Famalicao 1–0 Nacional – Portugal Primeira Liga, 21 Mar 2026

Match facts

Famalicao Nacional

14 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

7 Corners 6

13 Fouls 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (233 league matches this season so far).

Result Famalicao to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.90

Expected goals 1.55 – 0.92

Home / Draw / Away

52% 26% 22%

FamalicaoDrawNacional

Under / Over 2.5 goals

55% 45%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.2% 1–1 12.1% 2–0 10.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Famalicao before this match, all matches

1.62points / match

1.23scored / match

0.85conceded / match

12 6 8

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 32:22

Nacional before this match, all matches

0.85points / match

1.12scored / match

1.46conceded / match

5 7 14

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 29:38

Famalicao all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.12

0.85 Goals conceded 1.46

2.08 Total goals 2.58

12.62 Shots 12.65

4.23 Shots on target 4.12

11.65 Shots faced 14.31

5.19 Corners 4.23

5.08 Corners against 6.04

16.73 Fouls 14.85

2.50 Yellow cards 2.92

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.42

0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

46% Wins 19%

23% Draws 27%

31% Losses 54%

88% Over 0.5 goals 96%

54% Over 1.5 goals 73%

38% Over 2.5 goals 50%

19% Over 3.5 goals 23%

8% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

31% Both teams scored 58%

50% Clean sheets 15%

31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 23%

62% Draws 46%

12% Losses 31%

54% Over 0.5 goals 65%

23% Over 1.5 goals 23%

4% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Famalicao all matches

1

L

1

W

3

W

5

L

3

1

W

1

L

2

W

D

1

W

2

1

W

Nacional all matches

3

D

1

2

L

4

W

1

2

L

D

1

L

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

L

Famalicao before this match, at home

1.77points / match

1.69scored / match

0.69conceded / match

7 2 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:9

Nacional before this match, away

0.85points / match

0.92scored / match

1.31conceded / match

2 5 6

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:17

Famalicao at home away Nacional

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 0.92

0.69 Goals conceded 1.31

2.38 Total goals 2.23

14.38 Shots 13.08

5.23 Shots on target 4.23

10.62 Shots faced 12.31

5.00 Corners 3.69

5.08 Corners against 5.08

15.92 Fouls 15.23

2.69 Yellow cards 2.62

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.46

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

54% Wins 15%

15% Draws 38%

31% Losses 46%

85% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 77%

54% Over 2.5 goals 38%

23% Over 3.5 goals 8%

8% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

31% Both teams scored 62%

62% Clean sheets 15%

23% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%

54% Draws 38%

8% Losses 31%

69% Over 0.5 goals 69%

38% Over 1.5 goals 23%

8% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Famalicao at home

D

2

W

1

L

1

2

L

4

W

2

3

L

3

W

3

1

W

2

W

1

W

Nacional away

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

L

2

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Famalicao all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.26	Guimaraes – Famalicao	1–2 (1–1)	2.35	3.25	2.85	2.10	1.70
06.03.26	Famalicao – Arouca	1–0 (0–0)	1.71	3.50	4.75	1.95	1.90
01.03.26	Rio Ave – Famalicao	0–0 (0–0)	4.10	3.40	1.81	1.93	1.93
23.02.26	Famalicao – Casa Pia	2–0 (1–0)	1.61	3.60	5.50	2.00	1.80
15.02.26	Sp Lisbon – Famalicao	1–0 (0–0)	1.25	5.00	11.00	1.67	2.15
09.02.26	Famalicao – AVS	3–1 (0–0)	1.37	4.50	8.00	1.80	2.00
01.02.26	Gil Vicente – Famalicao	5–0 (1–0)	2.65	3.10	2.65	2.30	1.60
25.01.26	Famalicao – Tondela	3–0 (1–0)	1.56	3.80	5.75	2.05	1.75
18.01.26	Santa Clara – Famalicao	0–1 (0–0)	2.82	3.00	2.55	2.50	1.50
04.01.26	Alverca – Famalicao	1–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.01	2.10	1.70

