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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.70 fair 3.23
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 3.67
Away 2.55 fair 2.39
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.78
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 2.28

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Atalanta
11 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 3
11 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.10 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 0–1 11.7% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.08scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 40:49
Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.35scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 50:35
Fiorentina all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.35
1.32 Goals conceded 0.95
2.41 Total goals 2.30
12.92 Shots 14.62
3.43 Shots on target 4.57
13.32 Shots faced 11.78
4.49 Corners 5.73
4.62 Corners against 4.19
12.54 Fouls 11.78
2.22 Yellow cards 1.57
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

24% Wins 41%
38% Draws 35%
38% Losses 24%
86% Over 0.5 goals 92%
70% Over 1.5 goals 73%
51% Over 2.5 goals 38%
24% Over 3.5 goals 19%
5% Over 4.5 goals 8%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 51%
27% Clean sheets 35%
30% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 38%
38% Draws 38%
38% Losses 24%
65% Over 0.5 goals 73%
22% Over 1.5 goals 27%
11% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Atalanta all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
1.11points / match
1.11scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:20
Atalanta before this match, away
1.39points / match
1.39scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 25:20
Fiorentina at home away Atalanta

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.39
1.11 Goals conceded 1.11
2.22 Total goals 2.50
15.94 Shots 12.00
4.11 Shots on target 4.06
11.11 Shots faced 13.56
5.61 Corners 4.56
4.06 Corners against 4.83
12.00 Fouls 12.17
2.17 Yellow cards 1.89
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

22% Wins 33%
44% Draws 39%
33% Losses 28%
83% Over 0.5 goals 94%
61% Over 1.5 goals 83%
44% Over 2.5 goals 39%
22% Over 3.5 goals 22%
6% Over 4.5 goals 11%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
61% Both teams scored 61%
33% Clean sheets 33%
22% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 33%
28% Draws 39%
50% Losses 28%
72% Over 0.5 goals 72%
17% Over 1.5 goals 33%
11% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Atalanta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Juventus – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 1.335.008.50 1.62 2.30
10.05.26 Fiorentina – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
04.05.26 Roma – Fiorentina 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.205.00 1.90 1.95
26.04.26 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 1.88 1.98
20.04.26 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
13.04.26 Fiorentina – Lazio 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.67
04.04.26 Verona – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Fiorentina – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.73 2.10
16.03.26 Cremonese – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–2) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
08.03.26 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Atalanta – Bologna 0–1 (0–0) 1.624.204.75 1.67 2.20
10.05.26 Milan – Atalanta 2–3 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 1.85 2.00
02.05.26 Atalanta – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.75 1.80 2.00
27.04.26 Cagliari – Atalanta 3–2 (2–2) 4.503.601.80 1.91 1.91
18.04.26 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.90 2.00 1.80
11.04.26 Atalanta – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.35 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Lecce – Atalanta 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.751.75 2.03 1.83
22.03.26 Atalanta – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.91 1.91
14.03.26 Inter – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.73 2.10
07.03.26 Atalanta – Udinese 2–2 (0–1) 1.673.705.50 1.91 1.91

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.26 Fiorentina – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
26.04.26 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 1.88 1.98
13.04.26 Fiorentina – Lazio 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Fiorentina – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.73 2.10
08.03.26 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
23.02.26 Fiorentina – Pisa 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Fiorentina – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.753.754.75 1.93 1.93
24.01.26 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
04.01.26 Fiorentina – Cremonese 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80

