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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Roma 4–0 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 1.89
Draw 4.20 fair 3.95
Away 5.00 fair 4.62
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.22

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Roma Fiorentina
14 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 5
12 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (349 league matches this season so far).
Result Roma to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.57 – 0.90
Home / Draw / Away
RomaDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.2% 1–1 11.9% 2–0 10.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Roma before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.41scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 48:29
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.12scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 38:45
Roma all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.12
0.85 Goals conceded 1.32
2.26 Total goals 2.44
12.91 Shots 13.26
4.41 Shots on target 3.56
10.09 Shots faced 13.06
5.06 Corners 4.56
3.38 Corners against 4.65
14.06 Fouls 12.62
1.85 Yellow cards 2.26
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

56% Wins 24%
12% Draws 38%
32% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
62% Over 1.5 goals 71%
35% Over 2.5 goals 53%
15% Over 3.5 goals 24%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 3%
35% Both teams scored 62%
44% Clean sheets 24%
21% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 24%
41% Draws 38%
18% Losses 38%
65% Over 0.5 goals 65%
21% Over 1.5 goals 21%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Roma before this match, at home
2.12points / match
1.59scored / match
0.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:10
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.06scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 18:25
Roma at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.06
0.59 Goals conceded 1.47
2.18 Total goals 2.53
15.35 Shots 10.41
5.00 Shots on target 2.82
8.47 Shots faced 14.88
5.71 Corners 3.41
2.65 Corners against 5.18
12.65 Fouls 13.29
1.53 Yellow cards 2.24
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

65% Wins 24%
18% Draws 35%
18% Losses 41%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
65% Over 1.5 goals 76%
29% Over 2.5 goals 59%
12% Over 3.5 goals 24%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 59%
53% Clean sheets 18%
18% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 24%
53% Draws 53%
12% Losses 24%
53% Over 0.5 goals 53%
18% Over 1.5 goals 24%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Bologna – Roma 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.73
18.04.26 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.90 2.00 1.80
10.04.26 Roma – Pisa 3–0 (2–0) 1.335.009.00 1.83 2.03
05.04.26 Inter – Roma 5–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.25 1.91 1.91
22.03.26 Roma – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Como – Roma 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.73
08.03.26 Genoa – Roma 2–1 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 2.30 1.62
01.03.26 Roma – Juventus 3–3 (1–0) 2.633.102.88 2.30 1.62
22.02.26 Roma – Cremonese 3–0 (0–0) 1.364.5010.00 1.98 1.88
15.02.26 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 1.88 1.98
20.04.26 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
13.04.26 Fiorentina – Lazio 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.67
04.04.26 Verona – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Fiorentina – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.73 2.10
16.03.26 Cremonese – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–2) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
08.03.26 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
02.03.26 Udinese – Fiorentina 3–0 (1–0) 3.253.202.35 2.05 1.80
23.02.26 Fiorentina – Pisa 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
14.02.26 Como – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.733.754.75 1.80 2.00

