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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Lisbon 2–1 Nacional

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.10 fair 1.50
Draw 8.00 fair 5.29
Away 19.00 fair 6.98
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 2.54
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.65

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Lisbon Nacional
16 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 4
11 Corners 0
12 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (176 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 2.21 – 0.92
Home / Draw / Away
Sp LisbonDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.7% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.53points / match
2.74scored / match
0.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 52:10
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
1.37scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:28
Sp Lisbon all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

2.74 Goals scored 1.37
0.53 Goals conceded 1.47
3.26 Total goals 2.84
18.84 Shots 12.00
7.26 Shots on target 4.00
8.63 Shots faced 15.32
6.84 Corners 4.05
2.95 Corners against 6.26
12.53 Fouls 15.05
2.32 Yellow cards 2.89
1.21 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.21 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

79% Wins 26%
16% Draws 26%
5% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 79%
68% Over 2.5 goals 53%
32% Over 3.5 goals 32%
21% Over 4.5 goals 16%
11% Over 5.5 goals 5%
47% Both teams scored 63%
53% Clean sheets 16%
0% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 32%
32% Draws 42%
5% Losses 26%
84% Over 0.5 goals 74%
42% Over 1.5 goals 32%
16% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon all matches
Nacional all matches
Sp Lisbon before this match, at home
2.44points / match
3.33scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 30:3
Nacional before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:11
Sp Lisbon at home away Nacional

Per match

3.33 Goals scored 1.00
0.33 Goals conceded 1.10
3.67 Total goals 2.10
20.67 Shots 12.90
8.22 Shots on target 3.90
7.44 Shots faced 12.70
5.89 Corners 4.00
2.44 Corners against 4.70
11.89 Fouls 15.70
1.44 Yellow cards 2.60
1.44 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

78% Wins 20%
11% Draws 40%
11% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 70%
78% Over 2.5 goals 30%
44% Over 3.5 goals 10%
22% Over 4.5 goals 0%
22% Over 5.5 goals 0%
22% Both teams scored 60%
78% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 40%
33% Draws 30%
0% Losses 30%
67% Over 0.5 goals 80%
44% Over 1.5 goals 30%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40
05.12.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.052.65 2.15 1.67
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
17.01.26 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
21.12.25 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
01.11.25 Nacional – Famalicao 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75

Sp Lisbon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
05.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–0) 1.414.337.00 1.67 2.15
22.09.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.177.0012.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 1.963.503.60 1.85 2.00
17.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
17.05.25 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.53 2.40