Nacional all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.26	Nacional – Estoril	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.70	1.67	2.15
07.03.26	Moreirense – Nacional	1–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.67
28.02.26	Nacional – Sp Braga	1–2 (0–1)	5.50	4.20	1.51	1.75	2.05
21.02.26	Arouca – Nacional	3–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.95	1.90
15.02.26	Nacional – Porto	0–1 (0–0)	9.50	4.50	1.30	1.75	2.05
08.02.26	Nacional – Casa Pia	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.10	3.75	2.10	1.70
01.02.26	Sp Lisbon – Nacional	2–1 (0–0)	1.10	8.00	19.00	1.36	3.10
25.01.26	Nacional – Rio Ave	4–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.30	1.95	1.85
17.01.26	Gil Vicente – Nacional	2–1 (1–1)	1.61	3.60	5.50	2.00	1.80
11.01.26	Nacional – Santa Clara	3–3 (2–2)	2.70	3.00	2.70	2.50	1.50

Famalicao at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.03.26	Famalicao – Arouca	1–0 (0–0)	1.71	3.50	4.75	1.95	1.90
23.02.26	Famalicao – Casa Pia	2–0 (1–0)	1.61	3.60	5.50	2.00	1.80
09.02.26	Famalicao – AVS	3–1 (0–0)	1.37	4.50	8.00	1.80	2.00
25.01.26	Famalicao – Tondela	3–0 (1–0)	1.56	3.80	5.75	2.05	1.75
27.12.25	Famalicao – Estrela	2–3 (2–2)	1.53	3.70	6.00	1.95	1.85
14.12.25	Famalicao – Estoril	4–0 (2–0)	1.76	3.60	4.33	1.88	1.98
06.12.25	Famalicao – Sp Braga	1–2 (1–1)	3.30	3.50	2.05	2.03	1.83
09.11.25	Famalicao – Porto	0–1 (0–1)	5.50	3.90	1.56	2.00	1.85
26.10.25	Famalicao – Guimaraes	2–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.30	4.10	2.25	1.62
28.09.25	Famalicao – Rio Ave	0–0 (0–0)	1.76	3.80	4.10	2.00	1.85

Nacional away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26	Moreirense – Nacional	1–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.67
21.02.26	Arouca – Nacional	3–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.95	1.90
01.02.26	Sp Lisbon – Nacional	2–1 (0–0)	1.10	8.00	19.00	1.36	3.10
17.01.26	Gil Vicente – Nacional	2–1 (1–1)	1.61	3.60	5.50	2.00	1.80
02.01.26	Guimaraes – Nacional	2–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.30	4.50	2.15	1.67
21.12.25	AVS – Nacional	2–2 (2–0)	3.20	3.30	2.20	2.15	1.67
07.12.25	Alverca – Nacional	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.60	2.20	1.65
09.11.25	Estrela – Nacional	1–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.20	2.50	2.15	1.67
26.10.25	Estoril – Nacional	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.25	3.30	2.05	1.75
28.09.25	Sp Braga – Nacional	0–1 (0–1)	1.39	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Famalicao winsDrawsNacional wins

3matches

1.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.11.25P1	Nacional – Famalicao	0–1 (0–1)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.05	1.75
01.03.25P1	Nacional – Famalicao	2–1 (1–0)	2.60	3.00	2.90	2.20	1.65
29.09.24P1	Famalicao – Nacional	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.75	5.75	2.00	1.85

