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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 0–1 Sp Lisbon

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 12.00 fair 5.28
Draw 6.25 fair 4.87
Away ✓ 1.19 fair 1.65
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.70 fair 2.61
Over 2.5 1.44 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Sp Lisbon
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 13
14 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (253 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.09 – 2.10
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawSp Lisbon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.9% 1–1 9.4% 0–2 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.18scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 33:47
Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.52points / match
2.67scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 72:17
Estrela all matches all matches Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 2.67
1.68 Goals conceded 0.63
2.86 Total goals 3.30
11.29 Shots 18.04
3.71 Shots on target 7.04
13.68 Shots faced 8.26
3.50 Corners 7.04
5.54 Corners against 2.74
14.57 Fouls 12.44
2.54 Yellow cards 2.37
0.57 1st-half goals scored 1.15
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.22

How often Full Time

21% Wins 78%
36% Draws 19%
43% Losses 4%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 93%
54% Over 2.5 goals 70%
39% Over 3.5 goals 33%
14% Over 4.5 goals 22%
7% Over 5.5 goals 11%
46% Both teams scored 52%
25% Clean sheets 48%
43% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 59%
32% Draws 37%
46% Losses 4%
75% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 41%
21% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Sp Lisbon all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.21points / match
1.43scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 20:21
Sp Lisbon before this match, away
2.43points / match
2.29scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 32:11
Estrela at home away Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 2.29
1.50 Goals conceded 0.79
2.93 Total goals 3.07
14.14 Shots 16.21
4.21 Shots on target 6.36
12.21 Shots faced 9.50
3.86 Corners 7.07
4.57 Corners against 3.21
14.21 Fouls 12.79
2.50 Yellow cards 3.00
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

29% Wins 71%
36% Draws 29%
36% Losses 0%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 93%
57% Over 2.5 goals 64%
43% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 21%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 71%
29% Clean sheets 29%
36% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 57%
29% Draws 36%
43% Losses 7%
79% Over 0.5 goals 86%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
21% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Sp Lisbon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
20.03.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 2.403.103.10 2.20 1.65
15.03.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
08.03.26 Estrela – Gil Vicente 2–2 (0–1) 4.753.201.79 2.25 1.62
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65
20.02.26 Estrela – Tondela 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.202.70 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–1 (0–1) 1.623.505.50 2.15 1.67
07.02.26 Estrela – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 3.402.852.30 2.88 1.40
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
25.01.26 Benfica – Estrela 4–0 (1–0) 1.109.0019.00 1.50 2.50

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara 4–2 (3–1) 1.275.259.00 1.75 2.05
22.03.26 Alverca – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–1) 10.005.001.27 1.62 2.25
07.03.26 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (1–2) 3.403.302.10 2.00 1.80
27.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–0 (2–0) 1.157.5012.00 1.30 3.50
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
15.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 1.255.0011.00 1.67 2.15
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.03.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 2.403.103.10 2.20 1.65
08.03.26 Estrela – Gil Vicente 2–2 (0–1) 4.753.201.79 2.25 1.62
20.02.26 Estrela – Tondela 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.202.70 2.25 1.62
07.02.26 Estrela – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 3.402.852.30 2.88 1.40
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 3–3 (1–1) 6.504.331.45 1.85 2.00
20.12.25 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67

Sp Lisbon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Alverca – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–1) 10.005.001.27 1.62 2.25
07.03.26 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (1–2) 3.403.302.10 2.00 1.80
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
05.12.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.052.65 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsSp Lisbon wins
5matches
4.20goals / match
100%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
29.03.25P1 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 9.005.001.33 1.73 2.08
01.11.24P1 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
29.03.24P1 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–2) 13.007.001.20 1.53 2.40
05.11.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 3–2 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.44 2.70