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
21.12.25 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
28.09.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Lisbon winsDrawsNacional wins
3matches
4.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25P1 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
25.01.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
17.08.24P1 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 19 18 1 0 40 4 +36 55 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 19 15 3 1 52 10 +42 48 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 19 13 6 0 42 11 +31 45 WWDWWW
4 Gil Vicente 20 9 7 4 29 16 +13 34 DDDWLW
5 Sp Braga 19 9 6 4 37 18 +19 33 WLDDWW
6 Moreirense 20 9 3 8 26 27 -1 30 DWWLWL
7 Estoril 20 8 5 7 41 33 +8 29 WWLWWW
8 Famalicao 20 8 5 7 24 19 +5 29 LLLWWL
9 Guimaraes 20 8 4 8 21 27 -6 28 LDWLLW
10 Alverca 20 7 3 10 20 34 -14 24 LLWWLD
11 Nacional 19 5 5 9 26 28 -2 20 WDLDLW
12 Estrela 20 4 8 8 24 37 -13 20 DWDLLD
13 Rio Ave 20 4 8 8 22 38 -16 20 DLWLLL
14 Arouca 20 5 5 10 23 44 -21 20 DDLWLW
15 Santa Clara 20 4 5 11 16 25 -9 17 DLDLLL
16 Casa Pia 19 3 6 10 20 38 -18 15 DWDLLD
17 Tondela 19 3 3 13 12 33 -21 12 LLWLLL
18 AVS 19 0 5 14 14 47 -33 5 LDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 8 1 0 19 2 +17 25 DWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 9 7 1 1 30 3 +27 22 DWWWWW
3 Benfica 10 6 4 0 23 7 +16 22 WDDWWW
4 Gil Vicente 10 6 2 2 17 7 +10 20 WLDDWW
5 Moreirense 9 6 1 2 14 11 +3 19 WLDLWW
6 Estoril 10 5 3 2 21 14 +7 18 DWDWWW
7 Guimaraes 11 5 3 3 15 14 +1 18 WDLWLW
8 Sp Braga 9 5 2 2 19 7 +12 17 LWWWDW
9 Alverca 11 5 2 4 10 15 -5 17 DWLWWD
10 Famalicao 10 4 2 4 16 8 +8 14 WLLWLW
11 Santa Clara 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11 LWDLLL
12 Nacional 9 3 1 5 16 17 -1 10 WLLWDW
13 Estrela 10 2 4 4 13 17 -4 10 LDWDDL
14 Rio Ave 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9 LDLWLL
15 Arouca 10 2 3 5 11 21 -10 9 DLLWDL
16 Tondela 9 1 2 6 6 13 -7 5 LLLLWL
17 Casa Pia 9 0 5 4 10 18 -8 5 DLLDDD
18 AVS 10 0 3 7 7 19 -12 3 DDLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 10 0 0 21 2 +19 30 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 22 7 +15 26 WWDWDW
3 Benfica 9 7 2 0 19 4 +15 23 DWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 10 4 4 2 18 11 +7 16 LWWLDW
5 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 8 11 -3 15 WDLLWL
6 Gil Vicente 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14 WDDDDL
7 Estoril 10 3 2 5 20 19 +1 11 WLLLWW
8 Moreirense 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11 LDDWLL
9 Rio Ave 10 2 5 3 12 20 -8 11 WDWDLL
10 Arouca 10 3 2 5 12 23 -11 11 LLDLWW
11 Nacional 10 2 4 4 10 11 -1 10 DDLDLL
12 Guimaraes 9 3 1 5 6 13 -7 10 LLWWDL
13 Estrela 10 2 4 4 11 20 -9 10 WLLWLD
14 Casa Pia 10 3 1 6 10 20 -10 10 LDLWLL
15 Alverca 9 2 1 6 10 19 -9 7 WLWLLL
16 Tondela 10 2 1 7 6 20 -14 7 LDWLLL
17 Santa Clara 9 1 3 5 7 13 -6 6 LLDLDL
18 AVS 9 0 2 7 7 28 -21 2 LLLLLD

