Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 1–2 Sp Braga

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 5.50 fair 3.47
Draw 4.20 fair 4.22
Away ✓ 1.51 fair 2.11
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.36
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Sp Braga
14 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 6
15 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (210 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Braga to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.71
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawSp Braga
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 1–2 9.4% 0–1 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
1.17scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 27:34
Sp Braga before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
2.09scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 48:22
Nacional all matches all matches Sp Braga

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 2.09
1.48 Goals conceded 0.96
2.65 Total goals 3.04
12.13 Shots 12.78
3.96 Shots on target 5.35
14.52 Shots faced 8.83
4.13 Corners 5.43
6.22 Corners against 2.70
14.87 Fouls 11.43
2.91 Yellow cards 1.91
0.48 1st-half goals scored 1.26
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

22% Wins 52%
26% Draws 26%
52% Losses 22%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
74% Over 1.5 goals 78%
52% Over 2.5 goals 70%
26% Over 3.5 goals 39%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
57% Both teams scored 48%
17% Clean sheets 39%
30% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 52%
52% Draws 17%
22% Losses 30%
61% Over 0.5 goals 96%
26% Over 1.5 goals 57%
4% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Sp Braga all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.45scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:18
Sp Braga before this match, away
1.58points / match
1.92scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 23:13
Nacional at home away Sp Braga

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.92
1.64 Goals conceded 1.08
3.09 Total goals 3.00
11.73 Shots 13.58
3.91 Shots on target 5.50
16.45 Shots faced 9.58
4.91 Corners 5.58
7.36 Corners against 2.67
14.27 Fouls 11.67
3.18 Yellow cards 2.08
0.45 1st-half goals scored 1.08
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

27% Wins 42%
18% Draws 33%
55% Losses 25%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 83%
64% Over 2.5 goals 67%
45% Over 3.5 goals 33%
27% Over 4.5 goals 8%
9% Over 5.5 goals 8%
55% Both teams scored 58%
18% Clean sheets 33%
36% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 33%
64% Draws 33%
18% Losses 33%
55% Over 0.5 goals 92%
27% Over 1.5 goals 58%
9% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Sp Braga away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
17.01.26 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
21.12.25 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 3–2 (2–1) 1.533.756.00 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Braga 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.05 2.20 1.65
08.02.26 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 3–0 (1–0) 1.226.509.50 1.53 2.40
02.02.26 AVS – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–2) 8.504.501.35 1.85 1.95
25.01.26 Sp Braga – Alverca 5–0 (4–0) 1.374.508.00 1.85 1.95
18.01.26 Tondela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.751.56 2.10 1.70
03.01.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 3–3 (1–1) 6.504.331.45 1.85 2.00
28.12.25 Sp Braga – Benfica 2–2 (2–1) 3.303.302.10 2.05 1.75
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
15.12.25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–0 (1–0) 1.493.807.00 2.25 1.62

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10
01.11.25 Nacional – Famalicao 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50

