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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 1–2 AVS

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.42 fair 1.69
Draw 4.33 fair 4.52
Away ✓ 7.00 fair 5.35
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional AVS
24 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 6
8 Fouls 14
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (279 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.89 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawAVS
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11% 1–1 10.5% 2–0 10.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.10scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 34:41
AVS before this match, all matches
0.45points / match
0.71scored / match
2.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 22:65
Nacional all matches all matches AVS

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 0.71
1.32 Goals conceded 2.10
2.42 Total goals 2.81
12.55 Shots 10.94
4.29 Shots on target 3.06
14.55 Shots faced 15.00
4.29 Corners 3.65
6.48 Corners against 5.77
15.03 Fouls 14.03
2.94 Yellow cards 2.26
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.26
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

26% Wins 3%
23% Draws 35%
52% Losses 61%
97% Over 0.5 goals 90%
71% Over 1.5 goals 81%
42% Over 2.5 goals 58%
19% Over 3.5 goals 39%
10% Over 4.5 goals 6%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
48% Both teams scored 42%
23% Clean sheets 13%
32% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 6%
45% Draws 45%
29% Losses 48%
65% Over 0.5 goals 68%
26% Over 1.5 goals 42%
3% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
AVS all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.33scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:21
AVS before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.67scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 10:39
Nacional at home away AVS

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.67
1.40 Goals conceded 2.60
2.73 Total goals 3.27
12.33 Shots 10.27
4.13 Shots on target 2.60
15.40 Shots faced 16.07
4.73 Corners 3.80
7.00 Corners against 6.20
14.47 Fouls 13.33
3.20 Yellow cards 1.80
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
13% Draws 33%
53% Losses 67%
93% Over 0.5 goals 87%
67% Over 1.5 goals 87%
53% Over 2.5 goals 73%
33% Over 3.5 goals 53%
20% Over 4.5 goals 13%
7% Over 5.5 goals 13%
47% Both teams scored 40%
27% Clean sheets 13%
33% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 7%
53% Draws 40%
27% Losses 53%
60% Over 0.5 goals 67%
20% Over 1.5 goals 53%
7% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
AVS away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Tondela – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.402.40 1.95 1.90
18.04.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.85 1.95
12.04.26 Benfica – Nacional 2–0 (2–0) 1.118.0015.00 1.36 3.10
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
21.03.26 Famalicao – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 1.85 2.00
15.03.26 Nacional – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.502.70 1.67 2.15
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
28.02.26 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.51 1.75 2.05
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05

AVS all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 AVS – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 15.009.501.10 1.30 3.50
17.04.26 Rio Ave – AVS 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.704.75 1.98 1.88
11.04.26 AVS – Guimaraes 1–1 (1–1) 5.253.801.61 1.98 1.88
03.04.26 Gil Vicente – AVS 3–0 (2–0) 1.304.5010.00 1.85 1.95
21.03.26 Tondela – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.70
15.03.26 AVS – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.301.79 2.30 1.60
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65
21.02.26 Benfica – AVS 3–0 (3–0) 1.0810.0021.00 1.33 3.40
15.02.26 AVS – Estoril 3–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.71 1.70 2.10

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.85 1.95
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
15.03.26 Nacional – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.502.70 1.67 2.15
28.02.26 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.51 1.75 2.05
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10

AVS away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.04.26 Rio Ave – AVS 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.704.75 1.98 1.88
03.04.26 Gil Vicente – AVS 3–0 (2–0) 1.304.5010.00 1.85 1.95
21.03.26 Tondela – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
21.02.26 Benfica – AVS 3–0 (3–0) 1.0810.0021.00 1.33 3.40
09.02.26 Famalicao – AVS 3–1 (0–0) 1.374.508.00 1.80 2.00
23.01.26 Casa Pia – AVS 3–3 (1–0) 2.013.104.00 2.40 1.53
29.12.25 Porto – AVS 2–0 (0–0) 1.107.0019.00 1.44 2.70
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40
28.11.25 Guimaraes – AVS 4–0 (3–0) 1.683.604.75 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsAVS wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25P1 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67
19.01.25P1 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
10.08.24P1 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 31 26 4 1 63 15 +48 82
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 67 20 +47 75
3 Sp Lisbon 31 22 7 2 77 22 +55 73
4 Sp Braga 31 16 8 7 59 31 +28 56
5 Famalicao 31 14 9 8 39 27 +12 51
6 Gil Vicente 31 13 10 8 46 32 +14 49
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 38 43 -5 42
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 34 45 -11 39
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 34 49 -15 38
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 51 52 -1 37
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 39 60 -21 35
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 33 52 -19 34
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 28 38 -10 32
14 Nacional 31 8 7 16 34 41 -7 31
15 Estrela 31 6 10 15 34 51 -17 28
16 Casa Pia 31 5 11 15 29 55 -26 26
17 Tondela 31 4 10 17 23 52 -29 22
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 22 65 -43 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 15 12 3 0 31 6 +25 39
2 Benfica 16 11 5 0 39 11 +28 38
3 Sp Lisbon 15 11 2 2 43 10 +33 35
4 Gil Vicente 16 9 3 4 27 14 +13 30
5 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 31 15 +16 28
6 Guimaraes 16 8 4 4 26 18 +8 28
7 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27
8 Alverca 16 7 4 5 17 22 -5 25
9 Estoril 16 6 5 5 28 23 +5 23
10 Moreirense 15 7 2 6 17 19 -2 23
11 Arouca 15 6 3 6 22 27 -5 21
12 Santa Clara 16 6 2 8 15 17 -2 20
13 Nacional 15 5 2 8 20 21 -1 17
14 Estrela 16 4 5 7 21 24 -3 17
15 Casa Pia 15 2 8 5 17 24 -7 14
16 Rio Ave 15 3 5 7 16 25 -9 14
17 Tondela 16 1 7 8 11 21 -10 10
18 AVS 16 1 6 9 12 26 -14 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 16 14 1 1 32 9 +23 43
2 Sp Lisbon 16 11 5 0 34 12 +22 38
3 Benfica 15 11 4 0 28 9 +19 37
4 Sp Braga 16 8 4 4 28 16 +12 28
5 Famalicao 16 6 6 4 15 17 -2 24
6 Rio Ave 16 5 5 6 17 27 -10 20
7 Gil Vicente 15 4 7 4 19 18 +1 19
8 Moreirense 16 4 4 8 17 26 -9 16
9 Estoril 15 4 2 9 23 29 -6 14
10 Nacional 16 3 5 8 14 20 -6 14
11 Guimaraes 15 4 2 9 12 25 -13 14
12 Arouca 16 4 2 10 17 33 -16 14
13 Alverca 15 3 4 8 17 27 -10 13
14 Santa Clara 15 2 6 7 13 21 -8 12
15 Casa Pia 16 3 3 10 12 31 -19 12
16 Tondela 15 3 3 9 12 31 -19 12
17 Estrela 15 2 5 8 13 27 -14 11
18 AVS 15 0 5 10 10 39 -29 5

