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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 1–0 Alverca

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.22
Draw 3.40 fair 4.03
Away 3.20 fair 3.32
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Alverca
10 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 8
15 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (260 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawAlverca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.4% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
1.07scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 31:41
Alverca before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
1.10scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 32:47
Nacional all matches all matches Alverca

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.10
1.41 Goals conceded 1.62
2.48 Total goals 2.72
12.48 Shots 9.97
4.17 Shots on target 3.66
14.52 Shots faced 14.00
4.21 Corners 4.21
6.38 Corners against 4.55
15.03 Fouls 12.28
3.03 Yellow cards 2.21
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

21% Wins 31%
24% Draws 28%
55% Losses 41%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
72% Over 1.5 goals 83%
45% Over 2.5 goals 55%
21% Over 3.5 goals 28%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
52% Both teams scored 59%
17% Clean sheets 21%
34% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 21%
45% Draws 45%
31% Losses 34%
66% Over 0.5 goals 69%
24% Over 1.5 goals 38%
3% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Alverca all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.36scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:21
Alverca before this match, away
0.93points / match
1.21scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:26
Nacional at home away Alverca

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.21
1.50 Goals conceded 1.86
2.86 Total goals 3.07
12.50 Shots 8.86
4.00 Shots on target 3.50
15.93 Shots faced 15.29
4.79 Corners 3.79
6.93 Corners against 6.00
14.43 Fouls 11.64
3.29 Yellow cards 2.64
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

29% Wins 21%
14% Draws 29%
57% Losses 50%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 93%
57% Over 2.5 goals 64%
36% Over 3.5 goals 36%
21% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 71%
21% Clean sheets 7%
36% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 21%
50% Draws 57%
29% Losses 21%
64% Over 0.5 goals 71%
21% Over 1.5 goals 57%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Alverca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Benfica – Nacional 2–0 (2–0) 1.118.0015.00 1.36 3.10
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
21.03.26 Famalicao – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 1.85 2.00
15.03.26 Nacional – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.502.70 1.67 2.15
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
28.02.26 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.51 1.75 2.05
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Alverca – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–1) 1.963.303.90 2.15 1.67
04.04.26 Rio Ave – Alverca 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
22.03.26 Alverca – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–1) 10.005.001.27 1.62 2.25
14.03.26 Gil Vicente – Alverca 2–2 (1–0) 1.663.705.25 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
28.02.26 Guimaraes – Alverca 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.604.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Alverca – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.822.752.70 2.70 1.44
13.02.26 Tondela – Alverca 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.35 1.57
08.02.26 Benfica – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.156.2517.00 1.65 2.20
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
15.03.26 Nacional – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.502.70 1.67 2.15
28.02.26 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.51 1.75 2.05
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10
01.11.25 Nacional – Famalicao 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75