Sp Braga away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Braga 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.05 2.20 1.65
02.02.26 AVS – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–2) 8.504.501.35 1.85 1.95
18.01.26 Tondela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.751.56 2.10 1.70
03.01.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 3–3 (1–1) 6.504.331.45 1.85 2.00
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
06.12.25 Famalicao – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–1) 3.303.502.05 2.03 1.83
01.12.25 Arouca – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–3) 6.503.901.49 1.80 2.00
02.11.25 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.494.006.25 1.98 1.88
05.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–0) 1.414.337.00 1.67 2.15
20.09.25 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–1) 2.853.302.35 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsSp Braga wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25P1 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
21.02.25P1 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
20.09.24P1 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 24 21 2 1 47 8 +39 65 WLDWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 24 19 4 1 62 12 +50 61 WWDWWW
3 Benfica 23 16 7 0 49 13 +36 55 WWDWWW
4 Sp Braga 23 12 6 5 48 22 +26 42 WWWWLW
5 Gil Vicente 23 11 7 5 34 21 +13 40 WLWWWL
6 Famalicao 23 10 5 8 29 21 +8 35 WWLWLW
7 Estoril 24 9 6 9 46 42 +4 33 WWDLWL
8 Moreirense 23 10 3 10 29 33 -4 33 LWLLWL
9 Guimaraes 23 9 4 10 27 34 -7 31 LLWLWL
10 Alverca 23 7 5 11 23 38 -15 26 WLDLDD
11 Arouca 24 7 5 12 32 52 -20 26 LWWLWL
12 Estrela 24 5 9 10 26 41 -15 24 LDWLLD
13 Casa Pia 23 5 7 11 25 43 -18 22 LDWDWL
14 Nacional 23 5 6 12 27 34 -7 21 LWLDLL
15 Rio Ave 23 4 8 11 23 44 -21 20 LLLLLL
16 Santa Clara 23 4 6 13 18 29 -11 18 LLLLLD
17 Tondela 23 4 6 13 17 36 -19 18 LLDDDW
18 AVS 24 1 6 17 18 57 -39 9 DLLWLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 12 10 2 0 24 4 +20 32 WWWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 12 10 1 1 36 4 +32 31 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 12 8 4 0 28 8 +20 28 DWWWWW
4 Sp Braga 11 7 2 2 25 9 +16 23 WWDWWW
5 Gil Vicente 11 7 2 2 19 8 +11 23 LDDWWW
6 Estoril 12 6 4 2 26 17 +9 22 DWWWDW
7 Guimaraes 12 6 3 3 17 15 +2 21 DLWLWW
8 Famalicao 12 6 2 4 21 9 +12 20 LWLWWW
9 Moreirense 11 6 1 4 15 16 -1 19 DLWWLL
10 Alverca 12 5 3 4 11 16 -5 18 WLWWDD
11 Arouca 12 4 3 5 17 23 -6 15 LWDLWW
12 Estrela 12 3 4 5 14 19 -5 13 WDDLWL
13 Nacional 11 3 2 6 16 18 -2 11 LWDWDL
14 Santa Clara 12 3 2 7 10 14 -4 11 WDLLLL
15 Casa Pia 11 2 5 4 15 21 -6 11 LDDDWW
16 Rio Ave 11 2 3 6 11 20 -9 9 DLWLLL
17 Tondela 11 1 4 6 7 14 -7 7 LLWLDD
18 AVS 13 1 4 8 10 23 -13 7 DLLLWD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 12 11 0 1 23 4 +19 33 WWWWLW
2 Sp Lisbon 12 9 3 0 26 8 +18 30 DWDWDW
3 Benfica 11 8 3 0 21 5 +16 27 WWDWDW
4 Sp Braga 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19 WLDWWL
5 Gil Vicente 12 4 5 3 15 13 +2 17 DDDLWL
6 Famalicao 11 4 3 4 8 12 -4 15 DLLWLL
7 Moreirense 12 4 2 6 14 17 -3 14 DDWLLW
8 Estoril 12 3 2 7 20 25 -5 11 LLWWLL
9 Estrela 12 2 5 5 12 22 -10 11 LWLDLD
10 Rio Ave 12 2 5 5 12 24 -12 11 WDLLLL
11 Casa Pia 12 3 2 7 10 22 -12 11 LWLLDL
12 Tondela 12 3 2 7 10 22 -12 11 WLLLDW
13 Arouca 12 3 2 7 15 29 -14 11 DLWWLL
14 Nacional 12 2 4 6 11 16 -5 10 LDLLLL
15 Guimaraes 11 3 1 7 10 19 -9 10 WWDLLL
16 Alverca 11 2 2 7 12 22 -10 8 WLLLLD
17 Santa Clara 11 1 4 6 8 15 -7 7 DLDLLD
18 AVS 11 0 2 9 8 34 -26 2 LLLDLL