Nacional   AVS

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 31 10 21 2.2 0.6 22 9 0 67 20 75
2 3 Sp Lisbon 31 10 21 2.5 0.7 22 7 2 77 22 73
3 4 Sp Braga 31 10 21 1.9 1.0 16 8 7 59 31 56
4 10 Estoril 31 11 20 1.6 1.7 10 7 14 51 52 37
5 11 Arouca 31 11 20 1.3 1.9 10 5 16 39 60 35
6 12 Rio Ave 31 12 19 1.1 1.7 8 10 13 33 52 34
7 1 Porto 31 13 18 2.0 0.5 26 4 1 63 15 82
8 18 AVS 31 13 18 0.7 2.1 1 11 19 22 65 14
9 9 Alverca 31 14 17 1.1 1.6 10 8 13 34 49 38
10 6 Gil Vicente 31 15 16 1.5 1.0 13 10 8 46 32 49
11 8 Moreirense 31 15 16 1.1 1.5 11 6 14 34 45 39
12 15 Estrela 31 15 16 1.1 1.6 6 10 15 34 51 28
13 17 Tondela 31 15 16 0.7 1.7 4 10 17 23 52 22
14 16 Casa Pia 31 16 15 0.9 1.8 5 11 15 29 55 26
15 7 Guimaraes 31 17 14 1.2 1.4 12 6 13 38 43 42
16 14 Nacional 31 18 13 1.1 1.3 8 7 16 34 41 31
17 5 Famalicao 31 19 12 1.3 0.9 14 9 8 39 27 51
18 13 Santa Clara 31 20 11 0.9 1.2 8 8 15 28 38 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sp Lisbon 15 3 12 2.9 0.7 11 2 2 43 10 35
2 2 Benfica 16 5 11 2.4 0.7 11 5 0 39 11 38
3 4 Sp Braga 15 4 11 2.1 1.0 8 4 3 31 15 28
4 11 Arouca 15 5 10 1.5 1.8 6 3 6 22 27 21
5 12 Rio Ave 15 5 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 16 25 14
6 7 Guimaraes 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 8 4 4 26 18 28
7 10 Estoril 16 7 9 1.8 1.4 6 5 5 28 23 23
8 15 Estrela 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 4 5 7 21 24 17
9 1 Porto 15 7 8 2.1 0.4 12 3 0 31 6 39
10 6 Gil Vicente 16 8 8 1.7 0.9 9 3 4 27 14 30
11 8 Moreirense 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 7 2 6 17 19 23
12 9 Alverca 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 7 4 5 17 22 25
13 14 Nacional 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 5 2 8 20 21 17
14 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27
15 18 AVS 16 9 7 0.8 1.6 1 6 9 12 26 9
16 13 Santa Clara 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 6 2 8 15 17 20
17 17 Tondela 16 10 6 0.7 1.3 1 7 8 11 21 10
18 16 Casa Pia 15 10 5 1.1 1.6 2 8 5 17 24 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Estoril 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 4 2 9 23 29 14
2 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 5 10 10 39 5
3 1 Porto 16 6 10 2.0 0.6 14 1 1 32 9 43
4 2 Benfica 15 5 10 1.9 0.6 11 4 0 28 9 37
5 4 Sp Braga 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 8 4 4 28 16 28
6 11 Arouca 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 4 2 10 17 33 14
7 16 Casa Pia 16 6 10 0.8 1.9 3 3 10 12 31 12
8 17 Tondela 15 5 10 0.8 2.1 3 3 9 12 31 12
9 3 Sp Lisbon 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 11 5 0 34 12 38
10 9 Alverca 15 6 9 1.1 1.8 3 4 8 17 27 13
11 12 Rio Ave 16 7 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 6 17 27 20
12 6 Gil Vicente 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 4 7 4 19 18 19
13 8 Moreirense 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 17 26 16
14 15 Estrela 15 8 7 0.9 1.8 2 5 8 13 27 11
15 5 Famalicao 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 6 6 4 15 17 24
16 7 Guimaraes 15 10 5 0.8 1.7 4 2 9 12 25 14
17 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.4 2 6 7 13 21 12
18 14 Nacional 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 8 14 20 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40