Arouca 3–2 Estoril – Portugal Primeira Liga, 6 Apr 2026

Match facts

Arouca Estoril

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 3

13 Fouls 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (248 league matches this season so far).

Result Estoril to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.46

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.85

Home / Draw / Away

36% 22% 42%

AroucaDrawEstoril

Under / Over 2.5 goals

32% 68%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

32% 69%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

10% 1

18% 2

22% 3

19% 4

28% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9.1% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Arouca before this match, all matches

1.07points / match

1.26scored / match

2.04conceded / match

8 5 14

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 34:55

Estoril before this match, all matches

1.37points / match

1.78scored / match

1.63conceded / match

10 7 10

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 48:44

Arouca all matches all matches Estoril

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 1.78

2.04 Goals conceded 1.63

3.30 Total goals 3.41

10.33 Shots 12.11

3.52 Shots on target 4.30

13.78 Shots faced 12.07

3.67 Corners 4.63

5.30 Corners against 4.78

13.85 Fouls 12.74

2.78 Yellow cards 2.52

0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.89

1.04 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

30% Wins 37%

19% Draws 26%

52% Losses 37%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

81% Over 1.5 goals 78%

67% Over 2.5 goals 67%

48% Over 3.5 goals 56%

22% Over 4.5 goals 26%

11% Over 5.5 goals 15%

52% Both teams scored 56%

22% Clean sheets 19%

30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 37%

33% Draws 30%

44% Losses 33%

74% Over 0.5 goals 89%

41% Over 1.5 goals 52%

30% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arouca all matches

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

3

2

W

2

3

L

3

W

1

3

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

W

Estoril all matches

5

W

4

2

W

4

2

W

2

D

3

L

3

1

W

3

L

D

1

W

1

2

L

Arouca before this match, at home

1.15points / match

1.38scored / match

1.92conceded / match

4 3 6

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:25

Estoril before this match, away

1.08points / match

1.62scored / match

1.92conceded / match

4 2 7

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:25

Arouca at home away Estoril

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.62

1.92 Goals conceded 1.92

3.31 Total goals 3.54

10.38 Shots 12.00

4.23 Shots on target 3.92

13.92 Shots faced 13.54

4.00 Corners 4.46

6.31 Corners against 4.46

14.54 Fouls 13.31

3.38 Yellow cards 2.38

0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.77

0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

31% Wins 31%

23% Draws 15%

46% Losses 54%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

92% Over 1.5 goals 85%

69% Over 2.5 goals 77%

46% Over 3.5 goals 62%

15% Over 4.5 goals 23%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

54% Both teams scored 38%

15% Clean sheets 23%

31% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 38%

23% Draws 15%

46% Losses 46%

77% Over 0.5 goals 92%

31% Over 1.5 goals 54%

23% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arouca at home

4

L

1

D

2

L

4

L

1

W

2

D

1

2

L

3

2

W

3

W

1

2

L

Estoril away

2

D

4

W

1

L

4

L

1

3

L

5

W

4

2

W

3

L

3

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Arouca all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.03.26	Moreirense – Arouca	0–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.70
14.03.26	Arouca – Benfica	1–2 (1–0)	10.00	5.75	1.24	1.60	2.30
06.03.26	Famalicao – Arouca	1–0 (0–0)	1.71	3.50	4.75	1.95	1.90
27.02.26	Porto – Arouca	3–1 (1–0)	1.19	6.25	11.00	1.75	2.05
21.02.26	Arouca – Nacional	3–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.95	1.90
14.02.26	Casa Pia – Arouca	3–2 (3–2)	2.65	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.65
07.02.26	Arouca – Guimaraes	3–2 (1–2)	2.75	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.70
31.01.26	Rio Ave – Arouca	0–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.80
24.01.26	Arouca – Sp Lisbon	1–2 (0–1)	12.00	5.50	1.22	1.57	2.35
17.01.26	AVS – Arouca	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.45	2.25	1.62

