Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff – England Championship, 17 Oct 2026

Match facts

Middlesbrough Cardiff

36 Shots 7

12 Shots on target 3

2.76 Expected goals (xG) 0.85

11 Corners 4

9 Fouls 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (120 league matches this season so far).

Result Middlesbrough to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.61

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.34

Home / Draw / Away

49% 23% 28%

MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff

Under / Over 2.5 goals

38% 62%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

22% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.2% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 7.6%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

2.10points / match

2.00scored / match

1.40conceded / match

6 3 1

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 20:14

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

1.60scored / match

1.50conceded / match

2 4 4

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:15

Middlesbrough all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.60

1.40 Goals conceded 1.50

3.40 Total goals 3.10

1.91 xG created 1.94

1.04 xG allowed 1.63

17.40 Shots 18.20

5.60 Shots on target 6.40

11.40 Shots faced 13.00

5.30 Corners 7.50

5.10 Corners against 4.60

10.20 Fouls 10.10

1.20 Yellow cards 1.80

0.70 1st-half goals scored 1.00

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%

30% Draws 40%

10% Losses 40%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

80% Over 1.5 goals 90%

70% Over 2.5 goals 60%

50% Over 3.5 goals 40%

20% Over 4.5 goals 10%

10% Over 5.5 goals 10%

80% Both teams scored 80%

20% Clean sheets 0%

0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 30%

30% Draws 20%

20% Losses 50%

70% Over 0.5 goals 90%

20% Over 1.5 goals 50%

10% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches

2

1

W

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

D

1

W

4

3

W

2

D

2

D

1

W

3

2

W

Cardiff all matches

1

D

2

D

2

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

D

1

L

3

1

W

1

2

L

5

1

W

Middlesbrough before this match, at home

2.60points / match

2.40scored / match

1.40conceded / match

4 1

WonDrawnLost 5 played · 12:7

Cardiff before this match, away

0.20points / match

0.80scored / match

1.80conceded / match

1 4

WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:9

Middlesbrough at home away Cardiff

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 0.80

1.40 Goals conceded 1.80

3.80 Total goals 2.60

1.84 xG created 1.35

1.19 xG allowed 1.87

18.20 Shots 13.60

6.40 Shots on target 5.20

11.60 Shots faced 14.80

6.60 Corners 6.80

4.60 Corners against 5.60

10.80 Fouls 10.60

1.20 Yellow cards 1.80

0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.80 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

80% Wins 0%

20% Draws 20%

0% Losses 80%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

80% Over 1.5 goals 80%

80% Over 2.5 goals 60%

60% Over 3.5 goals 20%

20% Over 4.5 goals 0%

20% Over 5.5 goals 0%

80% Both teams scored 60%

20% Clean sheets 0%

0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%

40% Draws 20%

40% Losses 60%

60% Over 0.5 goals 80%

40% Over 1.5 goals 40%

20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

5

1

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

4

3

W

2

D

1

W

Cardiff away

4

W

1

D

1

D

3

1

W

4

5

L

2

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.10.26	Stoke – Middlesbrough	2–3 (0–0)	3.50	3.50	1.96	1.73	2.10
10.10.26	Middlesbrough – Wolves	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.70	2.85	1.62	2.30
19.09.26	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	2–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.60	2.30	1.67	2.20
15.09.26	Middlesbrough – Millwall	2–2 (0–2)	1.42	4.75	6.50	1.57	2.38
12.09.26	Middlesbrough – Norwich	4–3 (3–1)	1.79	3.90	3.80	1.57	2.38
05.09.26	QPR – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–1)	3.20	3.40	2.15	1.73	2.10
02.09.26	Burnley – Middlesbrough	1–1 (0–1)	2.82	3.40	2.32	1.80	2.00
29.08.26	Middlesbrough – West Brom	3–1 (0–0)	1.71	3.80	4.50	1.88	1.98
22.08.26	Blackburn – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	3.50	3.40	2.01	2.00	1.85
15.08.26	Middlesbrough – Lincoln	2–1 (0–1)	1.30	5.50	8.00	1.67	2.20

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.10.26	Cardiff – Watford	5–1 (4–0)	1.57	4.10	5.00	1.50	2.63
10.10.26	Blackburn – Cardiff	2–1 (2–0)	2.65	3.50	2.40	1.62	2.30
19.09.26	Cardiff – Charlton	3–1 (2–1)	1.79	3.80	4.00	1.67	2.20
12.09.26	Bolton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.57	3.40	2.50	1.62	2.30
08.09.26	Cardiff – Stoke	1–1 (0–1)	1.96	3.60	3.50	1.62	2.30
05.09.26	Portsmouth – Cardiff	2–0 (1–0)	2.32	3.40	2.85	1.73	2.10
02.09.26	QPR – Cardiff	2–1 (1–0)	1.86	3.60	3.75	1.73	2.10
29.08.26	Cardiff – Sheffield United	2–2 (2–2)	2.55	3.50	2.50	1.73	2.10
22.08.26	Derby – Cardiff	2–2 (1–2)	1.91	3.50	3.75	2.03	1.83
17.08.26	Cardiff – Wrexham	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.50	2.82	1.73	2.10