Roma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.90 2.00 1.80
10.04.26 Roma – Pisa 3–0 (2–0) 1.335.009.00 1.83 2.03
22.03.26 Roma – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.10 1.73
01.03.26 Roma – Juventus 3–3 (1–0) 2.633.102.88 2.30 1.62
22.02.26 Roma – Cremonese 3–0 (0–0) 1.364.5010.00 1.98 1.88
09.02.26 Roma – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.107.50 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.20 1.67
10.01.26 Roma – Sassuolo 2–0 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 2.03 1.83
29.12.25 Roma – Genoa 3–1 (3–0) 1.603.606.25 2.38 1.57
15.12.25 Roma – Como 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.26 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
04.04.26 Verona – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 2.20 1.67
16.03.26 Cremonese – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–2) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Udinese – Fiorentina 3–0 (1–0) 3.253.202.35 2.05 1.80
14.02.26 Como – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.733.754.75 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
18.01.26 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.303.40 2.00 1.85
07.01.26 Lazio – Fiorentina 2–2 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67
06.12.25 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 3–1 (2–1) 2.883.252.50 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Roma winsDrawsFiorentina wins
9matches
3.00goals / match
56%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25I1 Fiorentina – Roma 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
04.05.25I1 Roma – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.705.50 2.03 1.87
27.10.24I1 Fiorentina – Roma 5–1 (3–1) 2.553.402.75 2.07 1.83
10.03.24I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
10.12.23I1 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67
27.05.23I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.67
15.01.23I1 Roma – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
09.05.22I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 1.91 1.99
22.08.21I1 Roma – Fiorentina 3–1 (1–0) 1.723.804.75 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 35 26 4 5 82 31 +51 82
2 Napoli 35 21 7 7 52 33 +19 70
3 Milan 35 19 10 6 48 29 +19 67
4 Juventus 35 18 11 6 58 30 +28 65
5 Como 35 17 11 7 59 28 +31 62
6 Roma 34 19 4 11 48 29 +19 61
7 Atalanta 35 14 13 8 47 32 +15 55
8 Lazio 35 13 12 10 39 34 +5 51
9 Bologna 35 14 7 14 42 41 +1 49
10 Sassuolo 35 14 7 14 43 44 -1 49
11 Udinese 35 13 8 14 43 46 -3 47
12 Parma 35 10 12 13 25 42 -17 42
13 Torino 35 11 8 16 39 58 -19 41
14 Genoa 35 10 10 15 40 48 -8 40
15 Fiorentina 34 8 13 13 38 45 -7 37
16 Cagliari 35 9 10 16 36 49 -13 37
17 Lecce 35 8 8 19 24 47 -23 32
18 Cremonese 35 6 10 19 27 53 -26 28
19 Verona 35 3 11 21 24 57 -33 20
20 Pisa 35 2 12 21 25 63 -38 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 2 2 49 15 +34 44
2 Napoli 17 12 4 1 30 15 +15 40
3 Juventus 18 10 7 1 35 14 +21 37
4 Roma 17 11 3 3 27 10 +17 36
5 Como 18 9 6 3 34 15 +19 33
6 Atalanta 18 9 6 3 25 14 +11 33
7 Milan 17 9 5 3 22 16 +6 32
8 Sassuolo 18 9 2 7 23 23 0 29
9 Lazio 17 7 6 4 25 21 +4 27
10 Torino 17 7 3 7 23 26 -3 24
11 Udinese 18 6 5 7 18 20 -2 23
12 Cagliari 17 6 4 7 20 20 0 22
13 Genoa 18 6 4 8 21 24 -3 22
14 Bologna 18 6 3 9 16 20 -4 21
15 Fiorentina 17 4 7 6 20 20 0 19
16 Parma 17 4 6 7 13 22 -9 18
17 Lecce 17 4 5 8 12 23 -11 17
18 Cremonese 17 2 7 8 14 25 -11 13
19 Pisa 18 2 4 12 9 23 -14 10
20 Verona 17 1 5 11 12 25 -13 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 12 2 3 33 16 +17 38
2 Milan 18 10 5 3 26 13 +13 35
3 Napoli 18 9 3 6 22 18 +4 30
4 Como 17 8 5 4 25 13 +12 29
5 Juventus 17 8 4 5 23 16 +7 28
6 Bologna 17 8 4 5 26 21 +5 28
7 Roma 17 8 1 8 21 19 +2 25
8 Lazio 18 6 6 6 14 13 +1 24
9 Udinese 17 7 3 7 25 26 -1 24
10 Parma 18 6 6 6 12 20 -8 24
11 Atalanta 17 5 7 5 22 18 +4 22
12 Sassuolo 17 5 5 7 20 21 -1 20
13 Genoa 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Fiorentina 17 4 6 7 18 25 -7 18
15 Torino 18 4 5 9 16 32 -16 17
16 Lecce 18 4 3 11 12 24 -12 15
17 Cagliari 18 3 6 9 16 29 -13 15
18 Cremonese 18 4 3 11 13 28 -15 15
19 Verona 18 2 6 10 12 32 -20 12
20 Pisa 17 0 8 9 16 40 -24 8