Estoril all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.26	Estoril – Rio Ave	1–2 (1–0)	1.71	3.75	4.33	1.67	2.15
15.03.26	Nacional – Estoril	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.70	1.67	2.15
07.03.26	Estoril – Casa Pia	0–0 (0–0)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.73	2.08
27.02.26	Sp Lisbon – Estoril	3–0 (2–0)	1.15	7.50	12.00	1.30	3.50
22.02.26	Estoril – Gil Vicente	3–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.25	2.50	1.95	1.85
15.02.26	AVS – Estoril	3–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.75	1.71	1.70	2.10
07.02.26	Estoril – Tondela	2–2 (2–2)	1.66	3.90	4.75	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	Santa Clara – Estoril	2–4 (0–2)	2.20	3.00	3.40	2.25	1.62
24.01.26	Estoril – Guimaraes	4–2 (1–2)	2.35	3.30	2.85	2.05	1.80
19.01.26	Estrela – Estoril	0–5 (0–1)	2.70	3.30	2.45	1.93	1.93

Arouca at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.26	Arouca – Benfica	1–2 (1–0)	10.00	5.75	1.24	1.60	2.30
21.02.26	Arouca – Nacional	3–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.95	1.90
07.02.26	Arouca – Guimaraes	3–2 (1–2)	2.75	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.70
24.01.26	Arouca – Sp Lisbon	1–2 (0–1)	12.00	5.50	1.22	1.57	2.35
28.12.25	Arouca – Gil Vicente	2–2 (2–1)	3.90	3.20	1.96	2.20	1.65
14.12.25	Arouca – Alverca	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.65
01.12.25	Arouca – Sp Braga	0–4 (0–3)	6.50	3.90	1.49	1.80	2.00
02.11.25	Arouca – Moreirense	0–2 (0–2)	2.57	3.20	2.65	2.10	1.70
05.10.25	Arouca – Famalicao	1–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.25	2.01	2.10	1.70
29.09.25	Arouca – Porto	0–4 (0–1)	7.50	4.75	1.35	1.75	2.05

Estoril away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.26	Nacional – Estoril	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.70	1.67	2.15
27.02.26	Sp Lisbon – Estoril	3–0 (2–0)	1.15	7.50	12.00	1.30	3.50
15.02.26	AVS – Estoril	3–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.75	1.71	1.70	2.10
31.01.26	Santa Clara – Estoril	2–4 (0–2)	2.20	3.00	3.40	2.25	1.62
19.01.26	Estrela – Estoril	0–5 (0–1)	2.70	3.30	2.45	1.93	1.93
03.01.26	Benfica – Estoril	3–1 (2–1)	1.19	5.75	13.00	1.50	2.50
14.12.25	Famalicao – Estoril	4–0 (2–0)	1.76	3.60	4.33	1.88	1.98
30.11.25	Porto – Estoril	1–0 (1–0)	1.22	5.50	12.00	1.57	2.35
01.11.25	Rio Ave – Estoril	0–4 (0–2)	2.35	3.20	2.95	2.00	1.85
03.10.25	Casa Pia – Estoril	2–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.30	2.65	2.05	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 1 4

