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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Lisbon 2–0 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 2.11
Draw 6.50 fair 4.28
Away 13.00 fair 3.41
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.70 fair 2.47
Over 2.5 1.44 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Lisbon Nacional
19 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
3.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.08
12 Corners 0
10 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (37 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.75 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
Sp LisbonDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
3.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 12:5
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:6
Sp Lisbon all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded 1.50
4.25 Total goals 3.00
1.88 xG created 1.15
0.75 xG allowed 1.88
12.25 Shots 11.75
6.25 Shots on target 3.00
9.25 Shots faced 16.25
3.75 Corners 4.50
3.00 Corners against 3.75
13.25 Fouls 11.75
2.00 Yellow cards 1.75
2.00 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

75% Wins 25%
25% Draws 25%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
100% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 0%
25% Draws 75%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon all matches
Nacional all matches
Sp Lisbon before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:3
Nacional before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:3
Sp Lisbon at home away Nacional

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
4.50 Total goals 2.50
1.62 xG created 0.83
0.77 xG allowed 2.29
10.00 Shots 8.50
5.00 Shots on target 2.00
11.00 Shots faced 21.00
4.00 Corners 3.50
2.50 Corners against 4.00
12.50 Fouls 11.00
2.50 Yellow cards 1.50
2.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
100% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.08.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–4 (0–4) 8.505.501.27 1.60 2.30
22.08.26 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.0012.00 1.48 2.60
14.08.26 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 3–2 (3–0) 1.305.258.00 1.57 2.35
08.08.26 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (0–0) 12.005.751.22 1.53 2.40
16.05.26 Sp Lisbon – Gil Vicente 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.0010.00 1.50 2.50
11.05.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–2) 10.005.501.24 1.40 2.88
04.05.26 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 5–1 (3–0) 1.255.5010.00 1.48 2.60
29.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Tondela 2–2 (0–0) 1.117.5017.00 1.36 3.10
26.04.26 AVS – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 15.009.501.10 1.30 3.50
19.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.08

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
23.08.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.95 1.90
16.08.26 Nacional – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.653.302.55 1.93 1.93
10.08.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–2 (2–2) 1.863.254.20 2.15 1.67
16.05.26 Nacional – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05
11.05.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.75
02.05.26 Nacional – AVS 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.337.00 1.65 2.20
25.04.26 Tondela – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.402.40 1.95 1.90
18.04.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.85 1.95
12.04.26 Benfica – Nacional 2–0 (2–0) 1.118.0015.00 1.36 3.10

Sp Lisbon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.0012.00 1.48 2.60
14.08.26 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 3–2 (3–0) 1.305.258.00 1.57 2.35
16.05.26 Sp Lisbon – Gil Vicente 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.0010.00 1.50 2.50
04.05.26 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 5–1 (3–0) 1.255.5010.00 1.48 2.60
29.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Tondela 2–2 (0–0) 1.117.5017.00 1.36 3.10
19.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.08
03.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara 4–2 (3–1) 1.275.259.00 1.75 2.05
27.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–0 (2–0) 1.157.5012.00 1.30 3.50
15.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 1.255.0011.00 1.67 2.15
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.95 1.90
10.08.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–2 (2–2) 1.863.254.20 2.15 1.67
11.05.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.75
25.04.26 Tondela – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.402.40 1.95 1.90
12.04.26 Benfica – Nacional 2–0 (2–0) 1.118.0015.00 1.36 3.10
21.03.26 Famalicao – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 1.85 2.00
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Lisbon winsDrawsNacional wins
4matches
4.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26P1 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
23.08.25P1 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
25.01.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
17.08.24P1 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 11 1 +10 15
2 Benfica 4 3 1 0 14 3 +11 10
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 12 5 +7 10
4 Arouca 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
5 Santa Clara 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
6 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 0 3 0 +3 7
7 Sp Braga 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
8 Maritimo 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
9 Estrela 4 1 3 0 9 8 +1 6
10 Nacional 4 1 1 2 6 6 0 4
11 Moreirense 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
12 Famalicao 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
13 Guimaraes 4 1 0 3 3 5 -2 3
14 Rio Ave 4 1 0 3 2 7 -5 3
15 Academico Viseu 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
16 Alverca 5 0 2 3 5 10 -5 2
17 Estoril 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1
18 Casa Pia 4 0 0 4 0 11 -11 0
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
2 Arouca 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
3 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 6 3 +3 6
4 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
5 Benfica 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
6 Santa Clara 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
7 Maritimo 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
8 Nacional 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
9 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Guimaraes 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
11 Estrela 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
12 Alverca 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
13 Moreirense 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
14 Famalicao 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
15 Estoril 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
16 Academico Viseu 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
17 Rio Ave 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0
18 Casa Pia 2 0 0 2 0 8 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 2 2 0 0 10 0 +10 6
2 Porto 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
3 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 6 2 +4 4
4 Estrela 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
5 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
6 Santa Clara 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
7 Rio Ave 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
8 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
9 Arouca 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
10 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 3
11 Academico Viseu 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
12 Famalicao 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
13 Gil Vicente 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
14 Nacional 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
15 Guimaraes 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
16 Estoril 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
17 Casa Pia 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
18 Alverca 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0

Sp Lisbon   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 4 0 4 3.5 0.8 3 1 0 14 3 10
2 3 Sp Lisbon 4 0 4 3.0 1.2 3 1 0 12 5 10
3 8 Maritimo 5 1 4 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
4 9 Estrela 4 0 4 2.2 2.0 1 3 0 9 8 6
5 11 Moreirense 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
6 15 Academico Viseu 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
7 16 Alverca 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 0 2 3 5 10 2
8 1 Porto 5 3 2 2.2 0.2 5 0 0 11 1 15
9 4 Arouca 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
10 7 Sp Braga 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
11 10 Nacional 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 1 2 6 6 4
12 12 Famalicao 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
13 5 Santa Clara 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
14 13 Guimaraes 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 0 3 3 5 3
15 14 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 1 0 3 2 7 3
16 17 Estoril 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1
17 18 Casa Pia 4 3 1 0.0 2.8 0 0 4 0 11 0
18 6 Gil Vicente 3 3 0 1.0 0.0 2 1 0 3 0 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
2 3 Sp Lisbon 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 2 0 0 6 3 6
3 4 Arouca 2 0 2 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6
4 8 Maritimo 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
5 9 Estrela 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
6 16 Alverca 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
7 1 Porto 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
8 5 Santa Clara 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
9 10 Nacional 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
10 11 Moreirense 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
11 12 Famalicao 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
12 14 Rio Ave 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
13 15 Academico Viseu 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
14 18 Casa Pia 2 1 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 2 0 8 0
15 6 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
16 7 Sp Braga 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
17 13 Guimaraes 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
18 17 Estoril 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 2 0 2 5.0 0.0 2 0 0 10 0 6
2 3 Sp Lisbon 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 1 1 0 6 2 4
3 7 Sp Braga 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
4 8 Maritimo 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
5 9 Estrela 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
6 11 Moreirense 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 1 0 2 2 6 3
7 15 Academico Viseu 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
8 1 Porto 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
9 10 Nacional 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
10 12 Famalicao 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
11 13 Guimaraes 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
12 16 Alverca 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
13 17 Estoril 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
14 4 Arouca 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
15 5 Santa Clara 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
16 6 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
17 14 Rio Ave 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
18 18 Casa Pia 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06