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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Tondela 1–1 Alverca

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.35 fair 2.58
Draw ✓ 3.10 fair 3.78
Away 3.10 fair 2.87
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.92
Over 2.5 2.35 fair 2.09

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Tondela Alverca
18 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
11 Corners 5
14 Fouls 10
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (190 league matches this season so far).
Result Tondela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
TondelaDrawAlverca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Tondela before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 14:35
Alverca before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.00scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 21:36
Tondela all matches all matches Alverca

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 1.71
2.33 Total goals 2.71
10.38 Shots 9.05
3.38 Shots on target 3.48
13.57 Shots faced 13.67
3.62 Corners 3.33
5.90 Corners against 4.57
14.62 Fouls 13.38
2.67 Yellow cards 2.43
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

14% Wins 33%
24% Draws 14%
62% Losses 52%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
62% Over 1.5 goals 81%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
24% Over 3.5 goals 24%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 48%
14% Clean sheets 24%
62% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 14%
57% Draws 52%
33% Losses 33%
52% Over 0.5 goals 67%
29% Over 1.5 goals 48%
10% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tondela all matches
Alverca all matches
Tondela before this match, at home
0.60points / match
0.60scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 6:13
Alverca before this match, away
0.70points / match
1.10scored / match
2.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:21
Tondela at home away Alverca

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 1.10
1.30 Goals conceded 2.10
1.90 Total goals 3.20
11.10 Shots 7.20
3.40 Shots on target 2.80
15.10 Shots faced 15.30
2.80 Corners 2.60
6.00 Corners against 6.20
13.60 Fouls 13.40
2.60 Yellow cards 2.80
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 1.10

How often Full Time

10% Wins 20%
30% Draws 10%
60% Losses 70%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 90%
40% Over 2.5 goals 70%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
30% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 10%
70% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 10%
70% Draws 70%
20% Losses 20%
30% Over 0.5 goals 70%
10% Over 1.5 goals 70%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tondela at home
Alverca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Tondela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Estoril – Tondela 2–2 (2–2) 1.663.904.75 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Tondela – Benfica 0–0 (0–0) 13.005.751.19 1.73 2.08
25.01.26 Famalicao – Tondela 3–0 (1–0) 1.563.805.75 2.05 1.75
18.01.26 Tondela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.751.56 2.10 1.70
11.01.26 Moreirense – Tondela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.90 2.10 1.70
03.01.26 Tondela – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.053.303.50 2.05 1.75
21.12.25 Tondela – Casa Pia 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
29.11.25 Gil Vicente – Tondela 0–1 (0–1) 1.613.505.75 2.15 1.67

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Benfica – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.156.2517.00 1.65 2.20
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
25.01.26 Sp Braga – Alverca 5–0 (4–0) 1.374.508.00 1.85 1.95
17.01.26 Alverca – Moreirense 2–1 (0–0) 2.702.822.75 2.60 1.48
04.01.26 Alverca – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.70
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57

Tondela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Tondela – Benfica 0–0 (0–0) 13.005.751.19 1.73 2.08
18.01.26 Tondela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.751.56 2.10 1.70
03.01.26 Tondela – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.053.303.50 2.05 1.75
21.12.25 Tondela – Casa Pia 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
08.11.25 Tondela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.55 2.25 1.62
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
31.08.25 Tondela – Estoril 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.45 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Tondela – Famalicao 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.202.45 2.20 1.65

Alverca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Benfica – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.156.2517.00 1.65 2.20
25.01.26 Sp Braga – Alverca 5–0 (4–0) 1.374.508.00 1.85 1.95
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
04.10.25 AVS – Alverca 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.202.50 2.35 1.57
20.09.25 Santa Clara – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.106.25 2.50 1.50
25.08.25 Estrela – Alverca 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.404.10 2.25 1.62
10.08.25 Moreirense – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.203.60 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Tondela winsDrawsAlverca wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.25P1 Alverca – Tondela 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.30 1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 21 18 2 1 42 7 +35 56
2 Sp Lisbon 21 16 4 1 55 12 +43 52
3 Benfica 22 15 7 0 46 13 +33 52
4 Sp Braga 21 11 6 4 44 18 +26 39
5 Gil Vicente 21 10 7 4 31 17 +14 37
6 Famalicao 21 9 5 7 27 20 +7 32
7 Estoril 21 8 6 7 43 35 +8 30
8 Moreirense 21 9 3 9 27 29 -2 30
9 Guimaraes 21 8 4 9 23 30 -7 28
10 Alverca 21 7 3 11 21 36 -15 24
11 Estrela 21 5 8 8 25 37 -12 23
12 Arouca 21 6 5 10 26 46 -20 23
13 Nacional 21 5 6 10 27 30 -3 21
14 Rio Ave 21 4 8 9 22 41 -19 20
15 Casa Pia 21 4 7 10 22 39 -17 19
16 Santa Clara 22 4 5 13 17 28 -11 17
17 Tondela 21 3 5 13 14 35 -21 14
18 AVS 21 0 5 16 15 54 -39 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 10 8 2 0 20 3 +17 26
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 1 1 32 4 +28 25
3 Benfica 11 7 4 0 25 8 +17 25
4 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 22 7 +15 20
5 Gil Vicente 10 6 2 2 17 7 +10 20
6 Estoril 11 5 4 2 23 16 +7 19
7 Moreirense 10 6 1 3 15 13 +2 19
8 Guimaraes 11 5 3 3 15 14 +1 18
9 Famalicao 11 5 2 4 19 9 +10 17
10 Alverca 11 5 2 4 10 15 -5 17
11 Estrela 11 3 4 4 14 17 -3 13
12 Arouca 11 3 3 5 14 23 -9 12
13 Nacional 10 3 2 5 16 17 -1 11
14 Santa Clara 12 3 2 7 10 14 -4 11
15 Rio Ave 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9
16 Casa Pia 10 1 5 4 12 19 -7 8
17 Tondela 10 1 3 6 6 13 -7 6
18 AVS 11 0 3 8 7 23 -16 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 11 10 0 1 22 4 +18 30
2 Benfica 11 8 3 0 21 5 +16 27
3 Sp Lisbon 11 8 3 0 23 8 +15 27
4 Sp Braga 11 5 4 2 22 11 +11 19
5 Gil Vicente 11 4 5 2 14 10 +4 17
6 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 8 11 -3 15
7 Estoril 10 3 2 5 20 19 +1 11
8 Moreirense 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
9 Casa Pia 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11
10 Arouca 10 3 2 5 12 23 -11 11
11 Rio Ave 11 2 5 4 12 23 -11 11
12 Nacional 11 2 4 5 11 13 -2 10
13 Guimaraes 10 3 1 6 8 16 -8 10
14 Estrela 10 2 4 4 11 20 -9 10
15 Tondela 11 2 2 7 8 22 -14 8
16 Alverca 10 2 1 7 11 21 -10 7
17 Santa Clara 10 1 3 6 7 14 -7 6
18 AVS 10 0 2 8 8 31 -23 2