Roma   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Torino 35 14 21 1.1 1.7 11 8 16 39 58 41
2 1 Inter 35 16 19 2.3 0.9 26 4 5 82 31 82
3 10 Sassuolo 35 16 19 1.2 1.3 14 7 14 43 44 49
4 14 Genoa 35 16 19 1.1 1.4 10 10 15 40 48 40
5 19 Verona 35 16 19 0.7 1.6 3 11 21 24 57 20
6 2 Napoli 35 17 18 1.5 0.9 21 7 7 52 33 70
7 15 Fiorentina 34 16 18 1.1 1.3 8 13 13 38 45 37
8 11 Udinese 35 18 17 1.2 1.3 13 8 14 43 46 47
9 16 Cagliari 35 18 17 1.0 1.4 9 10 16 36 49 37
10 20 Pisa 35 18 17 0.7 1.8 2 12 21 25 63 18
11 5 Como 35 19 16 1.7 0.8 17 11 7 59 28 62
12 9 Bologna 35 20 15 1.2 1.2 14 7 14 42 41 49
13 18 Cremonese 35 20 15 0.8 1.5 6 10 19 27 53 28
14 3 Milan 35 21 14 1.4 0.8 19 10 6 48 29 67
15 4 Juventus 35 21 14 1.7 0.9 18 11 6 58 30 65
16 7 Atalanta 35 22 13 1.3 0.9 14 13 8 47 32 55
17 17 Lecce 35 22 13 0.7 1.3 8 8 19 24 47 32
18 6 Roma 34 22 12 1.4 0.9 19 4 11 48 29 61
19 8 Lazio 35 25 10 1.1 1.0 13 12 10 39 34 51
20 12 Parma 35 25 10 0.7 1.2 10 12 13 25 42 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 18 6 12 2.7 0.8 14 2 2 49 15 44
2 2 Napoli 17 6 11 1.8 0.9 12 4 1 30 15 40
3 13 Torino 17 6 11 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 23 26 24
4 10 Sassuolo 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 9 2 7 23 23 29
5 14 Genoa 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 4 8 21 24 22
6 3 Milan 17 9 8 1.3 0.9 9 5 3 22 16 32
7 4 Juventus 18 10 8 1.9 0.8 10 7 1 35 14 37
8 5 Como 18 10 8 1.9 0.8 9 6 3 34 15 33
9 15 Fiorentina 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 4 7 6 20 20 19
10 17 Lecce 17 9 8 0.7 1.4 4 5 8 12 23 17
11 19 Verona 17 9 8 0.7 1.5 1 5 11 12 25 8
12 7 Atalanta 18 11 7 1.4 0.8 9 6 3 25 14 33
13 8 Lazio 17 10 7 1.5 1.2 7 6 4 25 21 27
14 11 Udinese 18 11 7 1.0 1.1 6 5 7 18 20 23
15 18 Cremonese 17 10 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 8 14 25 13
16 9 Bologna 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 6 3 9 16 20 21
17 16 Cagliari 17 11 6 1.2 1.2 6 4 7 20 20 22
18 20 Pisa 18 12 6 0.5 1.3 2 4 12 9 23 10
19 6 Roma 17 12 5 1.6 0.6 11 3 3 27 10 36
20 12 Parma 17 12 5 0.8 1.3 4 6 7 13 22 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Cagliari 18 7 11 0.9 1.6 3 6 9 16 29 15
2 19 Verona 18 7 11 0.7 1.8 2 6 10 12 32 12
3 20 Pisa 17 6 11 0.9 2.4 0 8 9 16 40 8
4 11 Udinese 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 7 3 7 25 26 24
5 13 Torino 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 4 5 9 16 32 17
6 15 Fiorentina 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 4 6 7 18 25 18
7 9 Bologna 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 8 4 5 26 21 28
8 10 Sassuolo 17 8 9 1.2 1.2 5 5 7 20 21 20
9 14 Genoa 17 8 9 1.1 1.4 4 6 7 19 24 18
10 5 Como 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 8 5 4 25 13 29
11 18 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 11 13 28 15
12 1 Inter 17 10 7 1.9 0.9 12 2 3 33 16 38
13 2 Napoli 18 11 7 1.2 1.0 9 3 6 22 18 30
14 6 Roma 17 10 7 1.2 1.1 8 1 8 21 19 25
15 3 Milan 18 12 6 1.4 0.7 10 5 3 26 13 35
16 4 Juventus 17 11 6 1.4 0.9 8 4 5 23 16 28
17 7 Atalanta 17 11 6 1.3 1.1 5 7 5 22 18 22
18 12 Parma 18 13 5 0.7 1.1 6 6 6 12 20 24
19 17 Lecce 18 13 5 0.7 1.3 4 3 11 12 24 15
20 8 Lazio 18 15 3 0.8 0.7 6 6 6 14 13 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51