Luton 3–1 Doncaster – England League One, 27 Oct 2026

Match facts

Luton Doncaster

18 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 2

2.26 Expected goals (xG) 1.05

5 Corners 5

10 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (138 league matches this season so far).

Result Luton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.72

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.29

Home / Draw / Away

45% 24% 31%

LutonDrawDoncaster

Under / Over 2.5 goals

44% 56%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.4% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

1.55points / match

1.91scored / match

1.73conceded / match

5 2 4

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 21:19

Doncaster before this match, all matches

1.09points / match

1.09scored / match

1.18conceded / match

3 3 5

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:13

Luton all matches all matches Doncaster

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 1.09

1.73 Goals conceded 1.18

3.64 Total goals 2.27

1.67 xG created 1.10

1.15 xG allowed 1.33

15.09 Shots 13.45

5.09 Shots on target 3.64

11.82 Shots faced 14.64

6.55 Corners 5.00

4.36 Corners against 6.55

12.27 Fouls 11.00

1.73 Yellow cards 2.09

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.45

1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

45% Wins 27%

18% Draws 27%

36% Losses 45%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

91% Over 1.5 goals 73%

73% Over 2.5 goals 36%

36% Over 3.5 goals 18%

27% Over 4.5 goals 9%

18% Over 5.5 goals 0%

82% Both teams scored 45%

9% Clean sheets 36%

9% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 36%

27% Draws 27%

45% Losses 36%

91% Over 0.5 goals 73%

55% Over 1.5 goals 9%

18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

2

D

2

5

L

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

4

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

Doncaster all matches

D

2

D

1

D

2

3

L

1

L

2

W

1

W

1

2

L

2

L

2

W

Luton before this match, at home

1.83points / match

1.50scored / match

1.00conceded / match

3 2 1

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:6

Doncaster before this match, away

0.80points / match

1.20scored / match

1.40conceded / match

1 1 3

WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:7

Luton at home away Doncaster

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.20

1.00 Goals conceded 1.40

2.50 Total goals 2.60

1.70 xG created 1.06

0.76 xG allowed 1.08

15.50 Shots 13.40

5.50 Shots on target 4.80

9.00 Shots faced 13.20

7.83 Corners 5.20

4.67 Corners against 7.20

12.00 Fouls 11.80

1.83 Yellow cards 2.20

0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.20

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%

33% Draws 20%

17% Losses 60%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

83% Over 1.5 goals 80%

50% Over 2.5 goals 60%

17% Over 3.5 goals 20%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 60%

17% Clean sheets 20%

17% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 20%

50% Draws 20%

17% Losses 60%

83% Over 0.5 goals 80%

50% Over 1.5 goals 0%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

1

D

1

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

Doncaster away

D

1

W

3

L

3

1

W

3

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

2

W

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.10.26	Luton – Leicester	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	2.85	1.50	2.50
20.10.26	Luton – Barnsley	2–1 (2–0)	1.49	4.20	5.25	1.44	2.70
17.10.26	Milton Keynes Dons – Luton	2–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.50	2.10	1.70	2.10
10.10.26	Wycombe – Luton	1–4 (0–2)	2.57	3.40	2.45	1.67	2.15
19.09.26	Luton – Bradford	0–1 (0–1)	2.01	3.30	3.50	1.90	1.95
10.09.26	Stevenage – Luton	2–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.40	2.20	2.00	1.80
05.09.26	Luton – Leyton Orient	1–1 (1–1)	1.62	4.00	4.50	1.60	2.30
02.09.26	Luton – Stockport	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
30.08.26	Mansfield – Luton	5–2 (3–0)	2.85	3.40	2.25	1.65	2.20
22.08.26	Luton – Notts County	2–2 (1–1)	1.57	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.08

Doncaster all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.10.26	Doncaster – Sheffield Weds	2–0 (2–0)	2.57	3.40	2.45	1.67	2.15
20.10.26	Doncaster – Stockport	0–2 (0–0)	3.70	3.75	1.81	1.70	2.10
17.10.26	Leicester – Doncaster	2–1 (1–0)	1.79	3.80	3.75	1.53	2.40
10.10.26	Doncaster – Burton	1–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.80	4.75	1.83	2.03
19.09.26	Peterboro – Doncaster	0–2 (0–1)	2.32	3.60	2.65	1.60	2.30
12.09.26	AFC Wimbledon – Doncaster	1–0 (1–0)	2.57	3.25	2.57	2.00	1.85
05.09.26	Doncaster – Plymouth	2–3 (0–1)	2.35	3.40	2.70	1.75	2.05
01.09.26	Doncaster – Notts County	1–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.40	3.00	1.95	1.90
29.08.26	Stevenage – Doncaster	2–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.30	2.10	1.70
22.08.26	Doncaster – Barnsley	0–0 (0–0)	1.96	3.50	3.50	1.75	2.05

