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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Leeds 1–1 Man United

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.70 fair 2.39
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.32
Away 2.63 fair 2.86
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.70
Over 2.5 1.83 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Man United
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 4
9 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (194 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.56
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.32scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 25:32
Man United before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.74scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 33:29
Leeds all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.74
1.68 Goals conceded 1.53
3.00 Total goals 3.26
12.79 Shots 16.11
4.05 Shots on target 5.63
11.63 Shots faced 11.37
4.42 Corners 4.74
3.63 Corners against 4.84
10.21 Fouls 10.58
1.53 Yellow cards 1.37
0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

26% Wins 42%
32% Draws 32%
42% Losses 26%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 84%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
42% Over 3.5 goals 37%
21% Over 4.5 goals 21%
5% Over 5.5 goals 11%
63% Both teams scored 74%
16% Clean sheets 11%
32% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 47%
47% Draws 26%
26% Losses 26%
68% Over 0.5 goals 89%
47% Over 1.5 goals 42%
5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Man United all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.89scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:12
Man United before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.67scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:16
Leeds at home away Man United

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.67
1.33 Goals conceded 1.78
3.22 Total goals 3.44
15.78 Shots 14.11
4.89 Shots on target 5.11
10.89 Shots faced 12.89
5.22 Corners 4.67
3.33 Corners against 5.22
10.78 Fouls 10.78
2.00 Yellow cards 1.44
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

44% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
22% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 100%
78% Over 2.5 goals 89%
44% Over 3.5 goals 44%
22% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 89%
22% Clean sheets 0%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 33%
56% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 89%
56% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26 Liverpool – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
28.12.25 Sunderland – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.102.88 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 Leeds – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Brentford – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.25 Man United – Wolves 1–1 (1–1) 1.365.258.00 1.62 2.30
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
08.12.25 Wolves – Man United 1–4 (1–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
04.12.25 Man United – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.53 2.50
30.11.25 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.10
24.11.25 Man United – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Leeds – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
18.08.25 Leeds – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.73
28.04.25E1 Leeds – Bristol City 4–0 (1–0) 1.603.905.75 1.83 2.03

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
08.12.25 Wolves – Man United 1–4 (1–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
30.11.25 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Liverpool – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.505.00 1.44 2.75
27.09.25 Brentford – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.403.802.00 1.67 2.20
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
24.08.25 Fulham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.15 1.80 2.00
16.05.25 Chelsea – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsMan United wins
4matches
4.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.23E0 Leeds – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.67 2.20
08.02.23E0 Man United – Leeds 2–2 (0–1) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.38
20.02.22E0 Leeds – Man United 2–4 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.61 2.30
14.08.21E0 Man United – Leeds 5–1 (1–0) 1.534.505.75 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 15 3 2 40 14 +26 48
2 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 33 24 +9 42
3 Man City 19 13 2 4 43 17 +26 41
4 Liverpool 19 10 3 6 30 26 +4 33
5 Chelsea 19 8 6 5 32 21 +11 30
6 Man United 19 8 6 5 33 29 +4 30
7 Sunderland 19 7 8 4 20 18 +2 29
8 Brighton 20 7 7 6 30 27 +3 28
9 Everton 19 8 4 7 20 20 0 28
10 Brentford 19 8 3 8 28 26 +2 27
11 Crystal Palace 19 7 6 6 22 21 +1 27
12 Fulham 19 8 3 8 26 27 -1 27
13 Tottenham 19 7 5 7 27 23 +4 26
14 Newcastle 19 7 5 7 26 24 +2 26
15 Bournemouth 20 5 8 7 31 38 -7 23
16 Leeds 19 5 6 8 25 32 -7 21
17 Nott'm Forest 20 5 3 12 19 33 -14 18
18 West Ham 20 3 5 12 21 41 -20 14
19 Burnley 20 3 3 14 20 39 -19 12
20 Wolves 20 1 3 16 14 40 -26 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 9 1 0 26 5 +21 28
2 Aston Villa 10 8 1 1 18 8 +10 25
3 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24
4 Brentford 10 6 3 1 20 10 +10 21
5 Sunderland 10 5 5 0 16 8 +8 20
6 Liverpool 10 6 2 2 15 10 +5 20
7 Brighton 10 5 4 1 18 11 +7 19
8 Man United 10 5 3 2 18 13 +5 18
9 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
10 Fulham 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
11 Bournemouth 10 4 4 2 13 9 +4 16
12 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15
13 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 15 11 +4 15
14 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
15 Crystal Palace 10 2 5 3 10 12 -2 11
16 Nott'm Forest 10 3 1 6 12 17 -5 10
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8
18 Burnley 10 2 2 6 8 13 -5 8
19 West Ham 10 2 1 7 12 23 -11 7
20 Wolves 10 1 1 8 10 23 -13 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 6 2 2 14 9 +5 20
2 Tottenham 10 5 3 2 16 12 +4 18
3 Man City 10 5 2 3 18 11 +7 17
4 Aston Villa 10 5 2 3 15 16 -1 17
5 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16
6 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
7 Everton 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
8 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
9 Man United 9 3 3 3 15 16 -1 12
10 Fulham 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
11 Newcastle 10 2 3 5 10 12 -2 9
12 Brighton 10 2 3 5 12 16 -4 9
13 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9
14 Nott'm Forest 10 2 2 6 7 16 -9 8
15 West Ham 10 1 4 5 9 18 -9 7
16 Bournemouth 10 1 4 5 18 29 -11 7
17 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6
18 Leeds 10 1 3 6 8 20 -12 6
19 Burnley 10 1 1 8 12 26 -14 4
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 4 17 -13 2

