0	Burnley – Luton	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.99	1.91
03.10.23E0	Luton – Burnley	1–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.00	2.63	2.20	1.65
18.02.23E1	Luton – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67
06.08.22E1	Burnley – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.75	4.60	2.00	1.85

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	35	22	10	3	72	22	+50	76
2	Sheffield United	35	23	6	6	50	27	+23	75
3	Burnley	35	19	14	2	45	10	+35	71
4	Sunderland	35	18	11	6	52	32	+20	65
5	Coventry	36	16	8	12	52	46	+6	56
6	West Brom	35	12	16	7	45	32	+13	52
7	Bristol City	35	13	13	9	45	38	+7	52
8	Blackburn	35	15	7	13	40	35	+5	52
9	Middlesbrough	35	14	8	13	55	46	+9	50
10	Norwich	36	12	13	11	57	49	+8	49
11	Watford	36	14	7	15	46	50	-4	49
12	Millwall	36	12	12	12	36	37	-1	48
13	Sheffield Weds	35	12	9	14	47	56	-9	45
14	QPR	35	11	11	13	41	45	-4	44
15	Preston	35	9	16	10	36	41	-5	43
16	Swansea	35	11	8	16	37	46	-9	41
17	Portsmouth	35	10	9	16	43	57	-14	39
18	Oxford	36	9	12	15	37	53	-16	39
19	Hull	35	9	9	17	35	44	-9	36
20	Stoke	36	8	12	16	36	50	-14	36
21	Cardiff	35	8	12	15	38	57	-19	36
22	Luton	35	8	7	20	32	55	-23	31
23	Plymouth	35	6	12	17	36	70	-34	30
24	Derby	35	7	8	20	33	48	-15	29

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	17	12	2	3	25	13	+12	38
3	Sunderland	17	10	6	1	28	13	+15	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
6	Coventry	18	10	3	5	31	22	+9	33
7	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
8	Watford	18	10	2	6	23	19	+4	32
9	Norwich	18	8	7	3	42	24	+18	31
10	West Brom	17	8	7	2	23	11	+12	31
11	Portsmouth	17	8	5	4	26	16	+10	29
12	Middlesbrough	18	8	5	5	25	19	+6	29
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
16	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
17	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	30	28	+2	25
18	Millwall	18	7	4	7	19	17	+2	25
19	Cardiff	18	7	3	8	21	22	-1	24
20	Swansea	17	6	5	6	24	19	+5	23
21	Stoke	18	5	8	5	22	21	+1	23
22	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
23	Derby	17	6	3	8	19	16	+3	21
24	Hull	18	3	7	8	19	23	-4	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	17	8	7	2	27	13	+14	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Coventry	18	6	5	7	21	24	-3	23
6	Millwall	18	5	8	5	17	20	-3	23
7	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
8	Middlesbrough	17	6	3	8	30	27	+3	21
9	West Brom	18	4	9	5	22	21	+1	21
10	Bristol City	18	4	8	6	20	25	-5	20
11	Hull	17	6	2	9	16	21	-5	20
12	Blackburn	17	5	4	8	15	20	-5	19
13	QPR	17	4	6	7	14	21	-7	18
14	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
15	Swansea	18	5	3	10	13	27	-14	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10	15
18	Stoke	18	3	4	11	14	29	-15	13
19	Cardiff	17	1	9	7	17	35	-18	12
20	Oxford	18	1	7	10	11	28	-17	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	17	1	2	14	12	36	-24	5
24	Plymouth	18	0	5	13	6	42	-36	5