Alverca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Rio Ave – Alverca 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
14.03.26 Gil Vicente – Alverca 2–2 (1–0) 1.663.705.25 2.10 1.70
28.02.26 Guimaraes – Alverca 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.604.75 2.05 1.75
13.02.26 Tondela – Alverca 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.35 1.57
08.02.26 Benfica – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.156.2517.00 1.65 2.20
25.01.26 Sp Braga – Alverca 5–0 (4–0) 1.374.508.00 1.85 1.95
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsAlverca wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25P1 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 29 24 4 1 59 14 +45 76 WDWWDW
2 Sp Lisbon 28 22 5 1 73 17 +56 71 WWDWWW
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61 18 +43 69 WDWWDW
4 Sp Braga 28 15 7 6 55 27 +28 52 WWDLWW
5 Famalicao 29 13 8 8 36 25 +11 47 DWWWDD
6 Gil Vicente 29 12 10 7 44 30 +14 46 LDDLWD
7 Estoril 29 10 7 12 51 50 +1 37 LDWLLL
8 Guimaraes 29 10 6 13 35 43 -8 36 DLLLWD
9 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32 41 -9 36 DDLLLD
10 Alverca 29 9 8 12 32 47 -15 35 DDDLWW
11 Rio Ave 30 8 10 12 33 50 -17 34 WWWLWD
12 Arouca 29 9 5 15 37 58 -21 32 LLLWWL
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26 37 -11 28 DWWWLL
14 Estrela 29 6 10 13 33 48 -15 28 DDLWLL
15 Nacional 29 6 7 16 31 41 -10 25 LDLLWL
16 Casa Pia 28 5 10 13 28 52 -24 25 LDDLDL
17 Tondela 28 4 9 15 21 46 -25 21 WDLDLD
18 AVS 30 1 10 19 21 64 -43 13 DLDLDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 14 11 3 0 29 6 +23 36 WDWWWD
2 Benfica 15 10 5 0 35 10 +25 35 WWWDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 13 11 1 1 40 6 +34 34 WWWWWW
4 Sp Braga 14 8 3 3 29 13 +16 27 WWWDLW
5 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27 WWWWWD
6 Gil Vicente 14 8 3 3 25 12 +13 27 WWWLDW
7 Guimaraes 15 7 4 4 24 18 +6 25 LWWDLW
8 Estoril 15 6 5 4 28 22 +6 23 WDWDLL
9 Alverca 15 6 4 5 15 21 -6 22 WDDDLW
10 Moreirense 14 6 2 6 16 19 -3 20 WLLDLL
11 Arouca 14 5 3 6 21 27 -6 18 DLWWLW
12 Estrela 15 4 5 6 20 22 -2 17 LWLDWL
13 Santa Clara 15 5 2 8 13 16 -3 17 LLLWWL
14 Nacional 14 4 2 8 19 21 -2 14 WDLLLW
15 Rio Ave 15 3 5 7 16 25 -9 14 LLDWLD
16 Casa Pia 13 2 7 4 17 23 -6 13 DDWWDD
17 Tondela 15 1 7 7 11 19 -8 10 DDDLDD
18 AVS 15 1 5 9 11 25 -14 8 LLWDLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 13 1 1 30 8 +22 40 WLWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 15 11 4 0 33 11 +22 37 WDWDWW
3 Benfica 14 10 4 0 26 8 +18 34 WDWWWD
4 Sp Braga 14 7 4 3 26 14 +12 25 DWWLWW
5 Famalicao 14 5 5 4 12 15 -3 20 WLLDWD
6 Rio Ave 15 5 5 5 17 25 -8 20 LLLWWW
7 Gil Vicente 15 4 7 4 19 18 +1 19 LWLDLD
8 Moreirense 15 4 4 7 16 22 -6 16 LLWDLD
9 Estoril 14 4 2 8 23 28 -5 14 WWLLWL
10 Arouca 15 4 2 9 16 31 -15 14 WLLLWL
11 Alverca 14 3 4 7 17 26 -9 13 LLDDDW
12 Casa Pia 15 3 3 9 11 29 -18 12 LDLDLL
13 Santa Clara 14 2 5 7 13 21 -8 11 LLDDWL
14 Nacional 15 2 5 8 12 20 -8 11 LLLDLL
15 Estrela 14 2 5 7 13 26 -13 11 LDLDLL
16 Guimaraes 14 3 2 9 11 25 -14 11 LLLLLD
17 Tondela 13 3 2 8 10 27 -17 11 LLLDWL
18 AVS 15 0 5 10 10 39 -29 5 LLDDLD