Leeds   Man United

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Aston Villa 20 7 13 1.6 1.2 13 3 4 33 24 42
2 3 Man City 19 6 13 2.3 0.9 13 2 4 43 17 41
3 15 Bournemouth 20 7 13 1.6 1.9 5 8 7 31 38 23
4 18 West Ham 20 7 13 1.1 2.0 3 5 12 21 41 14
5 4 Liverpool 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 10 3 6 30 26 33
6 5 Chelsea 19 7 12 1.7 1.1 8 6 5 32 21 30
7 6 Man United 19 7 12 1.7 1.5 8 6 5 33 29 30
8 13 Tottenham 19 7 12 1.4 1.2 7 5 7 27 23 26
9 14 Newcastle 19 7 12 1.4 1.3 7 5 7 26 24 26
10 16 Leeds 19 7 12 1.3 1.7 5 6 8 25 32 21
11 8 Brighton 20 9 11 1.5 1.4 7 7 6 30 27 28
12 17 Nott'm Forest 20 9 11 0.9 1.6 5 3 12 19 33 18
13 1 Arsenal 20 10 10 2.0 0.7 15 3 2 40 14 48
14 10 Brentford 19 9 10 1.5 1.4 8 3 8 28 26 27
15 19 Burnley 20 10 10 1.0 1.9 3 3 14 20 39 12
16 20 Wolves 20 10 10 0.7 2.0 1 3 16 14 40 6
17 11 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 21 27
18 12 Fulham 19 10 9 1.4 1.4 8 3 8 26 27 27
19 7 Sunderland 19 13 6 1.1 0.9 7 8 4 20 18 29
20 9 Everton 19 13 6 1.1 1.1 8 4 7 20 20 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Aston Villa 10 3 7 1.8 0.8 8 1 1 18 8 25
2 3 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24
3 14 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
4 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15
5 17 Nott'm Forest 10 3 7 1.2 1.7 3 1 6 12 17 10
6 18 West Ham 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 2 1 7 12 23 7
7 1 Arsenal 10 4 6 2.6 0.5 9 1 0 26 5 28
8 5 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 3 15 11 15
9 8 Brighton 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 4 1 18 11 19
10 10 Brentford 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 6 3 1 20 10 21
11 20 Wolves 10 4 6 1.0 2.3 1 1 8 10 23 4
12 4 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 2 15 10 20
13 13 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8
14 6 Man United 10 6 4 1.8 1.3 5 3 2 18 13 18
15 7 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 5 0 16 8 20
16 9 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
17 11 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 2 5 3 10 12 11
18 12 Fulham 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
19 15 Bournemouth 10 6 4 1.3 0.9 4 4 2 13 9 16
20 19 Burnley 10 8 2 0.8 1.3 2 2 6 8 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.8 2.9 1 4 5 18 29 7
2 6 Man United 9 1 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 3 15 16 12
3 19 Burnley 10 2 8 1.2 2.6 1 1 8 12 26 4
4 4 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
5 13 Tottenham 10 3 7 1.6 1.2 5 3 2 16 12 18
6 2 Aston Villa 10 4 6 1.5 1.6 5 2 3 15 16 17
7 3 Man City 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 2 3 18 11 17
8 5 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
9 18 West Ham 10 4 6 0.9 1.8 1 4 5 9 18 7
10 8 Brighton 10 5 5 1.2 1.6 2 3 5 12 16 9
11 11 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16
12 12 Fulham 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
13 14 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 3 5 10 12 9
14 16 Leeds 10 5 5 0.8 2.0 1 3 6 8 20 6
15 1 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.4 0.9 6 2 2 14 9 20
16 10 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6
17 17 Nott'm Forest 10 6 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 6 7 16 8
18 20 Wolves 10 6 4 0.4 1.7 0 2 8 4 17 2
19 7 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9
20 9 Everton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 4 2 4 9 10 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51