Atalanta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.26 Milan – Atalanta 2–3 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 1.85 2.00
27.04.26 Cagliari – Atalanta 3–2 (2–2) 4.503.601.80 1.91 1.91
18.04.26 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.90 2.00 1.80
06.04.26 Lecce – Atalanta 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.751.75 2.03 1.83
14.03.26 Inter – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.73 2.10
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.15 2.10 1.73
01.02.26 Como – Atalanta 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.253.20 1.91 1.91
16.01.26 Pisa – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 6.503.901.55 1.85 2.00
07.01.26 Bologna – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.60 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsAtalanta wins
9matches
2.78goals / match
44%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25I1 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91
30.03.25I1 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.95
15.09.24I1 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
02.06.24I1 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–3 (2–3) 1.484.756.00 1.53 2.50
17.09.23I1 Fiorentina – Atalanta 3–2 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.80 2.00
17.04.23I1 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.90 1.89 2.01
02.10.22I1 Atalanta – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 1.92 1.98
20.02.22I1 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 1.72 2.10
11.09.21I1 Atalanta – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.554.335.50 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 37 27 5 5 86 32 +54 86
2 Napoli 37 22 7 8 57 36 +21 73
3 Roma 37 22 4 11 57 31 +26 70
4 Milan 37 20 10 7 52 33 +19 70
5 Como 37 19 11 7 61 28 +33 68
6 Juventus 37 19 11 7 59 32 +27 68
7 Atalanta 37 15 13 9 50 35 +15 58
8 Bologna 37 16 7 14 46 43 +3 55
9 Lazio 37 13 12 12 39 39 0 51
10 Udinese 37 14 8 15 45 47 -2 50
11 Sassuolo 37 14 7 16 46 49 -3 49
12 Torino 37 12 8 17 42 61 -19 44
13 Parma 37 10 12 15 27 46 -19 42
14 Genoa 37 10 11 16 41 50 -9 41
15 Fiorentina 37 9 14 14 40 49 -9 41
16 Cagliari 37 10 10 17 38 52 -14 40
17 Lecce 37 9 8 20 27 50 -23 35
18 Cremonese 37 8 10 19 31 53 -22 34
19 Verona 37 3 12 22 25 59 -34 21
20 Pisa 37 2 12 23 25 69 -44 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 14 3 2 50 16 +34 45
2 Roma 19 13 3 3 33 10 +23 42
3 Napoli 18 12 4 2 32 18 +14 40
4 Juventus 19 10 7 2 35 16 +19 37
5 Como 19 10 6 3 35 15 +20 36
6 Atalanta 19 9 6 4 25 15 +10 33
7 Milan 18 9 5 4 24 19 +5 32
8 Sassuolo 19 9 2 8 25 26 -1 29
9 Lazio 18 7 6 5 25 24 +1 27
10 Torino 18 8 3 7 25 27 -2 27
11 Cagliari 19 7 4 8 22 23 -1 25
12 Udinese 19 6 5 8 18 21 -3 23
13 Genoa 19 6 4 9 22 26 -4 22
14 Bologna 18 6 3 9 16 20 -4 21
15 Fiorentina 18 4 8 6 20 20 0 20
16 Parma 18 4 6 8 15 25 -10 18
17 Lecce 18 4 5 9 12 24 -12 17
18 Cremonese 18 3 7 8 17 25 -8 16
19 Pisa 19 2 4 13 9 26 -17 10
20 Verona 18 1 5 12 12 26 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 13 2 3 36 16 +20 41
2 Milan 19 11 5 3 28 14 +14 38
3 Bologna 19 10 4 5 30 23 +7 34
4 Napoli 19 10 3 6 25 18 +7 33
5 Como 18 9 5 4 26 13 +13 32
6 Juventus 18 9 4 5 24 16 +8 31
7 Roma 18 9 1 8 24 21 +3 28
8 Udinese 18 8 3 7 27 26 +1 27
9 Atalanta 18 6 7 5 25 20 +5 25
10 Lazio 19 6 6 7 14 15 -1 24
11 Parma 19 6 6 7 12 21 -9 24
12 Fiorentina 19 5 6 8 20 29 -9 21
13 Sassuolo 18 5 5 8 21 23 -2 20
14 Genoa 18 4 7 7 19 24 -5 19
15 Lecce 19 5 3 11 15 26 -11 18
16 Cremonese 19 5 3 11 14 28 -14 18
17 Torino 19 4 5 10 17 34 -17 17
18 Cagliari 18 3 6 9 16 29 -13 15
19 Verona 19 2 7 10 13 33 -20 13
20 Pisa 18 0 8 10 16 43 -27 8

