Estoril 2–2 Tondela – Portugal Primeira Liga, 7 Feb 2026

Match facts

Estoril Tondela

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 4

8 Fouls 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (182 league matches this season so far).

Result Estoril to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.75

Expected goals 2.06 – 1.07

Home / Draw / Away

60% 21% 19%

EstorilDrawTondela

Under / Over 2.5 goals

40% 61%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

14% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.6% 2–0 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches

1.45points / match

2.05scored / match

1.65conceded / match

8 5 7

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 41:33

Tondela before this match, all matches

0.65points / match

0.60scored / match

1.65conceded / match

3 4 13

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 12:33

Estoril all matches all matches Tondela

Per match

2.05 Goals scored 0.60

1.65 Goals conceded 1.65

3.70 Total goals 2.25

12.45 Shots 10.60

4.55 Shots on target 3.30

12.05 Shots faced 13.50

4.50 Corners 3.60

4.55 Corners against 5.95

12.90 Fouls 14.95

2.75 Yellow cards 2.80

0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.20

0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 15%

25% Draws 20%

35% Losses 65%

100% Over 0.5 goals 90%

80% Over 1.5 goals 60%

65% Over 2.5 goals 55%

65% Over 3.5 goals 20%

35% Over 4.5 goals 0%

20% Over 5.5 goals 0%

60% Both teams scored 30%

15% Clean sheets 15%

25% Failed to score 65%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 10%

20% Draws 55%

40% Losses 35%

95% Over 0.5 goals 50%

55% Over 1.5 goals 25%

20% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches

4

3

W

1

L

3

D

4

L

1

W

4

1

W

1

3

L

5

W

4

2

W

4

2

W

Tondela all matches

1

L

1

W

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

L

3

L

D

Estoril before this match, at home

1.80points / match

2.10scored / match

1.40conceded / match

5 3 2

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 21:14

Tondela before this match, away

0.70points / match

0.60scored / match

2.00conceded / match

2 1 7

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 6:20

Estoril at home away Tondela

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 0.60

1.40 Goals conceded 2.00

3.50 Total goals 2.60

12.40 Shots 10.10

4.70 Shots on target 3.20

11.00 Shots faced 11.90

4.60 Corners 4.40

5.10 Corners against 5.90

12.40 Fouls 16.30

3.20 Yellow cards 3.00

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.20

0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%

30% Draws 10%

20% Losses 70%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

70% Over 1.5 goals 70%

50% Over 2.5 goals 70%

50% Over 3.5 goals 20%

40% Over 4.5 goals 0%

30% Over 5.5 goals 0%

70% Both teams scored 30%

10% Clean sheets 10%

20% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 10%

30% Draws 40%

30% Losses 50%

90% Over 0.5 goals 70%

50% Over 1.5 goals 40%

20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home

1

D

1

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

D

4

3

W

3

D

1

W

4

1

W

4

2

W

Tondela away

3

L

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

3

L

2

D

1

W

1

3

L

1

L

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26	Santa Clara – Estoril	2–4 (0–2)	2.20	3.00	3.40	2.25	1.62
24.01.26	Estoril – Guimaraes	4–2 (1–2)	2.35	3.30	2.85	2.05	1.80
19.01.26	Estrela – Estoril	0–5 (0–1)	2.70	3.30	2.45	1.93	1.93
03.01.26	Benfica – Estoril	3–1 (2–1)	1.19	5.75	13.00	1.50	2.50
27.12.25	Estoril – Alverca	4–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.25	3.25	2.08	1.73
19.12.25	Estoril – Sp Braga	1–0 (1–0)	5.25	4.00	1.53	1.83	2.03
14.12.25	Famalicao – Estoril	4–0 (2–0)	1.76	3.60	4.33	1.88	1.98
07.12.25	Estoril – Moreirense	3–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.70
30.11.25	Porto – Estoril	1–0 (1–0)	1.22	5.50	12.00	1.57	2.35
07.11.25	Estoril – Arouca	4–3 (2–2)	1.91	3.60	3.70	1.95	1.90

Tondela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.02.26	Tondela – Benfica	0–0 (0–0)	13.00	5.75	1.19	1.73	2.08
25.01.26	Famalicao – Tondela	3–0 (1–0)	1.56	3.80	5.75	2.05	1.75
18.01.26	Tondela – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–0)	5.75	3.75	1.56	2.10	1.70
11.01.26	Moreirense – Tondela	1–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.20	3.90	2.10	1.70
03.01.26	Tondela – Arouca	3–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
21.12.25	Tondela – Casa Pia	1–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.25	3.40	2.25	1.62
15.12.25	Nacional – Tondela	3–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.05	3.05	2.10	1.70
07.12.25	Tondela – Porto	0–2 (0–0)	11.00	5.75	1.22	1.73	2.08
29.11.25	Gil Vicente – Tondela	0–1 (0–1)	1.61	3.50	5.75	2.15	1.67
08.11.25	Tondela – Guimaraes	0–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.05	2.55	2.25	1.62