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	26	22	3	1	52	10	+42	69
2	Sp Lisbon	25	19	5	1	64	14	+50	62
3	Benfica	26	18	8	0	55	17	+38	62
4	Sp Braga	25	13	7	5	52	25	+27	46
5	Gil Vicente	26	11	9	6	39	27	+12	42
6	Famalicao	26	12	6	8	32	22	+10	42
7	Estoril	26	10	7	9	47	42	+5	37
8	Moreirense	26	10	5	11	31	38	-7	35
9	Guimaraes	26	9	5	12	29	39	-10	32
10	Alverca	26	7	8	11	26	41	-15	29
11	Estrela	27	6	10	11	33	45	-12	28
12	Rio Ave	26	6	9	11	26	45	-19	27
13	Arouca	26	7	5	14	33	55	-22	26
14	Santa Clara	26	6	7	13	23	31	-8	25
15	Casa Pia	26	5	9	12	26	48	-22	24
16	Nacional	26	5	7	14	29	38	-9	22
17	Tondela	25	4	7	14	19	39	-20	19
18	AVS	26	1	7	18	18	58	-40	10

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	13	11	2	0	27	4	+23	35
2	Sp Lisbon	12	10	1	1	36	4	+32	31
3	Benfica	13	8	5	0	30	10	+20	29
4	Sp Braga	12	7	3	2	27	11	+16	24
5	Gil Vicente	13	7	3	3	22	12	+10	24
6	Famalicao	13	7	2	4	22	9	+13	23
7	Estoril	13	6	5	2	26	17	+9	23
8	Guimaraes	14	6	4	4	19	18	+1	22
9	Moreirense	12	6	2	4	16	17	-1	20
10	Alverca	13	5	4	4	11	16	-5	19
11	Estrela	14	4	5	5	20	21	-1	17
12	Arouca	13	4	3	6	18	25	-7	15
13	Santa Clara	13	4	2	7	12	14	-2	14
14	Rio Ave	13	3	4	6	13	21	-8	13
15	Casa Pia	12	2	6	4	16	22	-6	12
16	Nacional	13	3	2	8	17	21	-4	11
17	Tondela	13	1	5	7	9	17	-8	8
18	AVS	14	1	4	9	10	24	-14	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	13	11	1	1	25	6	+19	34
2	Benfica	13	10	3	0	25	7	+18	33
3	Sp Lisbon	13	9	4	0	28	10	+18	31
4	Sp Braga	13	6	4	3	25	14	+11	22
5	Famalicao	13	5	4	4	10	13	-3	19
6	Gil Vicente	13	4	6	3	17	15	+2	18
7	Moreirense	14	4	3	7	15	21	-6	15
8	Estoril	13	4	2	7	21	25	-4	14
9	Rio Ave	13	3	5	5	13	24	-11	14
10	Casa Pia	14	3	3	8	10	26	-16	12
11	Nacional	13	2	5	6	12	17	-5	11
12	Santa Clara	13	2	5	6	11	17	-6	11
13	Estrela	13	2	5	6	13	24	-11	11
14	Tondela	12	3	2	7	10	22	-12	11
15	Arouca	13	3	2	8	15	30	-15	11
16	Alverca	13	2	4	7	15	25	-10	10
17	Guimaraes	12	3	1	8	10	21	-11	10
18	AVS	12	0	3	9	8	34	-26	3

Famalicao Nacional

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Benfica	26	8	18	2.1	0.7	18	8	0	55	17	62
2	4	Sp Braga	25	7	18	2.1	1.0	13	7	5	52	25	46
3	13	Arouca	26	8	18	1.3	2.1	7	5	14	33	55	26
4	2	Sp Lisbon	25	8	17	2.6	0.6	19	5	1	64	14	62
5	7	Estoril	26	9	17	1.8	1.6	10	7	9	47	42	37
6	12	Rio Ave	26	10	16	1.0	1.7	6	9	11	26	45	27
7	18	AVS	26	10	16	0.7	2.2	1	7	18	18	58	10
8	8	Moreirense	26	11	15	1.2	1.5	10	5	11	31	38	35
9	11	Estrela	27	12	15	1.2	1.7	6	10	11	33	45	28
10	1	Porto	26	12	14	2.0	0.4	22	3	1	52	10	69
11	5	Gil Vicente	26	13	13	1.5	1.0	11	9	6	39	27	42
12	10	Alverca	26	13	13	1.0	1.6	7	8	11	26	41	29
13	15	Casa Pia	26	13	13	1.0	1.8	5	9	12	26	48	24
14	16	Nacional	26	13	13	1.1	1.5	5	7	14	29	38	22
15	17	Tondela	25	12	13	0.8	1.6	4	7	14	19	39	19
16	9	Guimaraes	26	14	12	1.1	1.5	9	5	12	29	39	32
17	6	Famalicao	26	16	10	1.2	0.8	12	6	8	32	22	42
18	14	Santa Clara	26	17	9	0.9	1.2	6	7	13	23	31	25