Arouca winsDrawsEstoril wins

9matches

3.67goals / match

56%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.11.25P1	Estoril – Arouca	4–3 (2–2)	1.91	3.60	3.70	1.95	1.90
16.03.25P1	Arouca – Estoril	1–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	2.05	1.75
26.10.24P1	Estoril – Arouca	4–1 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.40	2.25	1.62
20.01.24P1	Estoril – Arouca	1–2 (1–2)	2.40	3.40	2.88	1.98	1.88
13.08.23P1	Arouca – Estoril	4–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.20	3.40	2.30	1.60
15.05.23P1	Estoril – Arouca	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.65
07.01.23P1	Arouca – Estoril	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.08	1.73
27.01.22P1	Estoril – Arouca	1–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.25	1.61
07.08.21P1	Arouca – Estoril	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.10	3.40	2.30	1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	28	23	4	1	56	13	+43	73
2	Sp Lisbon	27	21	5	1	72	17	+55	68
3	Benfica	27	19	8	0	58	17	+41	65
4	Sp Braga	27	14	7	6	54	27	+27	49
5	Famalicao	28	13	7	8	35	24	+11	46
6	Gil Vicente	28	12	9	7	42	28	+14	45
7	Estoril	27	10	7	10	48	44	+4	37
8	Guimaraes	28	10	5	13	34	42	-8	35
9	Moreirense	28	10	5	13	31	40	-9	35
10	Alverca	28	8	8	12	29	46	-17	32
11	Rio Ave	28	7	9	12	29	48	-19	30
12	Arouca	27	8	5	14	34	55	-21	29
13	Santa Clara	28	7	7	14	26	35	-9	28
14	Estrela	28	6	10	12	33	47	-14	28
15	Nacional	28	6	7	15	31	39	-8	25
16	Casa Pia	26	5	9	12	26	48	-22	24
17	Tondela	27	4	8	15	19	44	-25	20
18	AVS	28	1	8	19	18	61	-43	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	14	11	3	0	29	6	+23	36
2	Sp Lisbon	13	11	1	1	40	6	+34	34
3	Benfica	14	9	5	0	33	10	+23	32
4	Gil Vicente	14	8	3	3	25	12	+13	27
5	Famalicao	14	8	2	4	23	9	+14	26
6	Guimaraes	15	7	4	4	24	18	+6	25
7	Sp Braga	13	7	3	3	28	13	+15	24
8	Estoril	14	6	5	3	27	19	+8	23
9	Moreirense	14	6	2	6	16	19	-3	20
10	Alverca	14	5	4	5	12	20	-8	19
11	Estrela	14	4	5	5	20	21	-1	17
12	Santa Clara	14	5	2	7	13	14	-1	17
13	Arouca	13	4	3	6	18	25	-7	15
14	Nacional	14	4	2	8	19	21	-2	14
15	Rio Ave	14	3	4	7	14	23	-9	13
16	Casa Pia	12	2	6	4	16	22	-6	12
17	Tondela	14	1	6	7	9	17	-8	9
18	AVS	14	1	4	9	10	24	-14	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	14	12	1	1	27	7	+20	37
2	Sp Lisbon	14	10	4	0	32	11	+21	34
3	Benfica	13	10	3	0	25	7	+18	33
4	Sp Braga	14	7	4	3	26	14	+12	25
5	Famalicao	14	5	5	4	12	15	-3	20
6	Gil Vicente	14	4	6	4	17	16	+1	18
7	Rio Ave	14	4	5	5	15	25	-10	17
8	Moreirense	14	4	3	7	15	21	-6	15
9	Estoril	13	4	2	7	21	25	-4	14
10	Arouca	14	4	2	8	16	30	-14	14
11	Alverca	14	3	4	7	17	26	-9	13
12	Casa Pia	14	3	3	8	10	26	-16	12
13	Nacional	14	2	5	7	12	18	-6	11
14	Santa Clara	14	2	5	7	13	21	-8	11
15	Estrela	14	2	5	7	13	26	-13	11
16	Tondela	13	3	2	8	10	27	-17	11
17	Guimaraes	13	3	1	9	10	24	-14	10
18	AVS	14	0	4	10	8	37	-29	4

Arouca Estoril

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Sp Lisbon	27	8	19	2.7	0.6	21	5	1	72	17	68
2	3	Benfica	27	8	19	2.1	0.6	19	8	0	58	17	65
3	4	Sp Braga	27	8	19	2.0	1.0	14	7	6	54	27	49
4	7	Estoril	27	9	18	1.8	1.6	10	7	10	48	44	37
5	11	Rio Ave	28	10	18	1.0	1.7	7	9	12	29	48	30
6	12	Arouca	27	9	18	1.3	2.0	8	5	14	34	55	29
7	18	AVS	28	11	17	0.6	2.2	1	8	19	18	61	11
8	1	Porto	28	12	16	2.0	0.5	23	4	1	56	13	73
9	9	Moreirense	28	13	15	1.1	1.4	10	5	13	31	40	35
10	10	Alverca	28	13	15	1.0	1.6	8	8	12	29	46	32
11	14	Estrela	28	13	15	1.2	1.7	6	10	12	33	47	28
12	6	Gil Vicente	28	14	14	1.5	1.0	12	9	7	42	28	45
13	8	Guimaraes	28	14	14	1.2	1.5	10	5	13	34	42	35
14	17	Tondela	27	13	14	0.7	1.6	4	8	15	19	44	20
15	15	Nacional	28	15	13	1.1	1.4	6	7	15	31	39	25
16	16	Casa Pia	26	13	13	1.0	1.8	5	9	12	26	48	24
17	5	Famalicao	28	17	11	1.2	0.9	13	7	8	35	24	46
18	13	Santa Clara	28	18	10	0.9	1.2	7	7	14	26	35	28