Middlesbrough at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.10.26	Middlesbrough – Wolves	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.70	2.85	1.62	2.30
15.09.26	Middlesbrough – Millwall	2–2 (0–2)	1.42	4.75	6.50	1.57	2.38
12.09.26	Middlesbrough – Norwich	4–3 (3–1)	1.79	3.90	3.80	1.57	2.38
29.08.26	Middlesbrough – West Brom	3–1 (0–0)	1.71	3.80	4.50	1.88	1.98
15.08.26	Middlesbrough – Lincoln	2–1 (0–1)	1.30	5.50	8.00	1.67	2.20
25.04.26	Middlesbrough – Watford	5–1 (2–0)	1.39	4.75	6.50	1.57	2.38
22.04.26	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (1–0)	1.15	6.50	15.00	1.36	3.20
11.04.26	Middlesbrough – Portsmouth	0–1 (0–0)	1.49	4.00	6.25	1.73	2.10
03.04.26	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	1.66	3.90	4.50	1.73	2.10
14.03.26	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	1.45	4.33	6.50	1.67	2.20

Cardiff away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.10.26	Blackburn – Cardiff	2–1 (2–0)	2.65	3.50	2.40	1.62	2.30
12.09.26	Bolton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.57	3.40	2.50	1.62	2.30
05.09.26	Portsmouth – Cardiff	2–0 (1–0)	2.32	3.40	2.85	1.73	2.10
02.09.26	QPR – Cardiff	2–1 (1–0)	1.86	3.60	3.75	1.73	2.10
22.08.26	Derby – Cardiff	2–2 (1–2)	1.91	3.50	3.75	2.03	1.83
02.05.26E2	Mansfield – Cardiff	5–4 (3–0)	3.60	3.90	1.81	1.53	2.40
18.04.26E2	Reading – Cardiff	1–3 (0–1)	4.75	4.00	1.57	1.62	2.25
14.04.26E2	Huddersfield – Cardiff	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.60	2.15	1.73	2.08
06.04.26E2	Peterboro – Cardiff	1–1 (0–0)	4.00	3.80	1.68	1.50	2.50
14.03.26E2	Exeter – Cardiff	0–4 (0–2)	4.20	3.60	1.76	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

6 1 1

Middlesbrough winsDrawsCardiff wins

8matches

3.00goals / match

38%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.25E1	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
31.08.24E1	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.85	1.90	1.95
27.04.24E1	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	1–4 (0–1)	3.60	3.60	2.00	1.93	1.93
03.10.23E1	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.75	4.00	1.80	2.00
11.02.23E1	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.73
13.09.22E1	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	2–3 (0–3)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.10	1.72
27.04.22E1	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	2–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	2.05	1.80
23.10.21E1	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	10	7	2	1	16	7	+9	23
2	Middlesbrough	10	6	3	1	20	14	+6	21
3	Southampton	10	6	2	2	21	10	+11	20
4	West Ham	10	5	4	1	29	12	+17	19
5	Birmingham	10	4	5	1	17	11	+6	17
6	QPR	10	4	5	1	15	9	+6	17
7	Wolves	10	5	2	3	18	15	+3	17
8	West Brom	10	5	2	3	12	10	+2	17
9	Stoke	10	5	1	4	17	16	+1	16
10	Blackburn	10	4	3	3	15	13	+2	15
11	Millwall	10	4	2	4	16	16	0	14
12	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	12	14	-2	14
13	Charlton	10	3	5	2	10	13	-3	14
14	Bolton	10	4	1	5	15	18	-3	13
15	Sheffield United	10	3	3	4	14	14	0	12
16	Portsmouth	9	3	2	4	12	13	-1	11
17	Wrexham	10	2	5	3	11	15	-4	11
18	Lincoln	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10	11
19	Cardiff	10	2	4	4	16	15	+1	10
20	Norwich	10	3	0	7	17	20	-3	9
21	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16	21	-5	8
22	Watford	10	2	2	6	8	19	-11	8
23	Derby	10	1	3	6	9	19	-10	6
24	Preston	10	1	1	8	8	20	-12	4

Promotion to Premier League
Play-off semi-finals
Play-off quarter-finals
Relegation to League One

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Southampton	5	5	0	0	16	4	+12	15
2	Middlesbrough	5	4	1	0	12	7	+5	13
3	Swansea	5	3	2	0	7	2	+5	11
4	West Ham	5	3	1	1	15	5	+10	10
5	Cardiff	5	2	3	0	12	6	+6	9
6	Stoke	5	3	0	2	10	6	+4	9
7	Blackburn	5	3	0	2	9	7	+2	9
8	Charlton	5	2	3	0	4	2	+2	9
9	QPR	5	2	2	1	8	5	+3	8
10	West Brom	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
11	Birmingham	5	1	4	0	11	7	+4	7
12	Millwall	5	2	1	2	9	6	+3	7
13	Wolves	4	2	1	1	8	6	+2	7
14	Sheffield United	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
15	Portsmouth	5	2	1	2	8	9	-1	7
16	Watford	5	2	1	2	6	9	-3	7
17	Norwich	5	2	0	3	10	9	+1	6
18	Bolton	5	2	0	3	6	7	-1	6
19	Bristol City	5	2	0	3	3	5	-2	6
20	Wrexham	5	1	2	2	6	7	-1	5
21	Burnley	6	0	4	2	8	10	-2	4
22	Preston	5	1	0	4	4	9	-5	3
23	Derby	5	0	2	3	4	9	-5	2
24	Lincoln	5	0	2	3	3	12	-9	2