Nacional   Alverca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 29 9 20 1.8 1.7 10 7 12 51 50 37 OUUOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 28 9 19 2.6 0.6 22 5 1 73 17 71 OOOOOU
3 3 Benfica 29 10 19 2.1 0.6 20 9 0 61 18 69 OOOOUU
4 4 Sp Braga 28 9 19 2.0 1.0 15 7 6 55 27 52 OOOOUU
5 11 Rio Ave 30 11 19 1.1 1.7 8 10 12 33 50 34 UOOOUO
6 12 Arouca 29 10 19 1.3 2.0 9 5 15 37 58 32 OUOUOU
7 18 AVS 30 12 18 0.7 2.1 1 10 19 21 64 13 UUUOUO
8 1 Porto 29 12 17 2.0 0.5 24 4 1 59 14 76 OOOOOO
9 10 Alverca 29 13 16 1.1 1.6 9 8 12 32 47 35 UUOOOO
10 6 Gil Vicente 29 14 15 1.5 1.0 12 10 7 44 30 46 OOOUOO
11 9 Moreirense 29 14 15 1.1 1.4 10 6 13 32 41 36 UUOUUU
12 14 Estrela 29 14 15 1.1 1.7 6 10 13 33 48 28 UOOOUU
13 17 Tondela 28 13 15 0.8 1.6 4 9 15 21 46 21 UOUUOO
14 8 Guimaraes 29 15 14 1.2 1.5 10 6 13 35 43 36 UUOOOU
15 16 Casa Pia 28 14 14 1.0 1.9 5 10 13 28 52 25 UUUOUO
16 15 Nacional 29 16 13 1.1 1.4 6 7 16 31 41 25 OUUUUU
17 5 Famalicao 29 18 11 1.2 0.9 13 8 8 36 25 47 UUOUOU
18 13 Santa Clara 29 19 10 0.9 1.3 7 7 15 26 37 28 OUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 3.1 0.5 11 1 1 40 6 34 OOOUOO
2 3 Benfica 15 5 10 2.3 0.7 10 5 0 35 10 35 OOOOOU
3 4 Sp Braga 14 4 10 2.1 0.9 8 3 3 29 13 27 OOOOOU
4 11 Rio Ave 15 5 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 16 25 14 OOUOOO
5 12 Arouca 14 4 10 1.5 1.9 5 3 6 21 27 18 OOOOOO
6 7 Estoril 15 6 9 1.9 1.5 6 5 4 28 22 23 OOOUOO
7 8 Guimaraes 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 7 4 4 24 18 25 UUOUOO
8 1 Porto 14 6 8 2.1 0.4 11 3 0 29 6 36 OUUOOO
9 9 Moreirense 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 6 2 6 16 19 20 UOOUUU
10 14 Estrela 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 6 20 22 17 OUUOOU
11 15 Nacional 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 4 2 8 19 21 14 OUUOUU
12 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27 OOUUUU
13 6 Gil Vicente 14 7 7 1.8 0.9 8 3 3 25 12 27 OOOOOO
14 10 Alverca 15 8 7 1.0 1.4 6 4 5 15 21 22 OUUUOO
15 18 AVS 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 11 25 8 UOOUUU
16 17 Tondela 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 1 7 7 11 19 10 UUOUUO
17 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 13 16 17 UOOUUU
18 16 Casa Pia 13 8 5 1.3 1.8 2 7 4 17 23 13 UOOOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 14 3 11 1.6 2.0 4 2 8 23 28 14 OOOOUO
2 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 5 10 10 39 5 OOUUOO
3 1 Porto 15 6 9 2.0 0.5 13 1 1 30 8 40 UOUOOO
4 2 Sp Lisbon 15 6 9 2.2 0.7 11 4 0 33 11 37 OUOOOU
5 3 Benfica 14 5 9 1.9 0.6 10 4 0 26 8 34 UUOOOU
6 4 Sp Braga 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 7 4 3 26 14 25 OUOOOU
7 10 Alverca 14 5 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 7 17 26 13 OOUUOO
8 11 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 5 17 25 20 OOUUOU
9 12 Arouca 15 6 9 1.1 2.1 4 2 9 16 31 14 OOOUUU
10 16 Casa Pia 15 6 9 0.7 1.9 3 3 9 11 29 12 OUUUOO
11 17 Tondela 13 4 9 0.8 2.1 3 2 8 10 27 11 OUOOUO
12 6 Gil Vicente 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 4 7 4 19 18 19 OOOOUO
13 9 Moreirense 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 16 22 16 OUOUOU
14 14 Estrela 14 7 7 0.9 1.9 2 5 7 13 26 11 OUOUOU
15 8 Guimaraes 14 9 5 0.8 1.8 3 2 9 11 25 11 OOOUOU
16 13 Santa Clara 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 13 21 11 UUUOUO
17 15 Nacional 15 10 5 0.8 1.3 2 5 8 12 20 11 OOOUUU
18 5 Famalicao 14 10 4 0.9 1.1 5 5 4 12 15 20 UOUUOO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47