Nacional 2–0 Guimaraes – Portugal Primeira Liga, 16 May 2026

Match facts

Nacional Guimaraes

5 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 6

17 Fouls 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (299 league matches this season so far).

Result Nacional to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.17

Home / Draw / Away

45% 26% 29%

NacionalDrawGuimaraes

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches

0.94points / match

1.06scored / match

1.36conceded / match

8 7 18

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 35:45

Guimaraes before this match, all matches

1.27points / match

1.18scored / match

1.48conceded / match

12 6 15

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 39:49

Nacional all matches all matches Guimaraes

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.18

1.36 Goals conceded 1.48

2.42 Total goals 2.67

12.88 Shots 13.33

4.24 Shots on target 3.94

14.61 Shots faced 11.39

4.45 Corners 4.39

6.39 Corners against 3.97

14.85 Fouls 14.58

2.94 Yellow cards 2.33

0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.52

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

24% Wins 36%

21% Draws 18%

55% Losses 45%

97% Over 0.5 goals 94%

73% Over 1.5 goals 76%

42% Over 2.5 goals 45%

18% Over 3.5 goals 24%

9% Over 4.5 goals 21%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

48% Both teams scored 42%

21% Clean sheets 30%

33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 18%

45% Draws 52%

30% Losses 30%

67% Over 0.5 goals 64%

27% Over 1.5 goals 42%

3% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches

1

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

L

2

W

2

L

1

W

2

W

1

2

L

2

L

Guimaraes all matches

1

D

2

L

1

2

L

3

L

5

W

1

D

1

W

2

W

1

5

L

1

L

Nacional before this match, at home

1.06points / match

1.31scored / match

1.44conceded / match

5 2 9

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:23

Guimaraes before this match, away

0.88points / match

0.81scored / match

1.88conceded / match

4 2 10

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 13:30

Nacional at home away Guimaraes

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 0.81

1.44 Goals conceded 1.88

2.75 Total goals 2.69

13.06 Shots 13.19

4.25 Shots on target 3.81

15.63 Shots faced 11.56

4.94 Corners 4.38

6.94 Corners against 3.63

14.06 Fouls 13.56

3.25 Yellow cards 2.13

0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

31% Wins 25%

13% Draws 13%

56% Losses 63%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

69% Over 1.5 goals 75%

56% Over 2.5 goals 38%

31% Over 3.5 goals 25%

19% Over 4.5 goals 25%

6% Over 5.5 goals 13%

50% Both teams scored 31%

25% Clean sheets 31%

31% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 25%

56% Draws 31%

25% Losses 44%

63% Over 0.5 goals 75%

25% Over 1.5 goals 44%

6% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home

3

1

W

3

D

4

W

D

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

W

1

W

1

2

L

Guimaraes away

1

W

D

2

4

L

2

3

L

2

3

L

2

L

3

L

1

D

1

W

1

5

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.05.26	Santa Clara – Nacional	2–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.75
02.05.26	Nacional – AVS	1–2 (1–1)	1.42	4.33	7.00	1.65	2.20
25.04.26	Tondela – Nacional	0–2 (0–2)	2.75	3.40	2.40	1.95	1.90
18.04.26	Nacional – Alverca	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.20	1.85	1.95
12.04.26	Benfica – Nacional	2–0 (2–0)	1.11	8.00	15.00	1.36	3.10
04.04.26	Nacional – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	1.90	1.90
21.03.26	Famalicao – Nacional	1–0 (0–0)	1.66	3.60	5.00	1.85	2.00
15.03.26	Nacional – Estoril	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.70	1.67	2.15
07.03.26	Moreirense – Nacional	1–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.67
28.02.26	Nacional – Sp Braga	1–2 (0–1)	5.50	4.20	1.51	1.75	2.05