Nacional   Sp Braga

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 24 7 17 1.9 1.8 9 6 9 46 42 33 OOOOOO
2 11 Arouca 24 7 17 1.3 2.2 7 5 12 32 52 26 OOOOOO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 24 8 16 2.6 0.5 19 4 1 62 12 61 OOUUOO
4 4 Sp Braga 23 7 16 2.1 1.0 12 6 5 48 22 42 UOOOOO
5 18 AVS 24 8 16 0.8 2.4 1 6 17 18 57 9 OOOOOU
6 3 Benfica 23 8 15 2.1 0.6 16 7 0 49 13 55 UOUOOO
7 15 Rio Ave 23 8 15 1.0 1.9 4 8 11 23 44 20 UOOOOU
8 8 Moreirense 23 9 14 1.3 1.4 10 3 10 29 33 33 OUUOOO
9 1 Porto 24 12 12 2.0 0.3 21 2 1 47 8 65 OOUUUO
10 10 Alverca 23 11 12 1.0 1.7 7 5 11 23 38 26 OOUOUU
11 12 Estrela 24 12 12 1.1 1.7 5 9 10 26 41 24 OUUOUU
12 13 Casa Pia 23 11 12 1.1 1.9 5 7 11 25 43 22 OOOUOU
13 14 Nacional 23 11 12 1.2 1.5 5 6 12 27 34 21 OOOUUO
14 17 Tondela 23 11 12 0.7 1.6 4 6 13 17 36 18 UOUOUU
15 9 Guimaraes 23 12 11 1.2 1.5 9 4 10 27 34 31 UOUOOO
16 5 Gil Vicente 23 13 10 1.5 0.9 11 7 5 34 21 40 OOOOOO
17 6 Famalicao 23 14 9 1.3 0.9 10 5 8 29 21 35 UOOOUU
18 16 Santa Clara 23 15 8 0.8 1.3 4 6 13 18 29 18 UUOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 12 3 9 3.0 0.3 10 1 1 36 4 31 OOOOUO
2 3 Benfica 12 4 8 2.3 0.7 8 4 0 28 8 28 UUOOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 11 3 8 2.3 0.8 7 2 2 25 9 23 OUOOOO
4 8 Moreirense 11 3 8 1.4 1.5 6 1 4 15 16 19 OOUUOO
5 11 Arouca 12 4 8 1.4 1.9 4 3 5 17 23 15 OUOOOO
6 6 Famalicao 12 5 7 1.8 0.8 6 2 4 21 9 20 OOOOOU
7 7 Estoril 12 5 7 2.2 1.4 6 4 2 26 17 22 OUOOOO
8 9 Guimaraes 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 6 3 3 17 15 21 UOOUUO
9 14 Nacional 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 3 2 6 16 18 11 OOOOUU
10 15 Rio Ave 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 2 3 6 11 20 9 UUOUOO
11 18 AVS 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 1 4 8 10 23 7 OUUOOU
12 1 Porto 12 6 6 2.0 0.3 10 2 0 24 4 32 OUOUUO
13 12 Estrela 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 14 19 13 OUOOUU
14 10 Alverca 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 5 3 4 11 16 18 UOUOUU
15 13 Casa Pia 11 6 5 1.4 1.9 2 5 4 15 21 11 UUUOOO
16 16 Santa Clara 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 14 11 UUUUOO
17 5 Gil Vicente 11 7 4 1.7 0.7 7 2 2 19 8 23 UOUOOO
18 17 Tondela 11 7 4 0.6 1.3 1 4 6 7 14 7 UOOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 12 2 10 1.7 2.1 3 2 7 20 25 11 OOOOOO
2 11 Arouca 12 3 9 1.2 2.4 3 2 7 15 29 11 UOUOOO
3 18 AVS 11 2 9 0.7 3.1 0 2 9 8 34 2 OOUOOO
4 4 Sp Braga 12 4 8 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19 OUOUOO
5 15 Rio Ave 12 4 8 1.0 2.0 2 5 5 12 24 11 OOOOOU
6 17 Tondela 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 3 2 7 10 22 11 UOUOOU
7 2 Sp Lisbon 12 5 7 2.2 0.7 9 3 0 26 8 30 UOUOUO
8 3 Benfica 11 4 7 1.9 0.5 8 3 0 21 5 27 OOOUUO
9 10 Alverca 11 4 7 1.1 2.0 2 2 7 12 22 8 UUOOOU
10 13 Casa Pia 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 2 7 10 22 11 UOOOUU
11 1 Porto 12 6 6 1.9 0.3 11 0 1 23 4 33 UOUUOU
12 5 Gil Vicente 12 6 6 1.2 1.1 4 5 3 15 13 17 UUOOOO
13 8 Moreirense 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 14 17 14 OUUOUO
14 12 Estrela 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 2 5 5 12 22 11 OOOUOU
15 14 Nacional 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 2 4 6 11 16 10 UOOOOO
16 9 Guimaraes 11 7 4 0.9 1.7 3 1 7 10 19 10 UUUOOO
17 16 Santa Clara 11 8 3 0.7 1.4 1 4 6 8 15 7 UUOUUU
18 6 Famalicao 11 9 2 0.7 1.1 4 3 4 8 12 15 OUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10