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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Lisbon 2–2 Arouca

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.19 fair 2.21
Draw ✓ 7.00 fair 4.03
Away 11.00 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Lisbon Arouca
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
1.28 Expected goals (xG) 2.08
4 Corners 2
9 Fouls 17
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (56 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
Sp LisbonDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
2.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 15:6
Arouca before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.33scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:5
Sp Lisbon all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.33
1.00 Goals conceded 0.83
3.50 Total goals 2.17
2.13 xG created 1.11
0.58 xG allowed 1.40
14.00 Shots 10.17
6.33 Shots on target 3.67
7.50 Shots faced 15.67
5.17 Corners 3.00
2.67 Corners against 5.50
12.33 Fouls 9.33
2.33 Yellow cards 2.33
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

67% Wins 50%
33% Draws 17%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
67% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 17%
33% Draws 67%
0% Losses 17%
67% Over 0.5 goals 50%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon all matches
Arouca all matches
Sp Lisbon before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:3
Arouca before this match, away
1.33points / match
0.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:2
Sp Lisbon at home away Arouca

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 0.33
1.00 Goals conceded 0.67
3.67 Total goals 1.00
2.08 xG created 0.70
0.54 xG allowed 2.03
13.00 Shots 6.67
6.00 Shots on target 1.67
8.33 Shots faced 21.67
6.67 Corners 2.00
1.67 Corners against 8.33
11.67 Fouls 8.00
2.33 Yellow cards 2.00
1.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 33%
0% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
100% Over 1.5 goals 33%
67% Over 2.5 goals 0%
67% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 0%
33% Clean sheets 67%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.26 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 6.004.101.51 1.75 2.05
05.09.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.44 2.70
28.08.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–4 (0–4) 8.505.501.27 1.60 2.30
22.08.26 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.0012.00 1.48 2.60
14.08.26 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 3–2 (3–0) 1.305.258.00 1.57 2.35
08.08.26 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (0–0) 12.005.751.22 1.53 2.40
16.05.26 Sp Lisbon – Gil Vicente 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.0010.00 1.50 2.50
11.05.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–2) 10.005.501.24 1.40 2.88
04.05.26 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 5–1 (3–0) 1.255.5010.00 1.48 2.60
29.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Tondela 2–2 (0–0) 1.117.5017.00 1.36 3.10

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.26 Arouca – Santa Clara 1–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.70 2.25 1.62
07.09.26 Estoril – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.85 1.95
29.08.26 Arouca – Maritimo 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.253.40 2.08 1.73
23.08.26 Porto – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.62 2.25
16.08.26 Arouca – Moreirense 4–0 (3–0) 2.013.303.70 2.10 1.70
08.08.26 Guimaraes – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 1.863.404.00 1.95 1.90
16.05.26 Arouca – Tondela 3–1 (1–0) 3.103.402.20 1.88 1.98
11.05.26 Gil Vicente – Arouca 1–3 (0–0) 1.663.804.75 1.83 2.03
02.05.26 Arouca – Santa Clara 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.102.55 2.35 1.57
24.04.26 Alverca – Arouca 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.30 1.93 1.93

Sp Lisbon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.44 2.70
22.08.26 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.0012.00 1.48 2.60
14.08.26 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 3–2 (3–0) 1.305.258.00 1.57 2.35
16.05.26 Sp Lisbon – Gil Vicente 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.0010.00 1.50 2.50
04.05.26 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 5–1 (3–0) 1.255.5010.00 1.48 2.60
29.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Tondela 2–2 (0–0) 1.117.5017.00 1.36 3.10
19.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.08
03.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara 4–2 (3–1) 1.275.259.00 1.75 2.05
27.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–0 (2–0) 1.157.5012.00 1.30 3.50
15.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 1.255.0011.00 1.67 2.15