Sp Lisbon   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 19 6 13 2.7 0.5 15 3 1 52 10 48 OOOUOO
2 7 Estoril 20 7 13 2.0 1.6 8 5 7 41 33 29 UOOOOO
3 13 Rio Ave 20 7 13 1.1 1.9 4 8 8 22 38 20 OOOUOO
4 14 Arouca 20 7 13 1.1 2.2 5 5 10 23 44 20 UOOUOO
5 3 Benfica 19 7 12 2.2 0.6 13 6 0 42 11 45 OUOOUO
6 5 Sp Braga 19 7 12 1.9 0.9 9 6 4 37 18 33 UUOOUO
7 18 AVS 19 7 12 0.7 2.5 0 5 14 14 47 5 OOUUUO
8 6 Moreirense 20 9 11 1.3 1.4 9 3 8 26 27 30 UUUOUU
9 10 Alverca 20 9 11 1.0 1.7 7 3 10 20 34 24 OOUOOU
10 12 Estrela 20 9 11 1.2 1.9 4 8 8 24 37 20 UOOOOU
11 17 Tondela 19 8 11 0.6 1.7 3 3 13 12 33 12 OOOUUO
12 1 Porto 19 9 10 2.1 0.2 18 1 0 40 4 55 OOUUUO
13 11 Nacional 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 5 5 9 26 28 20 OOOOOO
14 16 Casa Pia 19 9 10 1.1 2.0 3 6 10 20 38 15 UOUOOO
15 8 Famalicao 20 12 8 1.2 0.9 8 5 7 24 19 29 UOUUOO
16 9 Guimaraes 20 12 8 1.1 1.4 8 4 8 21 27 28 OUOUOU
17 4 Gil Vicente 20 13 7 1.4 0.8 9 7 4 29 16 34 OOUOOO
18 15 Santa Clara 20 13 7 0.8 1.2 4 5 11 16 25 17 UUOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 3.3 0.3 7 1 1 30 3 22 UUOOOO
2 11 Nacional 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 3 1 5 16 17 10 OUOOOO
3 3 Benfica 10 4 6 2.3 0.7 6 4 0 23 7 22 OOUUOO
4 5 Sp Braga 9 3 6 2.1 0.8 5 2 2 19 7 17 UOOUOO
5 6 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 6 1 2 14 11 19 OOOOUU
6 8 Famalicao 10 4 6 1.6 0.8 4 2 4 16 8 14 UUOOOO
7 9 Guimaraes 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 3 3 15 14 18 OUOOUU
8 12 Estrela 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 2 4 4 13 17 10 OUOUOO
9 13 Rio Ave 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9 OUUOUO
10 14 Arouca 10 4 6 1.1 2.1 2 3 5 11 21 9 UUOUOO
11 1 Porto 9 4 5 2.1 0.2 8 1 0 19 2 25 UOUOUO
12 7 Estoril 10 5 5 2.1 1.4 5 3 2 21 14 18 UOOUOO
13 10 Alverca 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 4 10 15 17 UUOUOU
14 18 AVS 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 0 3 7 7 19 3 OUOOUU
15 15 Santa Clara 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 2 6 9 12 11 OUUUUO
16 17 Tondela 9 5 4 0.7 1.4 1 2 6 6 13 5 OUUOOU
17 4 Gil Vicente 10 7 3 1.7 0.7 6 2 2 17 7 20 UUOUOO
18 16 Casa Pia 9 6 3 1.1 2.0 0 5 4 10 18 5 OOUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 10 2 8 2.0 1.9 3 2 5 20 19 11 OUOOOO
2 13 Rio Ave 10 3 7 1.2 2.0 2 5 3 12 20 11 OUOOOO
3 14 Arouca 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 3 2 5 12 23 11 OOUOUO
4 16 Casa Pia 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 3 1 6 10 20 10 OOUOOO
5 17 Tondela 10 3 7 0.6 2.0 2 1 7 6 20 7 OOUOUO
6 18 AVS 9 2 7 0.8 3.1 0 2 7 7 28 2 OUOOUO
7 2 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.2 0.7 8 2 0 22 7 26 OOUOUO
8 3 Benfica 9 3 6 2.1 0.4 7 2 0 19 4 23 UOOOOU
9 5 Sp Braga 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 4 4 2 18 11 16 OOOUOU
10 10 Alverca 9 3 6 1.1 2.1 2 1 6 10 19 7 OUUUOO
11 1 Porto 10 5 5 2.1 0.2 10 0 0 21 2 30 OUUOUU
12 6 Moreirense 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11 OOUUOU
13 12 Estrela 10 5 5 1.1 2.0 2 4 4 11 20 10 OOOOOU
14 4 Gil Vicente 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14 OUUUOO
15 11 Nacional 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 4 4 10 11 10 UUUOOO
16 15 Santa Clara 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 1 3 5 7 13 6 OUUUOU
17 8 Famalicao 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 4 3 3 8 11 15 UOUUUO
18 9 Guimaraes 9 7 2 0.7 1.4 3 1 5 6 13 10 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47