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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 5.00 fair 3.34
Draw ✓ 4.33 fair 4.01
Away 1.60 fair 2.22
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Aston Villa
15 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 8
18 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (354 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 9.6% 1–2 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
1.00scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 35:71
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.66points / match
1.37scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 48:44
Burnley all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.37
2.03 Goals conceded 1.26
3.03 Total goals 2.63
9.11 Shots 12.54
2.97 Shots on target 4.26
16.83 Shots faced 12.66
3.60 Corners 5.23
6.00 Corners against 4.77
10.00 Fouls 10.14
1.66 Yellow cards 1.54
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.54
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

11% Wins 49%
23% Draws 20%
66% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 91%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
51% Over 2.5 goals 49%
40% Over 3.5 goals 26%
23% Over 4.5 goals 14%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
57% Both teams scored 54%
11% Clean sheets 26%
37% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 26%
34% Draws 43%
54% Losses 31%
80% Over 0.5 goals 71%
37% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
0.65points / match
0.88scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 15:26
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.35points / match
1.18scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:24
Burnley at home away Aston Villa

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.18
1.53 Goals conceded 1.41
2.41 Total goals 2.59
10.29 Shots 11.29
2.88 Shots on target 3.88
16.24 Shots faced 14.29
3.65 Corners 4.82
5.76 Corners against 4.82
9.53 Fouls 10.41
1.24 Yellow cards 1.88
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.41
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

12% Wins 35%
29% Draws 29%
59% Losses 35%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 76%
29% Over 2.5 goals 41%
29% Over 3.5 goals 24%
12% Over 4.5 goals 18%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
35% Both teams scored 59%
24% Clean sheets 18%
53% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 12%
35% Draws 53%
53% Losses 35%
76% Over 0.5 goals 65%
41% Over 1.5 goals 24%
18% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.05.26 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
22.04.26 Burnley – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 19.009.001.13 1.33 3.40
19.04.26 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 4–1 (0–1) 1.504.207.00 1.73 2.10
11.04.26 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Fulham – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
03.03.26 Everton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
28.02.26 Burnley – Brentford 3–4 (1–3) 4.503.901.73 1.85 2.00
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
11.02.26 Crystal Palace – Burnley 2–3 (2–3) 1.574.006.25 1.98 1.88

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26 Aston Villa – Tottenham 1–2 (0–2) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.10
25.04.26 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.602.45 1.73 2.10
19.04.26 Aston Villa – Sunderland 4–3 (2–1) 1.673.755.50 1.98 1.88
12.04.26 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.302.70 2.00 1.85
22.03.26 Aston Villa – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
15.03.26 Man United – Aston Villa 3–1 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.67 2.20
04.03.26 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–4 (1–2) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
27.02.26 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.103.701.85 1.85 2.00
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.26 Burnley – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 19.009.001.13 1.33 3.40
11.04.26 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Burnley – Brentford 3–4 (1–3) 4.503.901.73 1.85 2.00
07.02.26 Burnley – West Ham 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
24.01.26 Burnley – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 2.00 1.80
07.01.26 Burnley – Man United 2–2 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.25 Burnley – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 2.20 1.67
13.12.25 Burnley – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.003.501.91 2.10 1.73