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 28 23 4 1 56 13 +43 73 WWDWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 27 21 5 1 72 17 +55 68 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 28 19 9 0 59 18 +41 66 WWDWWD
4 Sp Braga 27 14 7 6 54 27 +27 49 LWWDLW
5 Famalicao 29 13 8 8 36 25 +11 47 DWWWDD
6 Gil Vicente 28 12 9 7 42 28 +14 45 LLDDLW
7 Estoril 28 10 7 11 50 47 +3 37 WLDWLL
8 Guimaraes 29 10 6 13 35 43 -8 36 DLLLWD
9 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32 41 -9 36 DDLLLD
10 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31 48 -17 33 DWWWLW
11 Alverca 28 8 8 12 29 46 -17 32 DDDDLW
12 Arouca 28 9 5 14 37 57 -20 32 WLLLWW
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26 37 -11 28 DWWWLL
14 Estrela 28 6 10 12 33 47 -14 28 LDDLWL
15 Nacional 28 6 7 15 31 39 -8 25 LLDLLW
16 Casa Pia 27 5 10 12 27 49 -22 25 WLDDLD
17 Tondela 27 4 8 15 19 44 -25 20 DWDLDL
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19 62 -43 12 DDLDLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 14 11 3 0 29 6 +23 36 WDWWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 13 11 1 1 40 6 +34 34 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 14 9 5 0 33 10 +23 32 WWWWDW
4 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27 WWWWWD
5 Gil Vicente 14 8 3 3 25 12 +13 27 WWWLDW
6 Guimaraes 15 7 4 4 24 18 +6 25 LWWDLW
7 Sp Braga 13 7 3 3 28 13 +15 24 DWWWDL
8 Estoril 14 6 5 3 27 19 +8 23 WWDWDL
9 Moreirense 14 6 2 6 16 19 -3 20 WLLDLL
10 Alverca 14 5 4 5 12 20 -8 19 WWDDDL
11 Arouca 14 5 3 6 21 27 -6 18 DLWWLW
12 Estrela 14 4 5 5 20 21 -1 17 DLWLDW
13 Santa Clara 15 5 2 8 13 16 -3 17 LLLWWL
14 Nacional 14 4 2 8 19 21 -2 14 WDLLLW
15 Casa Pia 13 2 7 4 17 23 -6 13 DDWWDD
16 Rio Ave 14 3 4 7 14 23 -9 13 LLLDWL
17 Tondela 14 1 6 7 9 17 -8 9 LDDDLD
18 AVS 15 1 5 9 11 25 -14 8 LLWDLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 14 12 1 1 27 7 +20 37 WWLWDW
2 Sp Lisbon 14 10 4 0 32 11 +21 34 DWDWDW
3 Benfica 14 10 4 0 26 8 +18 34 WDWWWD
4 Sp Braga 14 7 4 3 26 14 +12 25 DWWLWW
5 Famalicao 14 5 5 4 12 15 -3 20 WLLDWD
6 Rio Ave 15 5 5 5 17 25 -8 20 LLLWWW
7 Gil Vicente 14 4 6 4 17 16 +1 18 DLWLDL
8 Moreirense 15 4 4 7 16 22 -6 16 LLWDLD
9 Estoril 14 4 2 8 23 28 -5 14 WWLLWL
10 Arouca 14 4 2 8 16 30 -14 14 WWLLLW
11 Alverca 14 3 4 7 17 26 -9 13 LLDDDW
12 Casa Pia 14 3 3 8 10 26 -16 12 LLDLDL
13 Nacional 14 2 5 7 12 18 -6 11 LLLLDL
14 Santa Clara 14 2 5 7 13 21 -8 11 LLDDWL
15 Estrela 14 2 5 7 13 26 -13 11 LDLDLL
16 Guimaraes 14 3 2 9 11 25 -14 11 LLLLLD
17 Tondela 13 3 2 8 10 27 -17 11 LLLDWL
18 AVS 14 0 4 10 8 37 -29 4 DLLDDL