Estoril at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26	Estoril – Guimaraes	4–2 (1–2)	2.35	3.30	2.85	2.05	1.80
27.12.25	Estoril – Alverca	4–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.25	3.25	2.08	1.73
19.12.25	Estoril – Sp Braga	1–0 (1–0)	5.25	4.00	1.53	1.83	2.03
07.12.25	Estoril – Moreirense	3–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.70
07.11.25	Estoril – Arouca	4–3 (2–2)	1.91	3.60	3.70	1.95	1.90
26.10.25	Estoril – Nacional	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.25	3.30	2.05	1.75
27.09.25	Estoril – Sp Lisbon	0–1 (0–1)	9.50	5.50	1.25	1.53	2.40
13.09.25	Estoril – AVS	3–1 (2–0)	1.81	3.70	4.00	2.15	1.67
06.09.25	Estoril – Santa Clara	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.00	2.70	2.40	1.53
11.08.25	Estoril – Estrela	1–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.05	1.75

Tondela away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.01.26	Famalicao – Tondela	3–0 (1–0)	1.56	3.80	5.75	2.05	1.75
11.01.26	Moreirense – Tondela	1–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.20	3.90	2.10	1.70
15.12.25	Nacional – Tondela	3–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.05	3.05	2.10	1.70
29.11.25	Gil Vicente – Tondela	0–1 (0–1)	1.61	3.50	5.75	2.15	1.67
02.11.25	AVS – Tondela	2–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.05	2.30	2.15	1.67
05.10.25	Rio Ave – Tondela	3–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.98	1.88
27.09.25	Santa Clara – Tondela	1–2 (0–0)	1.66	3.40	5.50	2.40	1.53
12.09.25	Alverca – Tondela	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.30	1.60
23.08.25	Benfica – Tondela	3–0 (2–0)	1.17	7.00	17.00	1.53	2.40
10.08.25	Sp Braga – Tondela	3–0 (2–0)	1.40	4.50	8.00	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Estoril winsDrawsTondela wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.08.25P1	Tondela – Estoril	2–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.10	2.45	2.25	1.62
12.02.22P1	Estoril – Tondela	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.75	1.88	1.98
13.09.21P1	Tondela – Estoril	1–2 (0–2)	2.87	3.20	2.30	2.07	1.72

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	20	18	1	1	41	6	+35	55
2	Sp Lisbon	20	16	3	1	54	11	+43	51
3	Benfica	20	13	7	0	42	11	+31	46
4	Gil Vicente	21	10	7	4	31	17	+14	37
5	Sp Braga	20	10	6	4	41	18	+23	36
6	Moreirense	21	9	3	9	27	29	-2	30
7	Estoril	20	8	5	7	41	33	+8	29
8	Famalicao	20	8	5	7	24	19	+5	29
9	Guimaraes	20	8	4	8	21	27	-6	28
10	Alverca	20	7	3	10	20	34	-14	24
11	Estrela	21	5	8	8	25	37	-12	23
12	Nacional	20	5	5	10	27	30	-3	20
13	Rio Ave	20	4	8	8	22	38	-16	20
14	Arouca	20	5	5	10	23	44	-21	20
15	Casa Pia	20	4	6	10	22	39	-17	18
16	Santa Clara	21	4	5	12	16	26	-10	17
17	Tondela	20	3	4	13	12	33	-21	13
18	AVS	20	0	5	15	14	51	-37	5

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	10	8	1	1	32	4	+28	25
2	Porto	9	8	1	0	19	2	+17	25
3	Benfica	10	6	4	0	23	7	+16	22
4	Gil Vicente	10	6	2	2	17	7	+10	20
5	Moreirense	10	6	1	3	15	13	+2	19
6	Estoril	10	5	3	2	21	14	+7	18
7	Guimaraes	11	5	3	3	15	14	+1	18
8	Sp Braga	9	5	2	2	19	7	+12	17
9	Alverca	11	5	2	4	10	15	-5	17
10	Famalicao	10	4	2	4	16	8	+8	14
11	Estrela	11	3	4	4	14	17	-3	13
12	Santa Clara	11	3	2	6	9	12	-3	11
13	Nacional	9	3	1	5	16	17	-1	10
14	Rio Ave	10	2	3	5	10	18	-8	9
15	Arouca	10	2	3	5	11	21	-10	9
16	Casa Pia	10	1	5	4	12	19	-7	8
17	Tondela	10	1	3	6	6	13	-7	6
18	AVS	11	0	3	8	7	23	-16	3

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	11	10	0	1	22	4	+18	30
2	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	22	7	+15	26
3	Benfica	10	7	3	0	19	4	+15	24
4	Sp Braga	11	5	4	2	22	11	+11	19
5	Gil Vicente	11	4	5	2	14	10	+4	17
6	Famalicao	10	4	3	3	8	11	-3	15
7	Estoril	10	3	2	5	20	19	+1	11
8	Moreirense	11	3	2	6	12	16	-4	11
9	Rio Ave	10	2	5	3	12	20	-8	11
10	Arouca	10	3	2	5	12	23	-11	11
11	Nacional	11	2	4	5	11	13	-2	10
12	Guimaraes	9	3	1	5	6	13	-7	10
13	Estrela	10	2	4	4	11	20	-9	10
14	Casa Pia	10	3	1	6	10	20	-10	10
15	Alverca	9	2	1	6	10	19	-9	7
16	Tondela	10	2	1	7	6	20	-14	7
17	Santa Clara	10	1	3	6	7	14	-7	6
18	AVS	9	0	2	7	7	28	-21	2