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.602.45 1.73 2.10
12.04.26 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.302.70 2.00 1.85
15.03.26 Man United – Aston Villa 3–1 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.67 2.20
27.02.26 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.103.701.85 1.85 2.00
07.02.26 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.93 1.93
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsAston Villa wins
5matches
3.60goals / match
80%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25E0 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
30.12.23E0 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
27.08.23E0 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
19.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91
07.05.22E0 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 35 23 7 5 67 26 +41 76
2 Man City 35 22 8 5 72 32 +40 74
3 Man United 36 18 11 7 63 48 +15 65
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 60 48 +12 59
5 Aston Villa 35 17 7 11 48 44 +4 58
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 56 52 +4 55
7 Brighton 36 14 11 11 52 42 +10 53
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 52 49 +3 51
9 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 55 49 +6 49
10 Everton 35 13 9 13 44 44 0 48
11 Fulham 36 14 6 16 44 50 -6 48
12 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 37 46 -9 48
13 Newcastle 35 13 6 16 49 51 -2 45
14 Leeds 35 10 13 12 47 52 -5 43
15 Crystal Palace 34 11 10 13 36 42 -6 43
16 Nott'm Forest 35 11 9 15 44 46 -2 42
17 Tottenham 35 9 10 16 45 54 -9 37
18 West Ham 35 9 9 17 42 61 -19 36
19 Burnley 35 4 8 23 35 71 -36 20
20 Wolves 36 3 9 24 25 66 -41 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 40 11 +29 44
2 Man City 17 13 3 1 41 12 +29 42
3 Man United 18 12 3 3 36 22 +14 39
4 Liverpool 18 10 5 3 33 19 +14 35
5 Aston Villa 18 11 2 5 28 20 +8 35
6 Brighton 18 9 6 3 30 17 +13 33
7 Fulham 18 10 2 6 28 20 +8 32
8 Brentford 18 8 7 3 31 19 +12 31
9 Bournemouth 18 7 9 2 28 19 +9 30
10 Sunderland 18 8 6 4 23 19 +4 30
11 Leeds 18 8 5 5 28 21 +7 29
12 Newcastle 18 9 2 7 33 29 +4 29
13 Everton 18 6 5 7 25 24 +1 23
14 Chelsea 18 6 5 7 24 24 0 23
15 Crystal Palace 17 4 8 5 16 19 -3 20
16 West Ham 17 5 4 8 24 29 -5 19
17 Nott'm Forest 17 4 6 7 18 21 -3 18
18 Wolves 18 3 4 11 18 33 -15 13
19 Tottenham 17 2 5 10 20 30 -10 11
20 Burnley 17 2 5 10 15 26 -11 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 9 5 3 27 15 +12 32
2 Man City 18 9 5 4 31 20 +11 32
3 Chelsea 18 7 5 6 31 25 +6 26
4 Man United 18 6 8 4 27 26 +1 26
5 Tottenham 18 7 5 6 25 24 +1 26
6 Everton 17 7 4 6 19 20 -1 25
7 Bournemouth 18 6 7 5 28 33 -5 25
8 Nott'm Forest 18 7 3 8 26 25 +1 24
9 Liverpool 18 7 3 8 27 29 -2 24
10 Crystal Palace 17 7 2 8 20 23 -3 23
11 Aston Villa 17 6 5 6 20 24 -4 23
12 Brighton 18 5 5 8 22 25 -3 20
13 Brentford 18 6 2 10 21 30 -9 20
14 Sunderland 18 4 6 8 14 27 -13 18
15 West Ham 18 4 5 9 18 32 -14 17
16 Newcastle 17 4 4 9 16 22 -6 16
17 Fulham 18 4 4 10 16 30 -14 16
18 Leeds 17 2 8 7 19 31 -12 14
19 Burnley 18 2 3 13 20 45 -25 9
20 Wolves 18 0 5 13 7 33 -26 5

