Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Napoli 1–0 Milan

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 2.85
Draw 3.00 fair 3.69
Away 3.00 fair 2.64
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Napoli Milan
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 3
7 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (309 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
NapoliDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 0–1 10.6% 1–0 10.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Napoli before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
1.53scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 46:30
Milan before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
1.57scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 47:23
Napoli all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.57
1.00 Goals conceded 0.77
2.53 Total goals 2.33
13.03 Shots 13.73
4.80 Shots on target 4.50
10.60 Shots faced 11.20
5.33 Corners 4.63
2.87 Corners against 4.47
12.03 Fouls 10.00
1.40 Yellow cards 1.63
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.37

How often Full Time

63% Wins 60%
17% Draws 30%
20% Losses 10%
93% Over 0.5 goals 97%
70% Over 1.5 goals 67%
57% Over 2.5 goals 43%
27% Over 3.5 goals 20%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 43%
20% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 30%
27% Draws 57%
20% Losses 13%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
30% Over 1.5 goals 30%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli all matches
Milan all matches
Napoli before this match, at home
2.43points / match
1.79scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:13
Milan before this match, away
2.13points / match
1.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:10
Napoli at home away Milan

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 1.67
0.93 Goals conceded 0.67
2.71 Total goals 2.33
13.43 Shots 11.33
5.43 Shots on target 3.87
11.21 Shots faced 12.60
6.14 Corners 3.80
2.64 Corners against 5.13
12.29 Fouls 9.53
1.07 Yellow cards 1.40
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

71% Wins 60%
29% Draws 33%
0% Losses 7%
86% Over 0.5 goals 93%
71% Over 1.5 goals 73%
71% Over 2.5 goals 40%
36% Over 3.5 goals 20%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 47%
29% Clean sheets 47%
14% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 27%
29% Draws 60%
21% Losses 13%
79% Over 0.5 goals 53%
21% Over 1.5 goals 33%
7% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.03.26 Cagliari – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.401.75 2.50 1.53
14.03.26 Napoli – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.20 1.67
06.03.26 Napoli – Torino 2–1 (1–0) 1.573.806.25 2.20 1.67
28.02.26 Verona – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 7.504.001.50 2.30 1.62
22.02.26 Atalanta – Napoli 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.73
15.02.26 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
07.02.26 Genoa – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 4.503.201.95 2.63 1.50
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
25.01.26 Juventus – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
17.01.26 Napoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.50 2.03 1.83

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Milan – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 1.404.757.50 1.80 2.00
15.03.26 Lazio – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80
01.03.26 Cremonese – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Milan – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Milan – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
13.02.26 Pisa – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Bologna – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 2.903.252.50 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.20 1.67
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91

Napoli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Napoli – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.20 1.67
06.03.26 Napoli – Torino 2–1 (1–0) 1.573.806.25 2.20 1.67
15.02.26 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
17.01.26 Napoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.50 2.03 1.83
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
07.01.26 Napoli – Verona 2–2 (0–2) 1.365.507.50 2.00 1.80
07.12.25 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.003.20 2.50 1.53
22.11.25 Napoli – Atalanta 3–1 (3–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Napoli – Como 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.50 2.20 1.67

