Stenhousemuir 2–1 Dumbarton
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
1.55
fair 2.22
Draw
4.00
fair 4.22
Away
4.75
fair 3.20
Under 2.5
2.20
fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓
1.65
fair 1.69
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Stenhousemuir
Dumbarton
14
Shots
9
9
Shots on target
5
5
Corners
5
9
Fouls
11
4
Yellow cards
3
1
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (175 league matches this season so far).
Result
Stenhousemuir to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.64
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.37
Home / Draw / Away
45%
24%
31%
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
41%
59%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
39%
61%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
14%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
20%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8%
2–1 9.2%
1–0 7.9%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Stenhousemuir
before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.31scored / match
1.26conceded / match
14
8
13
WonDrawnLost
35 played · 46:44
Dumbarton
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.43scored / match
1.83conceded / match
8
11
16
WonDrawnLost
35 played · 50:64
Stenhousemuir all matches
all matches Dumbarton
Per match
1.31
Goals scored
1.43
1.26
Goals conceded
1.83
2.57
Total goals
3.26
9.91
Shots
9.66
4.34
Shots on target
4.03
9.83
Shots faced
9.94
5.03
Corners
5.17
4.31
Corners against
5.89
11.34
Fouls
10.31
1.89
Yellow cards
1.74
0.57
1st-half goals scored
0.57
0.54
1st-half goals conceded
0.86
How often Full Time
40%
Wins
23%
23%
Draws
31%
37%
Losses
46%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
97%
71%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
51%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
31%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
14%
3%
Over 5.5 goals
9%
43%
Both teams scored
71%
31%
Clean sheets
9%
40%
Failed to score
23%
How often Half Time
29%
Wins
14%
46%
Draws
49%
26%
Losses
37%
60%
Over 0.5 goals
77%
34%
Over 1.5 goals
46%
17%
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stenhousemuir all matches
3
1
W
2
W
1
4
L
D
D
2
3
L
1
4
L
4
L
1
1
D
2
L
Dumbarton all matches
1
3
L
1
2
L
1
L
1
1
D
D
3
2
W
6
W
1
3
L
2
2
D
3
1
W
Stenhousemuir
before this match, at home
1.65points / match
1.53scored / match
1.24conceded / match
8
4
5
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 26:21
Dumbarton
before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.47scored / match
1.71conceded / match
4
6
7
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 25:29
Stenhousemuir at home
away Dumbarton
Per match
1.53
Goals scored
1.47
1.24
Goals conceded
1.71
2.76
Total goals
3.18
9.41
Shots
9.00
4.18
Shots on target
4.06
10.00
Shots faced
10.76
5.41
Corners
4.00
4.88
Corners against
6.41
11.18
Fouls
11.18
2.00
Yellow cards
1.94
0.47
1st-half goals scored
0.59
0.53
1st-half goals conceded
0.71
How often Full Time
47%
Wins
24%
24%
Draws
35%
29%
Losses
41%
88%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
71%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
53%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
35%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
24%
Over 4.5 goals
12%
6%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
53%
Both teams scored
71%
29%
Clean sheets
6%
29%
Failed to score
24%
How often Half Time
24%
Wins
18%
59%
Draws
47%
18%
Losses
35%
47%
Over 0.5 goals
82%
35%
Over 1.5 goals
41%
18%
Over 2.5 goals
6%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stenhousemuir at home
4
W
1
L
1
1
D
4
L
2
1
W
2
W
D
2
3
L
1
4
L
1
1
D
Dumbarton away
4
L
2
1
W
2
L
1
3
L
1
2
L
1
2
L
1
1
D
3
2
W
6
W
2
2
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Stenhousemuir all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.04.25 | Queen of Sth – Stenhousemuir | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 19.04.25 | Stenhousemuir – Inverness C | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 12.04.25 | Arbroath – Stenhousemuir | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 05.04.25 | Stenhousemuir – Alloa | 1–4 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 29.03.25 | Stenhousemuir – Montrose | 2–3 (0–3) | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 22.03.25 | Cove Rangers – Stenhousemuir | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.20 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 15.03.25 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 11.03.25 | Inverness C – Stenhousemuir | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 08.03.25 | Annan Athletic – Stenhousemuir | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.82 | 1.92 |
| 01.03.25 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 1–3 (0–3) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
Dumbarton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.04.25 | Dumbarton – Annan Athletic | 3–1 (1–0) | 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 19.04.25 | Montrose – Dumbarton | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 12.04.25 | Dumbarton – Cove Rangers | 1–3 (0–2) | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 05.04.25 | Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton | 0–6 (0–3) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 29.03.25 | Alloa – Dumbarton | 2–3 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 22.03.25 | Dumbarton – Queen of Sth | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 15.03.25 | Arbroath – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.27 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 08.03.25 | Dumbarton – Inverness C | 0–1 (0–0) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 1.79 | 1.94 |
| 04.03.25 | Dumbarton – Arbroath | 1–2 (1–1) | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.57 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 01.03.25 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 1–3 (0–3) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
Stenhousemuir at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.04.25 | Stenhousemuir – Inverness C | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 05.04.25 | Stenhousemuir – Alloa | 1–4 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 29.03.25 | Stenhousemuir – Montrose | 2–3 (0–3) | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 15.03.25 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 22.02.25 | Stenhousemuir – Arbroath | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.02.25 | Stenhousemuir – Queen of Sth | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 25.01.25 | Stenhousemuir – Cove Rangers | 0–4 (0–3) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.01.25 | Stenhousemuir – Annan Athletic | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 21.12.24 | Stenhousemuir – Inverness C | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 07.12.24 | Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton | 4–0 (2–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