Tondela   Alverca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Sp Lisbon 21 7 14 2.6 0.6 16 4 1 55 12 52
2 3 Benfica 22 8 14 2.1 0.6 15 7 0 46 13 52
3 4 Sp Braga 21 7 14 2.1 0.9 11 6 4 44 18 39
4 7 Estoril 21 7 14 2.0 1.7 8 6 7 43 35 30
5 12 Arouca 21 7 14 1.2 2.2 6 5 10 26 46 23
6 14 Rio Ave 21 7 14 1.0 2.0 4 8 9 22 41 20
7 18 AVS 21 7 14 0.7 2.6 0 5 16 15 54 5
8 8 Moreirense 21 9 12 1.3 1.4 9 3 9 27 29 30
9 10 Alverca 21 9 12 1.0 1.7 7 3 11 21 36 24
10 17 Tondela 21 9 12 0.7 1.7 3 5 13 14 35 14
11 1 Porto 21 10 11 2.0 0.3 18 2 1 42 7 56
12 11 Estrela 21 10 11 1.2 1.8 5 8 8 25 37 23
13 13 Nacional 21 10 11 1.3 1.4 5 6 10 27 30 21
14 15 Casa Pia 21 10 11 1.0 1.9 4 7 10 22 39 19
15 6 Famalicao 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 9 5 7 27 20 32
16 9 Guimaraes 21 12 9 1.1 1.4 8 4 9 23 30 28
17 5 Gil Vicente 21 13 8 1.5 0.8 10 7 4 31 17 37
18 16 Santa Clara 22 14 8 0.8 1.3 4 5 13 17 28 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Sp Lisbon 10 2 8 3.2 0.4 8 1 1 32 4 25
2 3 Benfica 11 4 7 2.3 0.7 7 4 0 25 8 25
3 4 Sp Braga 10 3 7 2.2 0.7 6 2 2 22 7 20
4 6 Famalicao 11 4 7 1.7 0.8 5 2 4 19 9 17
5 8 Moreirense 10 3 7 1.5 1.3 6 1 3 15 13 19
6 12 Arouca 11 4 7 1.3 2.1 3 3 5 14 23 12
7 13 Nacional 10 3 7 1.6 1.7 3 2 5 16 17 11
8 7 Estoril 11 5 6 2.1 1.5 5 4 2 23 16 19
9 9 Guimaraes 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 3 3 15 14 18
10 11 Estrela 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 17 13
11 14 Rio Ave 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9
12 18 AVS 11 5 6 0.6 2.1 0 3 8 7 23 3
13 1 Porto 10 5 5 2.0 0.3 8 2 0 20 3 26
14 10 Alverca 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 4 10 15 17
15 16 Santa Clara 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 14 11
16 15 Casa Pia 10 6 4 1.2 1.9 1 5 4 12 19 8
17 17 Tondela 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 1 3 6 6 13 6
18 5 Gil Vicente 10 7 3 1.7 0.7 6 2 2 17 7 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Estoril 10 2 8 2.0 1.9 3 2 5 20 19 11
2 14 Rio Ave 11 3 8 1.1 2.1 2 5 4 12 23 11
3 17 Tondela 11 3 8 0.7 2.0 2 2 7 8 22 8
4 18 AVS 10 2 8 0.8 3.1 0 2 8 8 31 2
5 3 Benfica 11 4 7 1.9 0.5 8 3 0 21 5 27
6 4 Sp Braga 11 4 7 2.0 1.0 5 4 2 22 11 19
7 10 Alverca 10 3 7 1.1 2.1 2 1 7 11 21 7
8 12 Arouca 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 3 2 5 12 23 11
9 15 Casa Pia 11 4 7 0.9 1.8 3 2 6 10 20 11
10 1 Porto 11 5 6 2.0 0.4 10 0 1 22 4 30
11 2 Sp Lisbon 11 5 6 2.1 0.7 8 3 0 23 8 27
12 5 Gil Vicente 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 4 5 2 14 10 17
13 8 Moreirense 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11
14 11 Estrela 10 5 5 1.1 2.0 2 4 4 11 20 10
15 13 Nacional 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 2 4 5 11 13 10
16 9 Guimaraes 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 3 1 6 8 16 10
17 16 Santa Clara 10 7 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 6 7 14 6
18 6 Famalicao 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 4 3 3 8 11 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40