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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Nott'm Forest 1–1 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.63 fair 2.89
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.73
Away 2.70 fair 2.59
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 2.16

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nott'm Forest Aston Villa
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 3
15 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (314 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.22 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
Nott'm ForestDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 0–1 10.4% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
1.03points / match
1.00scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 31:43
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.74points / match
1.35scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 42:37
Nott'm Forest all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.35
1.39 Goals conceded 1.19
2.39 Total goals 2.55
12.65 Shots 12.81
3.97 Shots on target 4.35
12.65 Shots faced 12.74
5.39 Corners 5.35
4.90 Corners against 4.77
10.55 Fouls 10.00
1.55 Yellow cards 1.52
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

26% Wins 52%
26% Draws 19%
48% Losses 29%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
77% Over 1.5 goals 71%
52% Over 2.5 goals 48%
19% Over 3.5 goals 26%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
39% Both teams scored 52%
26% Clean sheets 29%
45% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 26%
39% Draws 45%
45% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 68%
26% Over 1.5 goals 23%
6% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Nott'm Forest before this match, at home
0.93points / match
0.87scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:19
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.47points / match
1.27scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:22
Nott'm Forest at home away Aston Villa

Per match

0.87 Goals scored 1.27
1.27 Goals conceded 1.47
2.13 Total goals 2.73
15.20 Shots 11.33
3.80 Shots on target 4.00
11.93 Shots faced 14.33
6.33 Corners 4.93
4.20 Corners against 4.87
9.73 Fouls 10.33
1.27 Yellow cards 1.87
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 40%
33% Draws 27%
47% Losses 33%
80% Over 0.5 goals 87%
67% Over 1.5 goals 80%
47% Over 2.5 goals 47%
20% Over 3.5 goals 27%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
33% Both teams scored 60%
27% Clean sheets 20%
60% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 13%
60% Draws 53%
27% Losses 33%
53% Over 0.5 goals 60%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
7% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.93
15.03.26 Nott'm Forest – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
04.03.26 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.83 2.03
22.02.26 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
11.02.26 Nott'm Forest – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 2.00 1.85
06.02.26 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.73
01.02.26 Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.503.90 2.00 1.80
25.01.26 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.504.10 1.98 1.88
17.01.26 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.91 1.91

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Aston Villa – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
15.03.26 Man United – Aston Villa 3–1 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.67 2.20
04.03.26 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–4 (1–2) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
27.02.26 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.103.701.85 1.85 2.00
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
18.01.26 Aston Villa – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.905.25 1.93 1.93

Nott'm Forest at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Nott'm Forest – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
22.02.26 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
11.02.26 Nott'm Forest – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 2.00 1.85
01.02.26 Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.503.90 2.00 1.80
17.01.26 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.91 1.91
30.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Everton 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.253.70 2.30 1.62
27.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Tottenham 3–0 (1–0) 2.553.302.80 2.03 1.83
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Man United – Aston Villa 3–1 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.67 2.20
27.02.26 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.103.701.85 1.85 2.00
07.02.26 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.93 1.93
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nott'm Forest winsDrawsAston Villa wins
7matches
3.14goals / match
57%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26E0 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.50 1.80 2.00
05.04.25E0 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.70 1.80 2.00
14.12.24E0 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00
24.02.24E0 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
05.11.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
08.04.23E0 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.205.25 1.94 1.96
10.10.22E0 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62 24 +38 70
2 Man City 30 18 7 5 60 28 +32 61
3 Man United 31 15 10 6 56 43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 31 16 6 9 42 37 +5 54
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52 42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 31 13 9 9 53 38 +15 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48 44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39 37 +2 47
9 Brighton 32 12 10 10 43 37 +6 46
10 Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48 49 -1 45
11 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43 46 -3 44
12 Sunderland 31 11 10 10 32 36 -4 43
13 Newcastle 31 12 6 13 44 45 -1 42
14 Crystal Palace 30 10 9 11 33 35 -2 39
15 Leeds 31 7 12 12 37 48 -11 33
16 Nott'm Forest 31 8 8 15 31 43 -12 32
17 West Ham 32 8 8 16 40 57 -17 32
18 Tottenham 31 7 9 15 40 50 -10 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33 63 -30 20
20 Wolves 32 3 8 21 24 58 -34 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
2 Man City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Man United 15 10 3 2 30 17 +13 33
4 Aston Villa 16 10 2 4 23 15 +8 32
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31
6 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
7 Brentford 16 7 6 3 28 19 +9 27
8 Brighton 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
9 Sunderland 15 7 5 3 22 14 +8 26
10 Bournemouth 16 6 8 2 23 17 +6 26
11 Newcastle 16 8 2 6 29 26 +3 26
12 Chelsea 15 6 5 4 23 17 +6 23
13 Leeds 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
14 Everton 16 6 4 6 21 19 +2 22
15 Crystal Palace 15 3 7 5 14 18 -4 16
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 22 28 -6 16
17 Nott'm Forest 15 3 5 7 13 19 -6 14
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11
20 Tottenham 16 2 4 10 18 28 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 30 21 +9 25
3 Man City 15 7 4 4 24 17 +7 25
4 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 0 25
5 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
6 Man United 16 5 7 4 26 26 0 22
7 Aston Villa 15 6 4 5 19 22 -3 22
8 Liverpool 16 6 3 7 23 25 -2 21
9 Tottenham 15 5 5 5 22 22 0 20
10 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
11 Brighton 16 5 4 7 19 20 -1 19
12 Bournemouth 16 4 7 5 25 32 -7 19
13 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 18 24 -6 18
14 Sunderland 16 4 5 7 10 22 -12 17
15 Newcastle 15 4 4 7 15 19 -4 16
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 18 29 -11 16
17 Fulham 16 4 3 9 16 27 -11 15
18 Leeds 15 1 7 7 15 28 -13 10
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 18 38 -20 9
20 Wolves 16 0 5 11 7 27 -20 5