Dumbarton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.04.25 | Montrose – Dumbarton | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 05.04.25 | Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton | 0–6 (0–3) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 29.03.25 | Alloa – Dumbarton | 2–3 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 15.03.25 | Arbroath – Dumbarton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.27 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 22.02.25 | Cove Rangers – Dumbarton | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 08.02.25 | Annan Athletic – Dumbarton | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 25.01.25 | Queen of Sth – Dumbarton | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 04.01.25 | Inverness C – Dumbarton | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 21.12.24 | Montrose – Dumbarton | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.12.24 | Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton | 4–0 (2–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
6 2 3
Stenhousemuir winsDrawsDumbarton wins
11matches
2.73goals / match
55%over 2.5
55%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.03.25SC2 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 1–3 (0–3) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 07.12.24SC2 | Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton | 4–0 (2–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 05.10.24SC2 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 1–3 (1–2) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 30.03.24SC3 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 03.02.24SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 09.12.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.75 | 2.80 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 26.08.23SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton | 2–4 (0–4) | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 01.04.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 1–2 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 28.02.23SC3 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.02.23SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 20.08.22SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton | 1–3 (0–1) | 2.37 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
Scotland League One table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 41 | +16 | 63 |
| 2 | Inverness C | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 38 | +5 | 55 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 58 | 42 | +16 | 54 |
| 4 | Queen of Sth | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 | Alloa | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54 | 45 | +9 | 51 |
| 6 | Stenhousemuir | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 44 | +2 | 50 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Montrose | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 35 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen of Sth | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 21 | +11 | 41 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 36 |
| 3 | Stenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 28 |
| 4 | Inverness C | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Alloa | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | Montrose | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 17 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 18 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 28 | +2 | 27 |
| 3 | Inverness C | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 27 |
| 4 | Alloa | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 26 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 22 |
| 6 | Stenhousemuir | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 7 | Montrose | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
| 10 | Queen of Sth | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
Stenhousemuir Dumbarton
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Dumbarton | 35 | 12 | 23 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 64 | 35 |
| 2 | 1 | Arbroath | 35 | 13 | 22 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 63 |
| 3 | 3 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 14 | 21 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 58 | 42 | 54 |
| 4 | 6 | Stenhousemuir | 35 | 17 | 18 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 44 | 50 |
| 5 | 8 | Montrose | 35 | 17 | 18 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 40 | 47 | 40 |
| 6 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 35 | 17 | 18 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 64 | 36 |
| 7 | 5 | Alloa | 35 | 18 | 17 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54 | 45 | 51 |
| 8 | 4 | Queen of Sth | 35 | 19 | 16 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 54 |
| 9 | 7 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 21 | 14 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 45 | 41 |
| 10 | 2 | Inverness C | 35 | 22 | 13 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 38 | 55 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 17 |
| 2 | 8 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 19 |
| 3 | 1 | Arbroath | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | 3 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | 4 | Queen of Sth | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 21 | 41 |
| 6 | 5 | Alloa | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 7 | 6 | Stenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | 7 | Kelty Hearts | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 19 |
| 9 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 22 |
| 10 | 2 | Inverness C | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arbroath | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 27 |
| 2 | 3 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 11 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 18 | 27 |
| 3 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 38 | 14 |
| 4 | 2 | Inverness C | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 27 |
| 5 | 10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 18 |
| 6 | 6 | Stenhousemuir | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 7 | 5 | Alloa | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 26 |
| 8 | 7 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 22 |
| 9 | 8 | Montrose | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 21 |
| 10 | 4 | Queen of Sth | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