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.09.26 Estoril – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.85 1.95
23.08.26 Porto – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.62 2.25
08.08.26 Guimaraes – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 1.863.404.00 1.95 1.90
11.05.26 Gil Vicente – Arouca 1–3 (0–0) 1.663.804.75 1.83 2.03
24.04.26 Alverca – Arouca 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.30 1.93 1.93
12.04.26 Sp Braga – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 1.374.508.00 1.67 2.15
21.03.26 Moreirense – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.70
06.03.26 Famalicao – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 1.95 1.90
27.02.26 Porto – Arouca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.2511.00 1.75 2.05
14.02.26 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–2 (3–2) 2.653.202.55 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Lisbon winsDrawsArouca wins
10matches
3.00goals / match
70%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
17.08.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
15.02.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–2 (1–2) 1.255.5012.00 1.57 2.35
13.09.24P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.70
10.03.24P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 8.004.751.40 1.60 2.30
08.10.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–1 (1–0) 1.225.0011.00 1.60 2.30
16.04.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 1–1 (0–1) 1.207.0012.00 1.48 2.60
29.10.22P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–0 (0–0) 7.004.201.45 1.90 1.95
05.03.22P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 1.286.009.50 1.66 2.15
02.10.21P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 8.504.201.40 2.00 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 15 2 +13 18
2 Benfica 6 5 1 0 21 4 +17 16
3 Sp Lisbon 6 4 2 0 15 6 +9 14
4 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14
5 Arouca 6 3 1 2 8 5 +3 10
6 Estrela 6 2 4 0 14 12 +2 10
7 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
8 Gil Vicente 6 2 2 2 5 5 0 8
9 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8
10 Academico Viseu 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 8 12 -4 8
12 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9 7 +2 7
13 Moreirense 6 2 1 3 7 13 -6 7
14 Guimaraes 6 1 1 4 4 7 -3 4
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7 15 -8 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5 15 -10 4
17 Estoril 6 0 2 4 2 8 -6 2
18 Casa Pia 6 0 1 5 1 15 -14 1
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 8 3 +5 9
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
3 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
4 Benfica 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
5 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7
6 Arouca 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
7 Sp Braga 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
8 Estrela 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
9 Alverca 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
10 Guimaraes 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
11 Moreirense 3 1 1 1 5 7 -2 4
12 Maritimo 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
13 Academico Viseu 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
14 Nacional 4 1 0 3 5 10 -5 3
15 Famalicao 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
16 Estoril 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
17 Rio Ave 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
18 Casa Pia 3 0 0 3 1 12 -11 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 14 0 +14 9
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 9 1 +8 9
3 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
4 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 0 7 3 +4 5
5 Famalicao 4 1 2 1 7 4 +3 5
6 Estrela 3 1 2 0 8 7 +1 5
7 Academico Viseu 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
8 Sp Braga 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
9 Arouca 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
11 Alverca 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
12 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 3
13 Rio Ave 4 1 0 3 2 6 -4 3
14 Gil Vicente 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
15 Nacional 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
16 Casa Pia 3 0 1 2 0 3 -3 1
17 Guimaraes 3 0 0 3 3 6 -3 0
18 Estoril 3 0 0 3 1 5 -4 0

Sp Lisbon   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 6 0 6 3.5 0.7 5 1 0 21 4 16
2 6 Estrela 6 0 6 2.3 2.0 2 4 0 14 12 10
3 11 Maritimo 7 2 5 1.1 1.7 2 2 3 8 12 8
4 13 Moreirense 6 1 5 1.2 2.2 2 1 3 7 13 7
5 3 Sp Lisbon 6 2 4 2.5 1.0 4 2 0 15 6 14
6 9 Alverca 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 2 3 9 11 8
7 10 Academico Viseu 6 2 4 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8
8 15 Nacional 7 3 4 1.0 2.1 1 1 5 7 15 4
9 1 Porto 6 3 3 2.5 0.3 6 0 0 15 2 18
10 4 Santa Clara 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14
11 5 Arouca 6 3 3 1.3 0.8 3 1 2 8 5 10
12 7 Sp Braga 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
13 12 Famalicao 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 1 4 2 9 7 7
14 16 Rio Ave 7 4 3 0.7 2.1 1 1 5 5 15 4
15 14 Guimaraes 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 1 1 4 4 7 4
16 18 Casa Pia 6 4 2 0.2 2.5 0 1 5 1 15 1
17 8 Gil Vicente 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 2 5 5 8
18 17 Estoril 6 5 1 0.3 1.3 0 2 4 2 8 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
2 5 Arouca 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
3 6 Estrela 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
4 13 Moreirense 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 1 1 5 7 4
5 15 Nacional 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 1 0 3 5 10 3
6 3 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 3 0 0 8 3 9
7 4 Santa Clara 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
8 9 Alverca 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
9 10 Academico Viseu 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
10 11 Maritimo 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
11 16 Rio Ave 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
12 18 Casa Pia 3 1 2 0.3 4.0 0 0 3 1 12 0
13 1 Porto 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
14 12 Famalicao 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
15 7 Sp Braga 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
16 8 Gil Vicente 4 4 0 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7
17 14 Guimaraes 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4
18 17 Estoril 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 3 0 3 4.7 0.0 3 0 0 14 0 9
2 6 Estrela 3 0 3 2.7 2.3 1 2 0 8 7 5
3 7 Sp Braga 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
4 11 Maritimo 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
5 1 Porto 3 1 2 3.0 0.3 3 0 0 9 1 9
6 3 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 1 2 0 7 3 5
7 9 Alverca 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
8 10 Academico Viseu 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
9 12 Famalicao 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 2 1 7 4 5
10 13 Moreirense 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 1 0 2 2 6 3
11 14 Guimaraes 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 3 3 6 0
12 4 Santa Clara 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
13 8 Gil Vicente 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
14 15 Nacional 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
15 16 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 3 2 6 3
16 17 Estoril 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 0 3 1 5 0
17 5 Arouca 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 1 1 1 2 4
18 18 Casa Pia 3 3 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 2 0 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40