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.10.26	Luton – Leicester	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	2.85	1.50	2.50
20.10.26	Luton – Barnsley	2–1 (2–0)	1.49	4.20	5.25	1.44	2.70
19.09.26	Luton – Bradford	0–1 (0–1)	2.01	3.30	3.50	1.90	1.95
05.09.26	Luton – Leyton Orient	1–1 (1–1)	1.62	4.00	4.50	1.60	2.30
02.09.26	Luton – Stockport	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
22.08.26	Luton – Notts County	2–2 (1–1)	1.57	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.08
25.04.26	Luton – Barnsley	2–1 (1–1)	1.39	4.75	6.50	1.50	2.50
15.04.26	Luton – Northampton	2–1 (1–1)	1.30	5.00	8.00	1.60	2.30
03.04.26	Luton – Peterboro	2–1 (1–0)	1.61	4.00	4.75	1.53	2.40
21.03.26	Luton – Stockport	1–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.30	2.57	1.93	1.93

Doncaster away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.10.26	Leicester – Doncaster	2–1 (1–0)	1.79	3.80	3.75	1.53	2.40
19.09.26	Peterboro – Doncaster	0–2 (0–1)	2.32	3.60	2.65	1.60	2.30
12.09.26	AFC Wimbledon – Doncaster	1–0 (1–0)	2.57	3.25	2.57	2.00	1.85
29.08.26	Stevenage – Doncaster	2–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.30	2.10	1.70
15.08.26	Mansfield – Doncaster	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.30	1.95	1.90
02.05.26	Peterboro – Doncaster	1–3 (0–0)	2.57	3.60	2.35	1.57	2.35
18.04.26	Northampton – Doncaster	1–3 (0–0)	4.75	3.75	1.62	1.85	1.95
06.04.26	Exeter – Doncaster	3–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.30	2.25	1.88	1.98
21.03.26	Barnsley – Doncaster	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.50	2.85	1.60	2.30
17.03.26	Bolton – Doncaster	0–0 (0–0)	1.56	4.10	4.75	1.60	2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Luton winsDrawsDoncaster wins

2matches

1.50goals / match

0%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.26E2	Doncaster – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.40	1.88	1.98
27.09.25E2	Luton – Doncaster	1–0 (1–0)	1.68	3.70	4.50	1.98	1.88

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	12	7	4	1	24	11	+13	25
2	Stockport	12	7	2	3	24	12	+12	23
3	Bradford	12	6	4	2	10	5	+5	22
4	Plymouth	13	7	1	5	21	19	+2	22
5	Reading	12	6	3	3	25	13	+12	21
6	Cambridge	12	5	5	2	20	17	+3	20
7	Oxford	10	5	4	1	18	10	+8	19
8	Sheffield Weds	11	5	3	3	20	12	+8	18
9	Mansfield	11	5	3	3	20	16	+4	18
10	Luton	11	5	2	4	21	19	+2	17
11	Burton	13	4	5	4	18	19	-1	17
12	Stevenage	11	4	3	4	15	11	+4	15
13	Leicester	11	4	3	4	17	17	0	15
14	Wycombe	12	3	6	3	19	23	-4	15
15	Leyton Orient	12	4	2	6	16	14	+2	14
16	AFC Wimbledon	12	3	4	5	8	19	-11	13
17	Doncaster	11	3	3	5	12	13	-1	12
18	Milton Keynes Dons	11	2	6	3	12	18	-6	12
19	Notts County	11	2	5	4	11	14	-3	11
20	Blackpool	11	3	2	6	16	20	-4	11
21	Peterboro	12	2	4	6	11	21	-10	10
22	Bromley	11	2	3	6	10	26	-16	9
23	Barnsley	11	2	2	7	11	21	-10	8
24	Wigan	11	2	1	8	8	17	-9	7