Guimaraes all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.05.26	Guimaraes – Casa Pia	0–1 (0–0)	1.71	3.75	4.33	1.93	1.93
04.05.26	Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes	5–1 (3–0)	1.25	5.50	10.00	1.48	2.60
25.04.26	Guimaraes – Rio Ave	2–0 (0–0)	1.76	3.40	4.75	1.83	2.03
18.04.26	Gil Vicente – Guimaraes	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.50	2.10	1.70
11.04.26	AVS – Guimaraes	1–1 (1–1)	5.25	3.80	1.61	1.98	1.88
03.04.26	Guimaraes – Tondela	5–0 (2–0)	1.81	3.40	4.20	2.15	1.67
21.03.26	Benfica – Guimaraes	3–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.25	9.50	1.60	2.30
14.03.26	Guimaraes – Famalicao	1–2 (1–1)	2.35	3.25	2.85	2.10	1.70
08.03.26	Santa Clara – Guimaraes	2–0 (2–0)	2.57	3.00	2.82	2.50	1.50
28.02.26	Guimaraes – Alverca	1–1 (0–0)	1.71	3.60	4.75	2.05	1.75

Nacional at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.05.26	Nacional – AVS	1–2 (1–1)	1.42	4.33	7.00	1.65	2.20
18.04.26	Nacional – Alverca	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.20	1.85	1.95
04.04.26	Nacional – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	1.90	1.90
15.03.26	Nacional – Estoril	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.70	1.67	2.15
28.02.26	Nacional – Sp Braga	1–2 (0–1)	5.50	4.20	1.51	1.75	2.05
15.02.26	Nacional – Porto	0–1 (0–0)	9.50	4.50	1.30	1.75	2.05
08.02.26	Nacional – Casa Pia	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.10	3.75	2.10	1.70
25.01.26	Nacional – Rio Ave	4–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.30	1.95	1.85
11.01.26	Nacional – Santa Clara	3–3 (2–2)	2.70	3.00	2.70	2.50	1.50
15.12.25	Nacional – Tondela	3–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.05	3.05	2.10	1.70

Guimaraes away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.05.26	Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes	5–1 (3–0)	1.25	5.50	10.00	1.48	2.60
18.04.26	Gil Vicente – Guimaraes	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.50	2.10	1.70
11.04.26	AVS – Guimaraes	1–1 (1–1)	5.25	3.80	1.61	1.98	1.88
21.03.26	Benfica – Guimaraes	3–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.25	9.50	1.60	2.30
08.03.26	Santa Clara – Guimaraes	2–0 (2–0)	2.57	3.00	2.82	2.50	1.50
21.02.26	Sp Braga – Guimaraes	3–2 (2–1)	1.53	3.75	6.00	1.88	1.98
07.02.26	Arouca – Guimaraes	3–2 (1–2)	2.75	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.70
24.01.26	Estoril – Guimaraes	4–2 (1–2)	2.35	3.30	2.85	2.05	1.80
28.12.25	Casa Pia – Guimaraes	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	2.95	2.25	2.40	1.53
13.12.25	Rio Ave – Guimaraes	0–1 (0–1)	2.65	3.20	2.55	2.05	1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Nacional winsDrawsGuimaraes wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.01.26P1	Guimaraes – Nacional	2–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.30	4.50	2.15	1.67
03.05.25P1	Nacional – Guimaraes	1–2 (0–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.98	1.88
23.12.24P1	Guimaraes – Nacional	2–2 (1–1)	1.53	3.90	6.25	1.98	1.88

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88	WWWWLW
2	Sp Lisbon	33	24	7	2	86	24	+62	79	WLDDWW
3	Benfica	33	22	11	0	71	24	+47	77	DWWWDD
4	Sp Braga	33	16	10	7	62	34	+28	58	WDWLDD
5	Famalicao	33	14	11	8	41	29	+12	53	DDDWDD
6	Gil Vicente	33	13	11	9	47	35	+12	50	WDLWDL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	DWLWLD
8	Guimaraes	33	12	6	15	39	49	-10	42	WDWWLL
9	Estoril	33	10	9	14	53	54	-1	39	LLLLDD
10	Alverca	33	10	9	14	35	51	-16	39	WWLWLD
11	Arouca	33	11	6	16	44	63	-19	39	WLWLDW
12	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	LDWDWL
13	Rio Ave	33	8	11	14	34	56	-22	35	LWDLDL
14	Nacional	33	8	7	18	35	45	-10	31	WLWWLL
15	Estrela	33	6	11	16	36	54	-18	29	LLLLLD
16	Casa Pia	33	6	11	16	30	56	-26	29	LDLLLW
17	Tondela	33	6	10	17	26	52	-26	28	DLLDWW
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDDWWD

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	+27	45	WWDWWW
2	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	+28	39	WDWWWD
3	Sp Lisbon	16	12	2	2	48	11	+37	38	WWWLDW
4	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	+11	30	LDWLWL
5	Sp Braga	16	8	5	3	32	16	+16	29	WDLWDD
6	Famalicao	16	8	4	4	26	12	+14	28	WWWWDD
7	Guimaraes	17	8	4	5	26	19	+7	28	WDLWWL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	DLLWWD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	DDLWWD
10	Estoril	16	6	5	5	28	23	+5	23	DWDLLL
11	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	LWWLWW
12	Arouca	16	6	4	6	24	29	-5	22	WWLWWD
13	Estrela	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LDWLLD
14	Nacional	16	5	2	9	21	23	-2	17	LLLWWL
15	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DWLDDL
16	Casa Pia	16	2	8	6	17	25	-8	14	WDDDLL
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	DLDDLW
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	WDLDDW

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	+21	43	WDWWWL
2	Sp Lisbon	17	12	5	0	38	13	+25	41	WDWWDW
3	Benfica	16	11	5	0	30	11	+19	38	WWWDWD
4	Sp Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	+12	29	LWWWLD
5	Famalicao	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDWD
6	Gil Vicente	16	4	8	4	19	18	+1	20	WLDLDD
7	Rio Ave	16	5	5	6	17	27	-10	20	LLWWWL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	LLWLLW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LWLLDD
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WDLDLL
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LDLLLW
12	Tondela	16	4	3	9	13	31	-18	15	DWLLDW
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	LDLLWL
14	Guimaraes	16	4	2	10	13	30	-17	14	LLLDWL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWLDDL
16	Alverca	16	3	4	9	17	28	-11	13	DDDWLL
17	Estrela	16	2	5	9	15	30	-15	11	LDLLLL
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDLDWD

Nacional Guimaraes

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	2	Sp Lisbon	33	10	23	2.6	0.7	24	7	2	86	24	79	UOUOOO
2	3	Benfica	33	10	23	2.2	0.7	22	11	0	71	24	77	UUOOOO
3	4	Sp Braga	33	11	22	1.9	1.0	16	10	7	62	34	58	UOUOUO
4	11	Arouca	33	11	22	1.3	1.9	11	6	16	44	63	39	OUUOOO
5	9	Estoril	33	13	20	1.6	1.6	10	9	14	53	54	39	OOUUUU
6	13	Rio Ave	33	13	20	1.0	1.7	8	11	14	34	56	35	OUOUUO
7	18	AVS	34	14	20	0.8	2.0	3	12	19	27	67	21	UOUOOU
8	1	Porto	34	15	19	1.9	0.5	28	4	2	66	18	88	OUOUOU
9	6	Gil Vicente	33	16	17	1.4	1.1	13	11	9	47	35	50	OOUOUO
10	7	Moreirense	34	17	17	1.1	1.4	12	7	15	37	49	43	UUOOUU
11	10	Alverca	33	16	17	1.1	1.5	10	9	14	35	51	39	OOUOUU
12	15	Estrela	33	16	17	1.1	1.6	6	11	16	36	54	29	UUUOOU
13	17	Tondela	33	17	16	0.8	1.6	6	10	17	26	52	28	OUUOUU
14	8	Guimaraes	33	18	15	1.2	1.5	12	6	15	39	49	42	OUUUOU
15	16	Casa Pia	33	18	15	0.9	1.7	6	11	16	30	56	29	OUUOUU
16	14	Nacional	33	19	14	1.1	1.4	8	7	18	35	45	31	UUUUOU
17	5	Famalicao	33	20	13	1.2	0.9	14	11	8	41	29	53	OUOUOU
18	12	Santa Clara	34	22	12	0.9	1.2	9	9	16	32	41	36	UUOOUU