Fiorentina   Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 37 14 23 1.1 1.6 12 8 17 42 61 44
2 11 Sassuolo 37 16 21 1.2 1.3 14 7 16 46 49 49
3 1 Inter 37 17 20 2.3 0.9 27 5 5 86 32 86
4 2 Napoli 37 17 20 1.5 1.0 22 7 8 57 36 73
5 14 Genoa 37 17 20 1.1 1.4 10 11 16 41 50 41
6 15 Fiorentina 37 18 19 1.1 1.3 9 14 14 40 49 41
7 19 Verona 37 18 19 0.7 1.6 3 12 22 25 59 21
8 20 Pisa 37 18 19 0.7 1.9 2 12 23 25 69 18
9 16 Cagliari 37 19 18 1.0 1.4 10 10 17 38 52 40
10 10 Udinese 37 20 17 1.2 1.3 14 8 15 45 47 50
11 4 Milan 37 21 16 1.4 0.9 20 10 7 52 33 70
12 5 Como 37 21 16 1.6 0.8 19 11 7 61 28 68
13 8 Bologna 37 21 16 1.2 1.2 16 7 14 46 43 55
14 18 Cremonese 37 21 16 0.8 1.4 8 10 19 31 53 34
15 3 Roma 37 23 14 1.5 0.8 22 4 11 57 31 70
16 6 Juventus 37 23 14 1.6 0.9 19 11 7 59 32 68
17 7 Atalanta 37 23 14 1.4 0.9 15 13 9 50 35 58
18 17 Lecce 37 23 14 0.7 1.4 9 8 20 27 50 35
19 9 Lazio 37 26 11 1.1 1.1 13 12 12 39 39 51
20 13 Parma 37 26 11 0.7 1.2 10 12 15 27 46 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 19 7 12 2.6 0.8 14 3 2 50 16 45
2 2 Napoli 18 6 12 1.8 1.0 12 4 2 32 18 40
3 12 Torino 18 6 12 1.4 1.5 8 3 7 25 27 27
4 11 Sassuolo 19 8 11 1.3 1.4 9 2 8 25 26 29
5 14 Genoa 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 6 4 9 22 26 22
6 4 Milan 18 9 9 1.3 1.1 9 5 4 24 19 32
7 5 Como 19 11 8 1.8 0.8 10 6 3 35 15 36
8 6 Juventus 19 11 8 1.8 0.8 10 7 2 35 16 37
9 9 Lazio 18 10 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 25 24 27
10 15 Fiorentina 18 10 8 1.1 1.1 4 8 6 20 20 20
11 17 Lecce 18 10 8 0.7 1.3 4 5 9 12 24 17
12 18 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 17 25 16
13 19 Verona 18 10 8 0.7 1.4 1 5 12 12 26 8
14 7 Atalanta 19 12 7 1.3 0.8 9 6 4 25 15 33
15 10 Udinese 19 12 7 0.9 1.1 6 5 8 18 21 23
16 16 Cagliari 19 12 7 1.2 1.2 7 4 8 22 23 25
17 20 Pisa 19 12 7 0.5 1.4 2 4 13 9 26 10
18 3 Roma 19 13 6 1.7 0.5 13 3 3 33 10 42
19 8 Bologna 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 6 3 9 16 20 21
20 13 Parma 18 12 6 0.8 1.4 4 6 8 15 25 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Pisa 18 6 12 0.9 2.4 0 8 10 16 43 8
2 12 Torino 19 8 11 0.9 1.8 4 5 10 17 34 17
3 15 Fiorentina 19 8 11 1.1 1.5 5 6 8 20 29 21
4 16 Cagliari 18 7 11 0.9 1.6 3 6 9 16 29 15
5 19 Verona 19 8 11 0.7 1.7 2 7 10 13 33 13
6 8 Bologna 19 9 10 1.6 1.2 10 4 5 30 23 34
7 10 Udinese 18 8 10 1.5 1.4 8 3 7 27 26 27
8 11 Sassuolo 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 23 20
9 14 Genoa 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 4 7 7 19 24 19
10 1 Inter 18 10 8 2.0 0.9 13 2 3 36 16 41
11 2 Napoli 19 11 8 1.3 0.9 10 3 6 25 18 33
12 3 Roma 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 9 1 8 24 21 28
13 5 Como 18 10 8 1.4 0.7 9 5 4 26 13 32
14 18 Cremonese 19 11 8 0.7 1.5 5 3 11 14 28 18
15 4 Milan 19 12 7 1.5 0.7 11 5 3 28 14 38
16 7 Atalanta 18 11 7 1.4 1.1 6 7 5 25 20 25
17 6 Juventus 18 12 6 1.3 0.9 9 4 5 24 16 31
18 17 Lecce 19 13 6 0.8 1.4 5 3 11 15 26 18
19 13 Parma 19 14 5 0.6 1.1 6 6 7 12 21 24
20 9 Lazio 19 16 3 0.7 0.8 6 6 7 14 15 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51