Estoril Tondela

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Sp Lisbon	20	6	14	2.7	0.6	16	3	1	54	11	51
2	5	Sp Braga	20	7	13	2.0	0.9	10	6	4	41	18	36
3	7	Estoril	20	7	13	2.0	1.6	8	5	7	41	33	29
4	13	Rio Ave	20	7	13	1.1	1.9	4	8	8	22	38	20
5	14	Arouca	20	7	13	1.1	2.2	5	5	10	23	44	20
6	18	AVS	20	7	13	0.7	2.5	0	5	15	14	51	5
7	3	Benfica	20	8	12	2.1	0.6	13	7	0	42	11	46
8	6	Moreirense	21	9	12	1.3	1.4	9	3	9	27	29	30
9	1	Porto	20	9	11	2.0	0.3	18	1	1	41	6	55
10	10	Alverca	20	9	11	1.0	1.7	7	3	10	20	34	24
11	11	Estrela	21	10	11	1.2	1.8	5	8	8	25	37	23
12	12	Nacional	20	9	11	1.4	1.5	5	5	10	27	30	20
13	15	Casa Pia	20	9	11	1.1	1.9	4	6	10	22	39	18
14	17	Tondela	20	9	11	0.6	1.6	3	4	13	12	33	13
15	4	Gil Vicente	21	13	8	1.5	0.8	10	7	4	31	17	37
16	8	Famalicao	20	12	8	1.2	0.9	8	5	7	24	19	29
17	9	Guimaraes	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	8	4	8	21	27	28
18	16	Santa Clara	21	14	7	0.8	1.2	4	5	12	16	26	17

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Sp Lisbon	10	2	8	3.2	0.4	8	1	1	32	4	25
2	6	Moreirense	10	3	7	1.5	1.3	6	1	3	15	13	19
3	12	Nacional	9	2	7	1.8	1.9	3	1	5	16	17	10
4	3	Benfica	10	4	6	2.3	0.7	6	4	0	23	7	22
5	5	Sp Braga	9	3	6	2.1	0.8	5	2	2	19	7	17
6	8	Famalicao	10	4	6	1.6	0.8	4	2	4	16	8	14
7	9	Guimaraes	11	5	6	1.4	1.3	5	3	3	15	14	18
8	11	Estrela	11	5	6	1.3	1.5	3	4	4	14	17	13
9	13	Rio Ave	10	4	6	1.0	1.8	2	3	5	10	18	9
10	14	Arouca	10	4	6	1.1	2.1	2	3	5	11	21	9
11	18	AVS	11	5	6	0.6	2.1	0	3	8	7	23	3
12	1	Porto	9	4	5	2.1	0.2	8	1	0	19	2	25
13	7	Estoril	10	5	5	2.1	1.4	5	3	2	21	14	18
14	10	Alverca	11	6	5	0.9	1.4	5	2	4	10	15	17
15	15	Casa Pia	10	6	4	1.2	1.9	1	5	4	12	19	8
16	16	Santa Clara	11	7	4	0.8	1.1	3	2	6	9	12	11
17	17	Tondela	10	6	4	0.6	1.3	1	3	6	6	13	6
18	4	Gil Vicente	10	7	3	1.7	0.7	6	2	2	17	7	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Estoril	10	2	8	2.0	1.9	3	2	5	20	19	11
2	5	Sp Braga	11	4	7	2.0	1.0	5	4	2	22	11	19
3	13	Rio Ave	10	3	7	1.2	2.0	2	5	3	12	20	11
4	14	Arouca	10	3	7	1.2	2.3	3	2	5	12	23	11
5	15	Casa Pia	10	3	7	1.0	2.0	3	1	6	10	20	10
6	17	Tondela	10	3	7	0.6	2.0	2	1	7	6	20	7
7	18	AVS	9	2	7	0.8	3.1	0	2	7	7	28	2
8	1	Porto	11	5	6	2.0	0.4	10	0	1	22	4	30
9	2	Sp Lisbon	10	4	6	2.2	0.7	8	2	0	22	7	26
10	3	Benfica	10	4	6	1.9	0.4	7	3	0	19	4	24
11	10	Alverca	9	3	6	1.1	2.1	2	1	6	10	19	7
12	4	Gil Vicente	11	6	5	1.3	0.9	4	5	2	14	10	17
13	6	Moreirense	11	6	5	1.1	1.5	3	2	6	12	16	11
14	11	Estrela	10	5	5	1.1	2.0	2	4	4	11	20	10
15	12	Nacional	11	7	4	1.0	1.2	2	4	5	11	13	10
16	16	Santa Clara	10	7	3	0.7	1.4	1	3	6	7	14	6
17	8	Famalicao	10	8	2	0.8	1.1	4	3	3	8	11	15
18	9	Guimaraes	9	7	2	0.7	1.4	3	1	5	6	13	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.