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	2	Sp Lisbon	16	3	13	3.0	0.7	12	2	2	48	11	38	UOOOOO
2	3	Benfica	17	5	12	2.4	0.8	11	6	0	41	13	39	OOOUOO
3	4	Sp Braga	16	5	11	2.0	1.0	8	5	3	32	16	29	OOOUOU
4	11	Arouca	16	5	11	1.5	1.8	6	4	6	24	29	22	OOOOUO
5	13	Rio Ave	17	6	11	1.0	1.7	3	6	8	17	29	15	UOOOUO
6	6	Gil Vicente	17	8	9	1.6	1.0	9	3	5	28	17	30	OOOUOO
7	7	Moreirense	17	8	9	1.2	1.2	8	3	6	20	21	27	UUUUOU
8	8	Guimaraes	17	8	9	1.5	1.1	8	4	5	26	19	28	OUOOUU
9	9	Estoril	16	7	9	1.8	1.4	6	5	5	28	23	23	OOUOOU
10	14	Nacional	16	7	9	1.3	1.4	5	2	9	21	23	17	UOUUUO
11	15	Estrela	17	8	9	1.2	1.4	4	6	7	21	24	18	UOOUOU
12	1	Porto	17	9	8	1.9	0.4	14	3	0	33	6	45	OOOUUU
13	5	Famalicao	16	8	8	1.6	0.8	8	4	4	26	12	28	OUUUUO
14	10	Alverca	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	7	5	5	18	23	26	UUOOOU
15	18	AVS	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	2	6	9	15	27	12	OUUUUO
16	12	Santa Clara	17	11	6	1.0	1.0	7	2	8	17	17	23	OUUUOU
17	17	Tondela	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	2	7	8	13	21	13	OUUOUU
18	16	Casa Pia	16	11	5	1.1	1.6	2	8	6	17	25	14	OUUUUU

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	18	AVS	17	5	12	0.7	2.4	1	6	10	12	40	9	UUOOOU
2	1	Porto	17	6	11	1.9	0.7	14	1	2	33	12	43	UOOOOO
3	3	Benfica	16	5	11	1.9	0.7	11	5	0	30	11	38	OOOUOO
4	4	Sp Braga	17	6	11	1.8	1.1	8	5	4	30	18	29	OOUUOO
5	9	Estoril	17	6	11	1.5	1.8	4	4	9	25	31	16	OUOUUU
6	11	Arouca	17	6	11	1.2	2.0	5	2	10	20	34	17	OUUUOO
7	2	Sp Lisbon	17	7	10	2.2	0.8	12	5	0	38	13	41	OOOUUO
8	16	Casa Pia	17	7	10	0.8	1.8	4	3	10	13	31	15	UUOOOU
9	17	Tondela	16	6	10	0.8	1.9	4	3	9	13	31	15	OUOUOU
10	10	Alverca	16	7	9	1.1	1.8	3	4	9	17	28	13	UUOOUU
11	13	Rio Ave	16	7	9	1.1	1.7	5	5	6	17	27	20	OUUOUU
12	6	Gil Vicente	16	8	8	1.2	1.1	4	8	4	19	18	20	OOOUOU
13	7	Moreirense	17	9	8	1.0	1.6	4	4	9	17	28	16	OUOUOU
14	15	Estrela	16	8	8	0.9	1.9	2	5	9	15	30	11	OUOUUO
15	8	Guimaraes	16	10	6	0.8	1.9	4	2	10	13	30	14	OUOUUO
16	12	Santa Clara	17	11	6	0.9	1.4	2	7	8	15	24	13	OUOUOU
17	5	Famalicao	17	12	5	0.9	1.0	6	7	4	15	17	25	UOOOUU
18	14	Nacional	17	12	5	0.8	1.3	3	5	9	14	22	14	OUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.