Nott'm Forest   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Tottenham 31 10 21 1.3 1.6 7 9 15 40 50 30
2 6 Chelsea 31 11 20 1.7 1.2 13 9 9 53 38 48
3 13 Newcastle 31 11 20 1.4 1.5 12 6 13 44 45 42
4 3 Man United 31 12 19 1.8 1.4 15 10 6 56 43 55
5 5 Liverpool 32 13 19 1.6 1.3 15 7 10 52 42 52
6 17 West Ham 32 13 19 1.2 1.8 8 8 16 40 57 32
7 2 Man City 30 12 18 2.0 0.9 18 7 5 60 28 61
8 10 Bournemouth 32 14 18 1.5 1.5 10 15 7 48 49 45
9 11 Fulham 32 14 18 1.3 1.4 13 5 14 43 46 44
10 1 Arsenal 32 15 17 1.9 0.8 21 7 4 62 24 70
11 7 Brentford 32 16 16 1.5 1.4 13 8 11 48 44 47
12 15 Leeds 31 15 16 1.2 1.5 7 12 12 37 48 33
13 16 Nott'm Forest 31 15 16 1.0 1.4 8 8 15 31 43 32
14 19 Burnley 32 16 16 1.0 2.0 4 8 20 33 63 20
15 4 Aston Villa 31 16 15 1.4 1.2 16 6 9 42 37 54
16 20 Wolves 32 17 15 0.8 1.8 3 8 21 24 58 17
17 9 Brighton 32 18 14 1.3 1.2 12 10 10 43 37 46
18 14 Crystal Palace 30 16 14 1.1 1.2 10 9 11 33 35 39
19 12 Sunderland 31 18 13 1.0 1.2 11 10 10 32 36 43
20 8 Everton 32 20 12 1.2 1.2 13 8 11 39 37 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Newcastle 16 4 12 1.8 1.6 8 2 6 29 26 26
2 18 Tottenham 16 5 11 1.1 1.8 2 4 10 18 28 10
3 1 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 12 2 2 36 11 38
4 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 1 36 11 36
5 11 Fulham 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 19 29
6 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 4 4 8 22 28 16
7 7 Brentford 16 7 9 1.8 1.2 7 6 3 28 19 27
8 15 Leeds 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23
9 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
10 4 Aston Villa 16 8 8 1.4 0.9 10 2 4 23 15 32
11 5 Liverpool 16 8 8 1.8 1.1 9 4 3 29 17 31
12 6 Chelsea 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 23 17 23
13 9 Brighton 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 7 6 3 24 17 27
14 3 Man United 15 8 7 2.0 1.1 10 3 2 30 17 33
15 8 Everton 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 6 4 6 21 19 22
16 10 Bournemouth 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 6 8 2 23 17 26
17 12 Sunderland 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 7 5 3 22 14 26
18 16 Nott'm Forest 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 3 5 7 13 19 14
19 14 Crystal Palace 15 9 6 0.9 1.2 3 7 5 14 18 16
20 19 Burnley 16 11 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 9 15 25 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man United 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 5 7 4 26 26 22
2 6 Chelsea 16 4 12 1.9 1.3 7 4 5 30 21 25
3 5 Liverpool 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 6 3 7 23 25 21
4 10 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.6 2.0 4 7 5 25 32 19
5 19 Burnley 16 5 11 1.1 2.4 2 3 11 18 38 9
6 18 Tottenham 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 5 5 5 22 22 20
7 16 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 8 18 24 18
8 17 West Ham 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 4 4 8 18 29 16
9 2 Man City 15 7 8 1.6 1.1 7 4 4 24 17 25
10 11 Fulham 16 8 8 1.0 1.7 4 3 9 16 27 15
11 13 Newcastle 15 7 8 1.0 1.3 4 4 7 15 19 16
12 14 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 2 6 19 17 23
13 1 Arsenal 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
14 4 Aston Villa 15 8 7 1.3 1.5 6 4 5 19 22 22
15 7 Brentford 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20
16 15 Leeds 15 8 7 1.0 1.9 1 7 7 15 28 10
17 9 Brighton 16 10 6 1.2 1.2 5 4 7 19 20 19
18 12 Sunderland 16 10 6 0.6 1.4 4 5 7 10 22 17
19 20 Wolves 16 10 6 0.4 1.7 0 5 11 7 27 5
20 8 Everton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 18 18 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44