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Sp Lisbon	12	3	9	3.0	0.3	10	1	1	36	4	31
2	3	Benfica	13	4	9	2.3	0.8	8	5	0	30	10	29
3	4	Sp Braga	12	3	9	2.2	0.9	7	3	2	27	11	24
4	13	Arouca	13	4	9	1.4	1.9	4	3	6	18	25	15
5	8	Moreirense	12	4	8	1.3	1.4	6	2	4	16	17	20
6	9	Guimaraes	14	6	8	1.4	1.3	6	4	4	19	18	22
7	11	Estrela	14	6	8	1.4	1.5	4	5	5	20	21	17
8	12	Rio Ave	13	5	8	1.0	1.6	3	4	6	13	21	13
9	16	Nacional	13	5	8	1.3	1.6	3	2	8	17	21	11
10	1	Porto	13	6	7	2.1	0.3	11	2	0	27	4	35
11	6	Famalicao	13	6	7	1.7	0.7	7	2	4	22	9	23
12	7	Estoril	13	6	7	2.0	1.3	6	5	2	26	17	23
13	18	AVS	14	7	7	0.7	1.7	1	4	9	10	24	7
14	5	Gil Vicente	13	7	6	1.7	0.9	7	3	3	22	12	24
15	10	Alverca	13	8	5	0.8	1.2	5	4	4	11	16	19
16	14	Santa Clara	13	8	5	0.9	1.1	4	2	7	12	14	14
17	15	Casa Pia	12	7	5	1.3	1.8	2	6	4	16	22	12
18	17	Tondela	13	8	5	0.7	1.3	1	5	7	9	17	8

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Estoril	13	3	10	1.6	1.9	4	2	7	21	25	14
2	3	Benfica	13	4	9	1.9	0.5	10	3	0	25	7	33
3	4	Sp Braga	13	4	9	1.9	1.1	6	4	3	25	14	22
4	13	Arouca	13	4	9	1.2	2.3	3	2	8	15	30	11
5	18	AVS	12	3	9	0.7	2.8	0	3	9	8	34	3
6	2	Sp Lisbon	13	5	8	2.2	0.8	9	4	0	28	10	31
7	10	Alverca	13	5	8	1.2	1.9	2	4	7	15	25	10
8	12	Rio Ave	13	5	8	1.0	1.8	3	5	5	13	24	14
9	15	Casa Pia	14	6	8	0.7	1.9	3	3	8	10	26	12
10	17	Tondela	12	4	8	0.8	1.8	3	2	7	10	22	11
11	1	Porto	13	6	7	1.9	0.5	11	1	1	25	6	34
12	5	Gil Vicente	13	6	7	1.3	1.2	4	6	3	17	15	18
13	8	Moreirense	14	7	7	1.1	1.5	4	3	7	15	21	15
14	11	Estrela	13	6	7	1.0	1.8	2	5	6	13	24	11
15	16	Nacional	13	8	5	0.9	1.3	2	5	6	12	17	11
16	9	Guimaraes	12	8	4	0.8	1.8	3	1	8	10	21	10
17	14	Santa Clara	13	9	4	0.8	1.3	2	5	6	11	17	11
18	6	Famalicao	13	10	3	0.8	1.0	5	4	4	10	13	19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.