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Sp Lisbon	13	3	10	3.1	0.5	11	1	1	40	6	34
2	3	Benfica	14	4	10	2.4	0.7	9	5	0	33	10	32
3	4	Sp Braga	13	3	10	2.2	1.0	7	3	3	28	13	24
4	8	Guimaraes	15	6	9	1.6	1.2	7	4	4	24	18	25
5	11	Rio Ave	14	5	9	1.0	1.6	3	4	7	14	23	13
6	12	Arouca	13	4	9	1.4	1.9	4	3	6	18	25	15
7	1	Porto	14	6	8	2.1	0.4	11	3	0	29	6	36
8	7	Estoril	14	6	8	1.9	1.4	6	5	3	27	19	23
9	9	Moreirense	14	6	8	1.1	1.4	6	2	6	16	19	20
10	14	Estrela	14	6	8	1.4	1.5	4	5	5	20	21	17
11	15	Nacional	14	6	8	1.4	1.5	4	2	8	19	21	14
12	5	Famalicao	14	7	7	1.6	0.6	8	2	4	23	9	26
13	6	Gil Vicente	14	7	7	1.8	0.9	8	3	3	25	12	27
14	18	AVS	14	7	7	0.7	1.7	1	4	9	10	24	7
15	10	Alverca	14	8	6	0.9	1.4	5	4	5	12	20	19
16	13	Santa Clara	14	9	5	0.9	1.0	5	2	7	13	14	17
17	16	Casa Pia	12	7	5	1.3	1.8	2	6	4	16	22	12
18	17	Tondela	14	9	5	0.6	1.2	1	6	7	9	17	9

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Estoril	13	3	10	1.6	1.9	4	2	7	21	25	14
2	18	AVS	14	4	10	0.6	2.6	0	4	10	8	37	4
3	2	Sp Lisbon	14	5	9	2.3	0.8	10	4	0	32	11	34
4	3	Benfica	13	4	9	1.9	0.5	10	3	0	25	7	33
5	4	Sp Braga	14	5	9	1.9	1.0	7	4	3	26	14	25
6	10	Alverca	14	5	9	1.2	1.9	3	4	7	17	26	13
7	11	Rio Ave	14	5	9	1.1	1.8	4	5	5	15	25	17
8	12	Arouca	14	5	9	1.1	2.1	4	2	8	16	30	14
9	17	Tondela	13	4	9	0.8	2.1	3	2	8	10	27	11
10	1	Porto	14	6	8	1.9	0.5	12	1	1	27	7	37
11	16	Casa Pia	14	6	8	0.7	1.9	3	3	8	10	26	12
12	6	Gil Vicente	14	7	7	1.2	1.1	4	6	4	17	16	18
13	9	Moreirense	14	7	7	1.1	1.5	4	3	7	15	21	15
14	14	Estrela	14	7	7	0.9	1.9	2	5	7	13	26	11
15	8	Guimaraes	13	8	5	0.8	1.8	3	1	9	10	24	10
16	13	Santa Clara	14	9	5	0.9	1.5	2	5	7	13	21	11
17	15	Nacional	14	9	5	0.9	1.3	2	5	7	12	18	11
18	5	Famalicao	14	10	4	0.9	1.1	5	5	4	12	15	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.