Promotion to Championship
Promotion play-offs
Relegation to League Two

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Reading	7	5	1	1	17	7	+10	16
2	Huddersfield	6	4	2	0	15	6	+9	14
3	Stockport	6	4	0	2	14	8	+6	12
4	Mansfield	5	3	2	0	10	5	+5	11
5	Luton	6	3	2	1	9	6	+3	11
6	Cambridge	7	3	2	2	12	11	+1	11
7	Bradford	5	3	1	1	6	2	+4	10
8	Stevenage	6	3	1	2	9	6	+3	10
9	Burton	7	2	4	1	12	10	+2	10
10	Oxford	5	2	3	0	8	4	+4	9
11	Plymouth	6	3	0	3	8	7	+1	9
12	AFC Wimbledon	6	2	3	1	3	4	-1	9
13	Sheffield Weds	5	2	2	1	12	3	+9	8
14	Blackpool	6	2	2	2	12	11	+1	8
15	Notts County	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
16	Doncaster	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8
17	Wycombe	6	1	3	2	10	12	-2	6
18	Leyton Orient	6	2	0	4	7	10	-3	6
19	Milton Keynes Dons	5	1	3	1	5	8	-3	6
20	Leicester	5	2	0	3	6	10	-4	6
21	Wigan	5	2	0	3	4	8	-4	6
22	Peterboro	5	1	2	2	5	7	-2	5
23	Bromley	6	1	2	3	4	14	-10	5
24	Barnsley	5	1	1	3	5	10	-5	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	13	12	+1	13
2	Bradford	7	3	3	1	4	3	+1	12
3	Stockport	6	3	2	1	10	4	+6	11
4	Huddersfield	6	3	2	1	9	5	+4	11
5	Oxford	5	3	1	1	10	6	+4	10
6	Sheffield Weds	6	3	1	2	8	9	-1	10
7	Leicester	6	2	3	1	11	7	+4	9
8	Cambridge	5	2	3	0	8	6	+2	9
9	Wycombe	6	2	3	1	9	11	-2	9
10	Leyton Orient	6	2	2	2	9	4	+5	8
11	Mansfield	6	2	1	3	10	11	-1	7
12	Burton	6	2	1	3	6	9	-3	7
13	Luton	5	2	0	3	12	13	-1	6
14	Milton Keynes Dons	6	1	3	2	7	10	-3	6
15	Reading	5	1	2	2	8	6	+2	5
16	Stevenage	5	1	2	2	6	5	+1	5
17	Peterboro	7	1	2	4	6	14	-8	5
18	Doncaster	5	1	1	3	6	7	-1	4
19	Barnsley	6	1	1	4	6	11	-5	4
20	Bromley	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
21	AFC Wimbledon	6	1	1	4	5	15	-10	4
22	Notts County	5	0	3	2	4	8	-4	3
23	Blackpool	5	1	0	4	4	9	-5	3
24	Wigan	6	0	1	5	4	9	-5	1

Luton Doncaster

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Burton	13	4	9	1.4	1.5	4	5	4	18	19	17
2	1	Huddersfield	12	4	8	2.0	0.9	7	4	1	24	11	25
3	6	Cambridge	12	4	8	1.7	1.4	5	5	2	20	17	20
4	9	Mansfield	11	3	8	1.8	1.5	5	3	3	20	16	18
5	10	Luton	11	3	8	1.9	1.7	5	2	4	21	19	17
6	23	Barnsley	11	3	8	1.0	1.9	2	2	7	11	21	8
7	4	Plymouth	13	6	7	1.6	1.5	7	1	5	21	19	22
8	5	Reading	12	5	7	2.1	1.1	6	3	3	25	13	21
9	7	Oxford	10	3	7	1.8	1.0	5	4	1	18	10	19
10	13	Leicester	11	4	7	1.5	1.5	4	3	4	17	17	15
11	14	Wycombe	12	5	7	1.6	1.9	3	6	3	19	23	15
12	20	Blackpool	11	4	7	1.5	1.8	3	2	6	16	20	11
13	2	Stockport	12	6	6	2.0	1.0	7	2	3	24	12	23
14	8	Sheffield Weds	11	5	6	1.8	1.1	5	3	3	20	12	18
15	21	Peterboro	12	6	6	0.9	1.8	2	4	6	11	21	10
16	22	Bromley	11	5	6	0.9	2.4	2	3	6	10	26	9
17	12	Stevenage	11	6	5	1.4	1.0	4	3	4	15	11	15
18	15	Leyton Orient	12	7	5	1.3	1.2	4	2	6	16	14	14
19	16	AFC Wimbledon	12	7	5	0.7	1.6	3	4	5	8	19	13
20	18	Milton Keynes Dons	11	6	5	1.1	1.6	2	6	3	12	18	12
21	24	Wigan	11	6	5	0.7	1.5	2	1	8	8	17	7
22	17	Doncaster	11	7	4	1.1	1.2	3	3	5	12	13	12
23	19	Notts County	11	8	3	1.0	1.3	2	5	4	11	14	11
24	3	Bradford	12	11	1	0.8	0.4	6	4	2	10	5	22

