St Mirren 2–2 Hearts
Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026
Home
4.10
fair 3.02
Draw ✓
3.60
fair 3.87
Away
1.79
fair 2.44
Under 2.5
1.90
fair 2.00
Over 2.5 ✓
1.95
fair 2.00
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Hearts
12
Shots
20
6
Shots on target
8
6
Corners
7
9
Fouls
11
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (55 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.85
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
33%
26%
41%
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
46%
54%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%
0
18%
1
25%
2
22%
3
15%
4
13%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3%
0–1 9.8%
1–2 8.7%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
1.11conceded / match
2
3
4
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 6:10
Hearts
before this match, all matches
2.78points / match
2.44scored / match
0.78conceded / match
8
1
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 22:7
St Mirren all matches
all matches Hearts
Per match
0.67
Goals scored
2.44
1.11
Goals conceded
0.78
1.78
Total goals
3.22
10.89
Shots
15.11
3.00
Shots on target
5.89
12.33
Shots faced
9.22
6.00
Corners
6.11
5.67
Corners against
4.67
12.56
Fouls
12.11
2.22
Yellow cards
2.33
0.33
1st-half goals scored
0.78
0.33
1st-half goals conceded
0.56
How often Full Time
22%
Wins
89%
33%
Draws
11%
44%
Losses
0%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
56%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
22%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
11%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
22%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
11%
44%
Both teams scored
44%
22%
Clean sheets
56%
44%
Failed to score
0%
How often Half Time
22%
Wins
44%
67%
Draws
22%
11%
Losses
33%
44%
Over 0.5 goals
89%
22%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
1
1
D
1
L
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
2
1
W
1
W
2
L
1
L
1
3
L
Hearts all matches
1
W
2
W
3
2
W
3
3
D
2
1
W
2
W
3
W
1
W
3
W
3
1
W
St Mirren
before this match, at home
1.25points / match
0.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
1
2
1
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 2:2
Hearts
before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
4
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 10:3
St Mirren at home
away Hearts
Per match
0.50
Goals scored
2.50
0.50
Goals conceded
0.75
1.00
Total goals
3.25
10.25
Shots
15.25
3.25
Shots on target
5.25
12.00
Shots faced
10.00
5.75
Corners
6.25
4.25
Corners against
5.00
14.00
Fouls
12.00
3.25
Yellow cards
2.25
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.75
0.00
1st-half goals conceded
0.75
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
100%
50%
Draws
0%
25%
Losses
0%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
25%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
0%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
25%
Both teams scored
50%
50%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
Failed to score
0%
How often Half Time
50%
Wins
50%
50%
Draws
0%
0%
Losses
50%
50%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
0%
Over 1.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
2
5
L
5
1
W
3
2
W
2
2
D
1
W
2
2
D
D
1
1
D
1
W
1
L
Hearts away
2
1
W
1
2
L
3
L
D
3
1
W
1
W
3
2
W
2
1
W
2
W
3
W
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.25 | Dundee United – St Mirren | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 18.10.25 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.32 | 3.25 | 2.85 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 04.10.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 27.09.25 | St Mirren – Dundee | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 13.09.25 | Falkirk – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 31.08.25 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 24.08.25 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–1 (1–0) | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.73 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 09.08.25 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 03.08.25 | Celtic – St Mirren | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.17 | 6.50 | 17.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 17.05.25 | Celtic – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.25 | 7.00 | 8.50 | 1.30 | 3.50 |
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.25 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–1 (1–1) | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 18.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.10.25 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.09.25 | Hearts – Falkirk | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 13.09.25 | Rangers – Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 30.08.25 | Livingston – Hearts | 1–2 (1–0) | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 23.08.25 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–3 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 10.08.25 | Dundee United – Hearts | 2–3 (2–1) | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 04.08.25 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 18.05.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.25 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.32 | 3.25 | 2.85 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 27.09.25 | St Mirren – Dundee | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 24.08.25 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–1 (1–0) | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.73 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 09.08.25 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 14.05.25 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 03.05.25 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.63 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.04.25 | St Mirren – Rangers | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 12.04.25 | St Mirren – Ross County | 3–2 (1–1) | 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 29.03.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (2–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.03.25 | St Mirren – Celtic | 2–5 (1–2) | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 13.09.25 | Rangers – Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 30.08.25 | Livingston – Hearts | 1–2 (1–0) | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 10.08.25 | Dundee United – Hearts | 2–3 (2–1) | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 18.05.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 03.05.25 | Ross County – Hearts | 1–3 (1–1) | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 12.04.25 | Motherwell – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 29.03.25 | Celtic – Hearts | 3–0 (3–0) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| 02.03.25 | Hibernian – Hearts | 2–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 23.02.25 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 3 8
St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
14matches
2.64goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.02.25SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 19.10.24SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 21.09.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 15.05.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.04.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 23.12.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.09.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.05.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Celtic | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 17 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rangers | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Dundee | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Livingston | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 | Dundee | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Rangers | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Livingston | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 3 | Celtic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Rangers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Livingston | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 12 | Dundee | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
St Mirren Hearts
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | Falkirk | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 3 | 1 | Hearts | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | 3 | Hibernian | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
| 5 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | Dundee United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | Celtic | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 17 |
| 9 | 10 | Dundee | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | Rangers | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | St Mirren | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | Aberdeen | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Falkirk | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | Hearts | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | 3 | Hibernian | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | Celtic | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | Dundee United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | Rangers | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | Motherwell | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | Dundee | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | Aberdeen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | St Mirren | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | Livingston | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | Hearts | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | 3 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | Dundee United | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | Celtic | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | St Mirren | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | Dundee | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 11 | 5 | Rangers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | Aberdeen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