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Lazio – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.20 1.67
01.03.26 Cremonese – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 1.91 1.91
13.02.26 Pisa – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Bologna – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 2.903.252.50 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.20 1.67
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Napoli winsDrawsMilan wins
9matches
2.44goals / match
56%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25I1 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
30.03.25I1 Napoli – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.703.75 2.02 1.88
29.10.24I1 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
11.02.24I1 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
29.10.23I1 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
02.04.23I1 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.09.22I1 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
06.03.22I1 Napoli – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.04 1.86
19.12.21I1 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 23 3 5 71 26 +45 72
2 Milan 30 18 9 3 47 23 +24 63
3 Napoli 30 19 5 6 46 30 +16 62
4 Como 31 16 10 5 53 22 +31 58
5 Juventus 31 16 9 6 54 29 +25 57
6 Roma 31 17 3 11 42 28 +14 54
7 Atalanta 31 14 11 6 44 27 +17 53
8 Bologna 31 13 6 12 40 37 +3 45
9 Lazio 31 11 11 9 32 29 +3 44
10 Sassuolo 31 12 6 13 38 41 -3 42
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 35 42 -7 40
12 Torino 31 10 6 15 35 53 -18 36
13 Parma 31 8 11 12 22 39 -17 35
14 Genoa 31 8 9 14 36 44 -8 33
15 Fiorentina 31 7 11 13 36 44 -8 32
16 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 32 44 -12 30
17 Cremonese 31 6 9 16 26 46 -20 27
18 Lecce 31 7 6 18 21 43 -22 27
19 Verona 31 3 9 19 22 53 -31 18
20 Pisa 31 2 12 17 23 55 -32 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 2 2 44 15 +29 38
2 Napoli 14 10 4 0 25 13 +12 34
3 Juventus 16 9 6 1 32 13 +19 33
4 Como 16 9 5 2 31 11 +20 32
5 Roma 15 10 2 3 23 9 +14 32
6 Atalanta 16 9 5 2 25 13 +12 32
7 Milan 15 9 4 2 22 13 +9 31
8 Lazio 16 7 5 4 22 18 +4 26
9 Sassuolo 16 7 2 7 19 22 -3 23
10 Udinese 16 5 5 6 16 19 -3 20
11 Torino 15 6 2 7 19 23 -4 20
12 Genoa 16 5 4 7 19 21 -2 19
13 Bologna 15 5 2 8 14 18 -4 17
14 Cagliari 15 4 4 7 16 18 -2 16
15 Lecce 16 4 4 8 11 22 -11 16
16 Fiorentina 15 3 6 6 19 20 -1 15
17 Parma 15 3 5 7 11 21 -10 14
18 Cremonese 15 2 6 7 13 23 -10 12
19 Pisa 16 2 4 10 7 19 -12 10
20 Verona 15 1 4 10 12 24 -12 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 1 3 27 11 +16 34
2 Milan 15 9 5 1 25 10 +15 32
3 Bologna 16 8 4 4 26 19 +7 28
4 Napoli 16 9 1 6 21 17 +4 28
5 Como 15 7 5 3 22 11 +11 26
6 Juventus 15 7 3 5 22 16 +6 24
7 Roma 16 7 1 8 19 19 0 22
8 Atalanta 15 5 6 4 19 14 +5 21
9 Parma 16 5 6 5 11 18 -7 21
10 Udinese 15 6 2 7 19 23 -4 20
11 Sassuolo 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
12 Lazio 15 4 6 5 10 11 -1 18
13 Fiorentina 16 4 5 7 17 24 -7 17
14 Torino 16 4 4 8 16 30 -14 16
15 Cremonese 16 4 3 9 13 23 -10 15
16 Genoa 15 3 5 7 17 23 -6 14
17 Cagliari 16 3 5 8 16 26 -10 14
18 Lecce 15 3 2 10 10 21 -11 11
19 Verona 16 2 5 9 10 29 -19 11
20 Pisa 15 0 8 7 16 36 -20 8