Estrela   Sp Lisbon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 27 8 19 2.7 0.6 21 5 1 72 17 68 UOOOOO
2 3 Benfica 28 9 19 2.1 0.6 19 9 0 59 18 66 OOOOOU
3 4 Sp Braga 27 8 19 2.0 1.0 14 7 6 54 27 49 OOOOOU
4 7 Estoril 28 9 19 1.8 1.7 10 7 11 50 47 37 OOUUOO
5 12 Arouca 28 9 19 1.3 2.0 9 5 14 37 57 32 OOUOUO
6 10 Rio Ave 29 11 18 1.1 1.7 8 9 12 31 48 33 UUOOOU
7 18 AVS 29 12 17 0.7 2.1 1 9 19 19 62 12 UUUUOU
8 1 Porto 28 12 16 2.0 0.5 23 4 1 56 13 73 UOOOOO
9 9 Moreirense 29 14 15 1.1 1.4 10 6 13 32 41 36 UUOUUU
10 11 Alverca 28 13 15 1.0 1.6 8 8 12 29 46 32 UUUOOO
11 14 Estrela 28 13 15 1.2 1.7 6 10 12 33 47 28 UUOOOU
12 6 Gil Vicente 28 14 14 1.5 1.0 12 9 7 42 28 45 OOOOUO
13 8 Guimaraes 29 15 14 1.2 1.5 10 6 13 35 43 36 UUOOOU
14 17 Tondela 27 13 14 0.7 1.6 4 8 15 19 44 20 UUOUUO
15 15 Nacional 28 15 13 1.1 1.4 6 7 15 31 39 25 OOUUUU
16 16 Casa Pia 27 14 13 1.0 1.8 5 10 12 27 49 25 OUUUOU
17 5 Famalicao 29 18 11 1.2 0.9 13 8 8 36 25 47 UUOUOU
18 13 Santa Clara 29 19 10 0.9 1.3 7 7 15 26 37 28 OUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 3.1 0.5 11 1 1 40 6 34 OOOUOO
2 3 Benfica 14 4 10 2.4 0.7 9 5 0 33 10 32 OOOOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 13 3 10 2.2 1.0 7 3 3 28 13 24 OOOOOO
4 12 Arouca 14 4 10 1.5 1.9 5 3 6 21 27 18 OOOOOO
5 8 Guimaraes 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 7 4 4 24 18 25 UUOUOO
6 10 Rio Ave 14 5 9 1.0 1.6 3 4 7 14 23 13 UOOUOO
7 1 Porto 14 6 8 2.1 0.4 11 3 0 29 6 36 OUUOOO
8 7 Estoril 14 6 8 1.9 1.4 6 5 3 27 19 23 OOOOUO
9 9 Moreirense 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 6 2 6 16 19 20 UOOUUU
10 14 Estrela 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 4 5 5 20 21 17 OOUUOO
11 15 Nacional 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 4 2 8 19 21 14 OUUOUU
12 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27 OOUUUU
13 6 Gil Vicente 14 7 7 1.8 0.9 8 3 3 25 12 27 OOOOOO
14 18 AVS 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 11 25 8 UOOUUU
15 11 Alverca 14 8 6 0.9 1.4 5 4 5 12 20 19 UOUUUO
16 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 13 16 17 UOOUUU
17 16 Casa Pia 13 8 5 1.3 1.8 2 7 4 17 23 13 UOOOUU
18 17 Tondela 14 9 5 0.6 1.2 1 6 7 9 17 9 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 14 3 11 1.6 2.0 4 2 8 23 28 14 OOOOUO
2 18 AVS 14 4 10 0.6 2.6 0 4 10 8 37 4 OOOUUO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 14 5 9 2.3 0.8 10 4 0 32 11 34 UOUOOO
4 3 Benfica 14 5 9 1.9 0.6 10 4 0 26 8 34 UUOOOU
5 4 Sp Braga 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 7 4 3 26 14 25 OUOOOU
6 10 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 5 17 25 20 OOUUOU
7 11 Alverca 14 5 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 7 17 26 13 OOUUOO
8 12 Arouca 14 5 9 1.1 2.1 4 2 8 16 30 14 UOOOUU
9 17 Tondela 13 4 9 0.8 2.1 3 2 8 10 27 11 OUOOUO
10 1 Porto 14 6 8 1.9 0.5 12 1 1 27 7 37 UUOUOO
11 16 Casa Pia 14 6 8 0.7 1.9 3 3 8 10 26 12 OOUUUO
12 6 Gil Vicente 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 4 6 4 17 16 18 OOOOOU
13 9 Moreirense 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 16 22 16 OUOUOU
14 14 Estrela 14 7 7 0.9 1.9 2 5 7 13 26 11 OUOUOU
15 8 Guimaraes 14 9 5 0.8 1.8 3 2 9 11 25 11 OOOUOU
16 13 Santa Clara 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 13 21 11 UUUOUO
17 15 Nacional 14 9 5 0.9 1.3 2 5 7 12 18 11 OOOOUU
18 5 Famalicao 14 10 4 0.9 1.1 5 5 4 12 15 20 UOUUOO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10