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Huddersfield	6	1	5	2.5	1.0	4	2	0	15	6	14
2	6	Cambridge	7	2	5	1.7	1.6	3	2	2	12	11	11
3	11	Burton	7	2	5	1.7	1.4	2	4	1	12	10	10
4	2	Stockport	6	2	4	2.3	1.3	4	0	2	14	8	12
5	5	Reading	7	3	4	2.4	1.0	5	1	1	17	7	16
6	12	Stevenage	6	2	4	1.5	1.0	3	1	2	9	6	10
7	13	Leicester	5	1	4	1.2	2.0	2	0	3	6	10	6
8	14	Wycombe	6	2	4	1.7	2.0	1	3	2	10	12	6
9	20	Blackpool	6	2	4	2.0	1.8	2	2	2	12	11	8
10	4	Plymouth	6	3	3	1.3	1.2	3	0	3	8	7	9
11	7	Oxford	5	2	3	1.6	0.8	2	3	0	8	4	9
12	9	Mansfield	5	2	3	2.0	1.0	3	2	0	10	5	11
13	10	Luton	6	3	3	1.5	1.0	3	2	1	9	6	11
14	15	Leyton Orient	6	3	3	1.2	1.7	2	0	4	7	10	6
15	21	Peterboro	5	2	3	1.0	1.4	1	2	2	5	7	5
16	22	Bromley	6	3	3	0.7	2.3	1	2	3	4	14	5
17	23	Barnsley	5	2	3	1.0	2.0	1	1	3	5	10	4
18	8	Sheffield Weds	5	3	2	2.4	0.6	2	2	1	12	3	8
19	18	Milton Keynes Dons	5	3	2	1.0	1.6	1	3	1	5	8	6
20	19	Notts County	6	4	2	1.2	1.0	2	2	2	7	6	8
21	24	Wigan	5	3	2	0.8	1.6	2	0	3	4	8	6
22	3	Bradford	5	4	1	1.2	0.4	3	1	1	6	2	10
23	16	AFC Wimbledon	6	5	1	0.5	0.7	2	3	1	3	4	9
24	17	Doncaster	6	5	1	1.0	1.0	2	2	2	6	6	8

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Mansfield	6	1	5	1.7	1.8	2	1	3	10	11	7
2	10	Luton	5	0	5	2.4	2.6	2	0	3	12	13	6
3	23	Barnsley	6	1	5	1.0	1.8	1	1	4	6	11	4
4	4	Plymouth	7	3	4	1.9	1.7	4	1	2	13	12	13
5	7	Oxford	5	1	4	2.0	1.2	3	1	1	10	6	10
6	8	Sheffield Weds	6	2	4	1.3	1.5	3	1	2	8	9	10
7	11	Burton	6	2	4	1.0	1.5	2	1	3	6	9	7
8	16	AFC Wimbledon	6	2	4	0.8	2.5	1	1	4	5	15	4
9	1	Huddersfield	6	3	3	1.5	0.8	3	2	1	9	5	11
10	5	Reading	5	2	3	1.6	1.2	1	2	2	8	6	5
11	6	Cambridge	5	2	3	1.6	1.2	2	3	0	8	6	9
12	13	Leicester	6	3	3	1.8	1.2	2	3	1	11	7	9
13	14	Wycombe	6	3	3	1.5	1.8	2	3	1	9	11	9
14	17	Doncaster	5	2	3	1.2	1.4	1	1	3	6	7	4
15	18	Milton Keynes Dons	6	3	3	1.2	1.7	1	3	2	7	10	6
16	20	Blackpool	5	2	3	0.8	1.8	1	0	4	4	9	3
17	21	Peterboro	7	4	3	0.9	2.0	1	2	4	6	14	5
18	22	Bromley	5	2	3	1.2	2.4	1	1	3	6	12	4
19	24	Wigan	6	3	3	0.7	1.5	0	1	5	4	9	1
20	2	Stockport	6	4	2	1.7	0.7	3	2	1	10	4	11
21	15	Leyton Orient	6	4	2	1.5	0.7	2	2	2	9	4	8
22	12	Stevenage	5	4	1	1.2	1.0	1	2	2	6	5	5
23	19	Notts County	5	4	1	0.8	1.6	0	3	2	4	8	3
24	3	Bradford	7	7	0	0.6	0.4	3	3	1	4	3	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.