Burnley Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	35	12	23	1.2	1.6	10	9	16	43	57	39
2	11	Watford	36	14	22	1.3	1.4	14	7	15	46	50	49
3	5	Coventry	36	16	20	1.4	1.3	16	8	12	52	46	56
4	13	Sheffield Weds	35	15	20	1.3	1.6	12	9	14	47	56	45
5	23	Plymouth	35	17	18	1.0	2.0	6	12	17	36	70	30
6	4	Sunderland	35	18	17	1.5	0.9	18	11	6	52	32	65
7	9	Middlesbrough	35	18	17	1.6	1.3	14	8	13	55	46	50
8	10	Norwich	36	19	17	1.6	1.4	12	13	11	57	49	49
9	14	QPR	35	18	17	1.2	1.3	11	11	13	41	45	44
10	16	Swansea	35	18	17	1.1	1.3	11	8	16	37	46	41
11	22	Luton	35	19	16	0.9	1.6	8	7	20	32	55	31
12	1	Leeds	35	20	15	2.1	0.6	22	10	3	72	22	76
13	15	Preston	35	20	15	1.0	1.2	9	16	10	36	41	43
14	20	Stoke	36	21	15	1.0	1.4	8	12	16	36	50	36
15	21	Cardiff	35	20	15	1.1	1.6	8	12	15	38	57	36
16	7	Bristol City	35	21	14	1.3	1.1	13	13	9	45	38	52
17	24	Derby	35	21	14	0.9	1.4	7	8	20	33	48	29
18	2	Sheffield United	35	22	13	1.4	0.8	23	6	6	50	27	75
19	6	West Brom	35	22	13	1.3	0.9	12	16	7	45	32	52
20	8	Blackburn	35	22	13	1.1	1.0	15	7	13	40	35	52
21	18	Oxford	36	23	13	1.0	1.5	9	12	15	37	53	39
22	19	Hull	35	23	12	1.0	1.3	9	9	17	35	44	36
23	12	Millwall	36	26	10	1.0	1.0	12	12	12	36	37	48
24	3	Burnley	35	27	8	1.3	0.3	19	14	2	45	10	71

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	18	5	13	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	31	22	33
2	10	Norwich	18	7	11	2.3	1.3	8	7	3	42	24	31
3	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.1	10	2	6	23	19	32
4	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
5	17	Portsmouth	17	6	11	1.5	0.9	8	5	4	26	16	29
6	23	Plymouth	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	7	4	30	28	25
7	1	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.6	0.8	10	6	1	28	13	36
9	13	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	16	Swansea	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	6	5	6	24	19	23
11	20	Stoke	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	5	8	5	22	21	23
12	22	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
13	7	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
14	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
15	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.5	0.8	12	2	3	25	13	38
16	8	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
17	9	Middlesbrough	18	12	6	1.4	1.1	8	5	5	25	19	29
18	19	Hull	18	12	6	1.1	1.3	3	7	8	19	23	16
19	21	Cardiff	18	12	6	1.2	1.2	7	3	8	21	22	24
20	24	Derby	17	11	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	8	19	16	21
21	6	West Brom	17	12	5	1.4	0.6	8	7	2	23	11	31
22	12	Millwall	18	13	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	7	19	17	25
23	15	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	9	Middlesbrough	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	3	8	30	27	21
4	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	15	Preston	17	7	10	1.0	1.6	3	6	8	17	27	15
6	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
7	16	Swansea	18	9	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	10	13	27	18
8	21	Cardiff	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	1	9	7	17	35	12
9	6	West Brom	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	4	9	5	22	21	21
10	22	Luton	17	9	8	0.7	2.1	1	2	14	12	36	5
11	24	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
12	2	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
13	5	Coventry	18	11	7	1.2	1.3	6	5	7	21	24	23
14	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.1	1.4	4	8	6	20	25	20
15	8	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	15	20	19
16	20	Stoke	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	4	11	14	29	13
17	23	Plymouth	18	11	7	0.3	2.3	0	5	13	6	42	5
18	10	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
19	14	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	7	14	21	18
20	18	Oxford	18	12	6	0.6	1.6	1	7	10	11	28	10
21	19	Hull	17	11	6	0.9	1.2	6	2	9	16	21	20
22	1	Leeds	17	12	5	1.6	0.8	8	7	2	27	13	31
23	12	Millwall	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	5	8	5	17	20	23
24	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.