Napoli   Milan

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 31 12 19 1.1 1.7 10 6 15 35 53 36
2 15 Fiorentina 31 13 18 1.2 1.4 7 11 13 36 44 32
3 19 Verona 31 13 18 0.7 1.7 3 9 19 22 53 18
4 3 Napoli 30 13 17 1.5 1.0 19 5 6 46 30 62
5 10 Sassuolo 31 14 17 1.2 1.3 12 6 13 38 41 42
6 14 Genoa 31 14 17 1.2 1.4 8 9 14 36 44 33
7 1 Inter 31 15 16 2.3 0.8 23 3 5 71 26 72
8 8 Bologna 31 16 15 1.3 1.2 13 6 12 40 37 45
9 11 Udinese 31 16 15 1.1 1.4 11 7 13 35 42 40
10 16 Cagliari 31 16 15 1.0 1.4 7 9 15 32 44 30
11 4 Como 31 17 14 1.7 0.7 16 10 5 53 22 58
12 5 Juventus 31 17 14 1.7 0.9 16 9 6 54 29 57
13 20 Pisa 31 17 14 0.7 1.8 2 12 17 23 55 18
14 2 Milan 30 17 13 1.6 0.8 18 9 3 47 23 63
15 17 Cremonese 31 18 13 0.8 1.5 6 9 16 26 46 27
16 7 Atalanta 31 19 12 1.4 0.9 14 11 6 44 27 53
17 18 Lecce 31 19 12 0.7 1.4 7 6 18 21 43 27
18 6 Roma 31 20 11 1.4 0.9 17 3 11 42 28 54
19 13 Parma 31 21 10 0.7 1.3 8 11 12 22 39 35
20 9 Lazio 31 23 8 1.0 0.9 11 11 9 32 29 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 16 5 11 2.8 0.9 12 2 2 44 15 38
2 3 Napoli 14 4 10 1.8 0.9 10 4 0 25 13 34
3 10 Sassuolo 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 7 2 7 19 22 23
4 12 Torino 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 23 20
5 14 Genoa 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 5 4 7 19 21 19
6 5 Juventus 16 8 8 2.0 0.8 9 6 1 32 13 33
7 15 Fiorentina 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 3 6 6 19 20 15
8 18 Lecce 16 8 8 0.7 1.4 4 4 8 11 22 16
9 19 Verona 15 7 8 0.8 1.6 1 4 10 12 24 7
10 2 Milan 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 9 4 2 22 13 31
11 4 Como 16 9 7 1.9 0.7 9 5 2 31 11 32
12 7 Atalanta 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 25 13 32
13 11 Udinese 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 5 5 6 16 19 20
14 8 Bologna 15 9 6 0.9 1.2 5 2 8 14 18 17
15 9 Lazio 16 10 6 1.4 1.1 7 5 4 22 18 26
16 17 Cremonese 15 9 6 0.9 1.5 2 6 7 13 23 12
17 13 Parma 15 10 5 0.7 1.4 3 5 7 11 21 14
18 16 Cagliari 15 10 5 1.1 1.2 4 4 7 16 18 16
19 6 Roma 15 11 4 1.5 0.6 10 2 3 23 9 32
20 20 Pisa 16 12 4 0.4 1.2 2 4 10 7 19 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 16 6 10 1.0 1.9 4 4 8 16 30 16
2 15 Fiorentina 16 6 10 1.1 1.5 4 5 7 17 24 17
3 16 Cagliari 16 6 10 1.0 1.6 3 5 8 16 26 14
4 19 Verona 16 6 10 0.6 1.8 2 5 9 10 29 11
5 20 Pisa 15 5 10 1.1 2.4 0 8 7 16 36 8
6 8 Bologna 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 8 4 4 26 19 28
7 10 Sassuolo 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
8 11 Udinese 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 23 20
9 14 Genoa 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 3 5 7 17 23 14
10 3 Napoli 16 9 7 1.3 1.1 9 1 6 21 17 28
11 4 Como 15 8 7 1.5 0.7 7 5 3 22 11 26
12 6 Roma 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 1 8 19 19 22
13 17 Cremonese 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 4 3 9 13 23 15
14 2 Milan 15 9 6 1.7 0.7 9 5 1 25 10 32
15 5 Juventus 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 22 16 24
16 1 Inter 15 10 5 1.8 0.7 11 1 3 27 11 34
17 7 Atalanta 15 10 5 1.3 0.9 5 6 4 19 14 21
18 13 Parma 16 11 5 0.7 1.1 5 6 5 11 18 21
19 18 Lecce 15 11 4 0.7 1.4 3 2 10 10 21 11
20 9 Lazio 15 13 2 0.7 0.7 4 6 5 10 11 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38