Burnley   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Chelsea 36 13 23 1.5 1.4 13 10 13 55 49 49
2 13 Newcastle 35 12 23 1.4 1.5 13 6 16 49 51 45
3 17 Tottenham 35 12 23 1.3 1.5 9 10 16 45 54 37
4 2 Man City 35 13 22 2.1 0.9 22 8 5 72 32 74
5 3 Man United 36 14 22 1.8 1.3 18 11 7 63 48 65
6 4 Liverpool 36 14 22 1.7 1.3 17 8 11 60 48 59
7 6 Bournemouth 36 15 21 1.6 1.4 13 16 7 56 52 55
8 18 West Ham 35 14 21 1.2 1.7 9 9 17 42 61 36
9 14 Leeds 35 15 20 1.3 1.5 10 13 12 47 52 43
10 1 Arsenal 35 16 19 1.9 0.7 23 7 5 67 26 76
11 8 Brentford 36 17 19 1.4 1.4 14 9 13 52 49 51
12 11 Fulham 36 17 19 1.2 1.4 14 6 16 44 50 48
13 16 Nott'm Forest 35 16 19 1.3 1.3 11 9 15 44 46 42
14 7 Brighton 36 18 18 1.4 1.2 14 11 11 52 42 53
15 19 Burnley 35 17 18 1.0 2.0 4 8 23 35 71 20
16 5 Aston Villa 35 18 17 1.4 1.3 17 7 11 48 44 58
17 15 Crystal Palace 34 17 17 1.1 1.2 11 10 13 36 42 43
18 20 Wolves 36 19 17 0.7 1.8 3 9 24 25 66 18
19 10 Everton 35 20 15 1.3 1.3 13 9 13 44 44 48
20 12 Sunderland 36 21 15 1.0 1.3 12 12 12 37 46 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Newcastle 18 4 14 1.8 1.6 9 2 7 33 29 29
2 2 Man City 17 5 12 2.4 0.7 13 3 1 41 12 42
3 17 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.2 1.8 2 5 10 20 30 11
4 1 Arsenal 18 7 11 2.2 0.6 14 2 2 40 11 44
5 14 Leeds 18 7 11 1.6 1.2 8 5 5 28 21 29
6 18 West Ham 17 6 11 1.4 1.7 5 4 8 24 29 19
7 3 Man United 18 8 10 2.0 1.2 12 3 3 36 22 39
8 5 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.6 1.1 11 2 5 28 20 35
9 7 Brighton 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 9 6 3 30 17 33
10 8 Brentford 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 8 7 3 31 19 31
11 9 Chelsea 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 6 5 7 24 24 23
12 11 Fulham 18 8 10 1.6 1.1 10 2 6 28 20 32
13 4 Liverpool 18 9 9 1.8 1.1 10 5 3 33 19 35
14 6 Bournemouth 18 9 9 1.6 1.1 7 9 2 28 19 30
15 10 Everton 18 9 9 1.4 1.3 6 5 7 25 24 23
16 20 Wolves 18 9 9 1.0 1.8 3 4 11 18 33 13
17 12 Sunderland 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 8 6 4 23 19 30
18 16 Nott'm Forest 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 4 6 7 18 21 18
19 15 Crystal Palace 17 10 7 0.9 1.1 4 8 5 16 19 20
20 19 Burnley 17 12 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 10 15 26 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Liverpool 18 5 13 1.5 1.6 7 3 8 27 29 24
2 9 Chelsea 18 5 13 1.7 1.4 7 5 6 31 25 26
3 19 Burnley 18 5 13 1.1 2.5 2 3 13 20 45 9
4 3 Man United 18 6 12 1.5 1.4 6 8 4 27 26 26
5 6 Bournemouth 18 6 12 1.6 1.8 6 7 5 28 33 25
6 16 Nott'm Forest 18 7 11 1.4 1.4 7 3 8 26 25 24
7 17 Tottenham 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 7 5 6 25 24 26
8 2 Man City 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 9 5 4 31 20 32
9 15 Crystal Palace 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 7 2 8 20 23 23
10 18 West Ham 18 8 10 1.0 1.8 4 5 9 18 32 17
11 8 Brentford 18 9 9 1.2 1.7 6 2 10 21 30 20
12 11 Fulham 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 4 10 16 30 16
13 13 Newcastle 17 8 9 0.9 1.3 4 4 9 16 22 16
14 14 Leeds 17 8 9 1.1 1.8 2 8 7 19 31 14
15 1 Arsenal 17 9 8 1.6 0.9 9 5 3 27 15 32
16 7 Brighton 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 5 5 8 22 25 20
17 20 Wolves 18 10 8 0.4 1.8 0 5 13 7 33 5
18 5 Aston Villa 17 10 7 1.2 1.4 6 5 6 20 24 23
19 12 Sunderland 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 4 6 8 14 27 18
20 10 Everton 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 7 4 6 19 20 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51