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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: D McFarlane

Kilmarnock 0–1 Hearts

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.63 fair 2.47
Draw 3.40 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 2.63 fair 2.92
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Kilmarnock Hearts
17 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 5
14 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (225 league matches this season so far).
Result Kilmarnock to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
KilmarnockDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.22scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 45:63
Hearts before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.38scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 51:47
Kilmarnock all matches all matches Hearts

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 1.38
1.70 Goals conceded 1.27
2.92 Total goals 2.65
12.54 Shots 12.81
3.92 Shots on target 4.30
12.65 Shots faced 10.49
5.54 Corners 6.32
5.00 Corners against 4.57
10.54 Fouls 10.57
1.57 Yellow cards 1.78
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

32% Wins 38%
22% Draws 19%
46% Losses 43%
97% Over 0.5 goals 92%
76% Over 1.5 goals 73%
46% Over 2.5 goals 57%
35% Over 3.5 goals 30%
24% Over 4.5 goals 11%
14% Over 5.5 goals 3%
46% Both teams scored 54%
24% Clean sheets 27%
32% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 35%
27% Draws 35%
43% Losses 30%
73% Over 0.5 goals 76%
19% Over 1.5 goals 27%
11% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock all matches
Hearts all matches
Kilmarnock before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.50scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:19
Hearts before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.28scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:26
Kilmarnock at home away Hearts

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.28
1.06 Goals conceded 1.44
2.56 Total goals 2.72
14.17 Shots 11.44
4.56 Shots on target 3.50
11.22 Shots faced 11.28
5.72 Corners 5.89
4.00 Corners against 4.67
10.22 Fouls 11.06
1.33 Yellow cards 2.22
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

50% Wins 28%
28% Draws 22%
22% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
72% Over 1.5 goals 72%
33% Over 2.5 goals 61%
28% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 6%
39% Both teams scored 56%
44% Clean sheets 22%
22% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 22%
33% Draws 44%
22% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 72%
11% Over 1.5 goals 39%
6% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock at home
Hearts away

Last 10 matches before this match

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.25 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 3–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 1.85 2.00
10.05.25 Kilmarnock – Dundee 3–2 (1–0) 1.833.404.50 1.90 1.95
03.05.25 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
26.04.25 Kilmarnock – Ross County 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73
12.04.25 Celtic – Kilmarnock 5–1 (4–1) 1.187.0012.00 1.33 3.40
05.04.25 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.504.75 2.00 1.80
29.03.25 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 5–1 (2–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.73
15.03.25 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.65 2.10 1.73
01.03.25 Ross County – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.102.35 2.30 1.62
26.02.25 Kilmarnock – Rangers 2–4 (2–1) 6.504.201.50 1.73 2.10

Hearts all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.25 Hearts – St Johnstone 2–1 (2–0) 1.673.805.00 1.88 1.98
10.05.25 Hearts – Motherwell 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.206.25 1.80 2.00
03.05.25 Ross County – Hearts 1–3 (1–1) 3.903.501.90 2.00 1.80
26.04.25 Hearts – Dundee 0–1 (0–1) 1.454.756.25 1.62 2.30
12.04.25 Motherwell – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.701.90 1.93 1.93
06.04.25 Hearts – Dundee United 0–1 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.85 2.00
29.03.25 Celtic – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.40 3.00
15.03.25 Hearts – Ross County 2–0 (1–0) 1.464.206.25 1.80 2.00
02.03.25 Hibernian – Hearts 2–1 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
26.02.25 Hearts – St Mirren 3–1 (0–1) 1.803.754.20 1.92 1.82

Kilmarnock at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.25 Kilmarnock – Dundee 3–2 (1–0) 1.833.404.50 1.90 1.95
26.04.25 Kilmarnock – Ross County 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73
05.04.25 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.504.75 2.00 1.80
15.03.25 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.65 2.10 1.73
26.02.25 Kilmarnock – Rangers 2–4 (2–1) 6.504.201.50 1.73 2.10
15.02.25 Kilmarnock – St Johnstone 3–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.10 1.92 1.82
01.02.25 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.402.63 2.00 1.85
08.01.25 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.80
05.01.25 Kilmarnock – Ross County 0–1 (0–0) 1.674.004.75 1.88 1.98
02.01.25 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.00 1.85

Hearts away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.25 Ross County – Hearts 1–3 (1–1) 3.903.501.90 2.00 1.80
12.04.25 Motherwell – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.701.90 1.93 1.93
29.03.25 Celtic – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.40 3.00
02.03.25 Hibernian – Hearts 2–1 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
23.02.25 St Johnstone – Hearts 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.252.10 2.00 1.80
01.02.25 Dundee – Hearts 0–6 (0–2) 3.003.602.25 1.83 2.03
12.01.25 Aberdeen – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98
05.01.25 Dundee United – Hearts 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
29.12.24 Ross County – Hearts 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.601.90 2.00 1.85
15.12.24 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Kilmarnock winsDrawsHearts wins
10matches
2.30goals / match
50%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.703.90 2.03 1.83
15.12.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
30.10.24SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.603.80 1.83 2.03
27.04.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.05 1.80
30.03.24SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.03 1.83
02.12.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.40 2.03 1.83
13.08.23SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 1.88 1.98
01.04.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.502.38 1.90 1.95
17.12.22SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.98 1.88
09.10.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–2 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.95 1.90

Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 29 5 4 112 26 +86 92
2 Rangers 38 22 9 7 80 41 +39 75
3 Hibernian 38 15 13 10 62 50 +12 58
4 Dundee United 38 15 8 15 45 54 -9 53
5 Aberdeen 38 15 8 15 48 61 -13 53
6 St Mirren 38 14 8 16 53 59 -6 50
7 Hearts 37 14 7 16 51 47 +4 49
8 Motherwell 37 14 6 17 45 62 -17 48
9 Kilmarnock 37 12 8 17 45 63 -18 44
10 Dundee 37 10 8 19 55 77 -22 38
11 Ross County 37 9 9 19 36 64 -28 36
12 St Johnstone 37 9 5 23 38 66 -28 32
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 19 16 2 1 62 9 +53 50
2 Rangers 19 14 2 3 44 12 +32 44
3 Hibernian 19 10 6 3 39 23 +16 36
4 Aberdeen 19 10 4 5 31 26 +5 34
5 Kilmarnock 18 9 5 4 27 19 +8 32
6 Hearts 19 9 3 7 28 21 +7 30
7 St Mirren 20 8 5 7 30 27 +3 29
8 Motherwell 18 8 5 5 27 27 0 29
9 Dundee United 19 8 3 8 23 27 -4 27
10 Dundee 19 5 5 9 34 39 -5 20
11 Ross County 18 5 5 8 21 27 -6 20
12 St Johnstone 18 6 2 10 19 28 -9 20
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 19 13 3 3 50 17 +33 42
2 Rangers 19 8 7 4 36 29 +7 31
3 Dundee United 19 7 5 7 22 27 -5 26
4 Hibernian 19 5 7 7 23 27 -4 22
5 St Mirren 18 6 3 9 23 32 -9 21
6 Hearts 18 5 4 9 23 26 -3 19
7 Motherwell 19 6 1 12 18 35 -17 19
8 Aberdeen 19 5 4 10 17 35 -18 19
9 Dundee 18 5 3 10 21 38 -17 18
10 Ross County 19 4 4 11 15 37 -22 16
11 St Johnstone 19 3 3 13 19 38 -19 12
12 Kilmarnock 19 3 3 13 18 44 -26 12

Kilmarnock   Hearts

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 38 10 28 2.9 0.7 29 5 4 112 26 92
2 8 Motherwell 37 10 27 1.2 1.7 14 6 17 45 62 48
3 10 Dundee 37 11 26 1.5 2.1 10 8 19 55 77 38
4 2 Rangers 38 13 25 2.1 1.1 22 9 7 80 41 75
5 6 St Mirren 38 13 25 1.4 1.6 14 8 16 53 59 50
6 3 Hibernian 38 15 23 1.6 1.3 15 13 10 62 50 58
7 5 Aberdeen 38 15 23 1.3 1.6 15 8 15 48 61 53
8 12 St Johnstone 37 14 23 1.0 1.8 9 5 23 38 66 32
9 7 Hearts 37 16 21 1.4 1.3 14 7 16 51 47 49
10 11 Ross County 37 16 21 1.0 1.7 9 9 19 36 64 36
11 4 Dundee United 38 21 17 1.2 1.4 15 8 15 45 54 53
12 9 Kilmarnock 37 20 17 1.2 1.7 12 8 17 45 63 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 19 4 15 3.3 0.5 16 2 1 62 9 50
2 10 Dundee 19 4 15 1.8 2.1 5 5 9 34 39 20
3 3 Hibernian 19 6 13 2.1 1.2 10 6 3 39 23 36
4 6 St Mirren 20 7 13 1.5 1.4 8 5 7 30 27 29
5 8 Motherwell 18 5 13 1.5 1.5 8 5 5 27 27 29
6 5 Aberdeen 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 10 4 5 31 26 34
7 2 Rangers 19 8 11 2.3 0.6 14 2 3 44 12 44
8 12 St Johnstone 18 7 11 1.1 1.6 6 2 10 19 28 20
9 7 Hearts 19 9 10 1.5 1.1 9 3 7 28 21 30
10 11 Ross County 18 8 10 1.2 1.5 5 5 8 21 27 20
11 4 Dundee United 19 10 9 1.2 1.4 8 3 8 23 27 27
12 9 Kilmarnock 18 12 6 1.5 1.1 9 5 4 27 19 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Rangers 19 5 14 1.9 1.5 8 7 4 36 29 31
2 8 Motherwell 19 5 14 0.9 1.8 6 1 12 18 35 19
3 1 Celtic 19 6 13 2.6 0.9 13 3 3 50 17 42
4 6 St Mirren 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 6 3 9 23 32 21
5 12 St Johnstone 19 7 12 1.0 2.0 3 3 13 19 38 12
6 5 Aberdeen 19 8 11 0.9 1.8 5 4 10 17 35 19
7 7 Hearts 18 7 11 1.3 1.4 5 4 9 23 26 19
8 9 Kilmarnock 19 8 11 0.9 2.3 3 3 13 18 44 12
9 10 Dundee 18 7 11 1.2 2.1 5 3 10 21 38 18
10 11 Ross County 19 8 11 0.8 1.9 4 4 11 15 37 16
11 3 Hibernian 19 9 10 1.2 1.4 5 7 7 23 27 22
12 4 Dundee United 19 11 8 1.2 1.4 7 5 7 22 27 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51