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	5	4	0	1	9	5	+4	12
2	Birmingham	5	3	1	1	6	4	+2	10
3	Wolves	6	3	1	2	10	9	+1	10
4	West Ham	5	2	3	0	14	7	+7	9
5	QPR	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
6	West Brom	5	3	0	2	6	6	0	9
7	Lincoln	5	3	0	2	4	5	-1	9
8	Middlesbrough	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
9	Bristol City	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Bolton	5	2	1	2	9	11	-2	7
11	Millwall	5	2	1	2	7	10	-3	7
12	Stoke	5	2	1	2	7	10	-3	7
13	Blackburn	5	1	3	1	6	6	0	6
14	Wrexham	5	1	3	1	5	8	-3	6
15	Sheffield United	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
16	Southampton	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
17	Charlton	5	1	2	2	6	11	-5	5
18	Portsmouth	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4
19	Burnley	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
20	Derby	5	1	1	3	5	10	-5	4
21	Norwich	5	1	0	4	7	11	-4	3
22	Cardiff	5	0	1	4	4	9	-5	1
23	Preston	5	0	1	4	4	11	-7	1
24	Watford	5	0	1	4	2	10	-8	1

Middlesbrough Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	West Ham	10	2	8	2.9	1.2	5	4	1	29	12	19
2	9	Stoke	10	2	8	1.7	1.6	5	1	4	17	16	16
3	10	Blackburn	10	2	8	1.5	1.3	4	3	3	15	13	15
4	20	Norwich	10	2	8	1.7	2.0	3	0	7	17	20	9
5	21	Burnley	11	3	8	1.5	1.9	1	5	5	16	21	8
6	2	Middlesbrough	10	3	7	2.0	1.4	6	3	1	20	14	21
7	5	Birmingham	10	3	7	1.7	1.1	4	5	1	17	11	17
8	7	Wolves	10	3	7	1.8	1.5	5	2	3	18	15	17
9	11	Millwall	10	3	7	1.6	1.6	4	2	4	16	16	14
10	14	Bolton	10	3	7	1.5	1.8	4	1	5	15	18	13
11	15	Sheffield United	10	3	7	1.4	1.4	3	3	4	14	14	12
12	24	Preston	10	3	7	0.8	2.0	1	1	8	8	20	4
13	1	Swansea	10	4	6	1.6	0.7	7	2	1	16	7	23
14	3	Southampton	10	4	6	2.1	1.0	6	2	2	21	10	20
15	19	Cardiff	10	4	6	1.6	1.5	2	4	4	16	15	10
16	23	Derby	10	4	6	0.9	1.9	1	3	6	9	19	6
17	6	QPR	10	5	5	1.5	0.9	4	5	1	15	9	17
18	12	Bristol City	10	5	5	1.2	1.4	4	2	4	12	14	14
19	13	Charlton	10	5	5	1.0	1.3	3	5	2	10	13	14
20	16	Portsmouth	9	4	5	1.3	1.4	3	2	4	12	13	11
21	17	Wrexham	10	5	5	1.1	1.5	2	5	3	11	15	11
22	18	Lincoln	10	5	5	0.7	1.7	3	2	5	7	17	11
23	22	Watford	10	5	5	0.8	1.9	2	2	6	8	19	8
24	8	West Brom	10	6	4	1.2	1.0	5	2	3	12	10	17

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Blackburn	5	0	5	1.8	1.4	3	0	2	9	7	9
2	2	Middlesbrough	5	1	4	2.4	1.4	4	1	0	12	7	13
3	3	Southampton	5	1	4	3.2	0.8	5	0	0	16	4	15
4	4	West Ham	5	1	4	3.0	1.0	3	1	1	15	5	10
5	5	Birmingham	5	1	4	2.2	1.4	1	4	0	11	7	7
6	9	Stoke	5	1	4	2.0	1.2	3	0	2	10	6	9
7	11	Millwall	5	1	4	1.8	1.2	2	1	2	9	6	7
8	20	Norwich	5	1	4	2.0	1.8	2	0	3	10	9	6
9	21	Burnley	6	2	4	1.3	1.7	0	4	2	8	10	4
10	22	Watford	5	1	4	1.2	1.8	2	1	2	6	9	7
11	6	QPR	5	2	3	1.6	1.0	2	2	1	8	5	8
12	7	Wolves	4	1	3	2.0	1.5	2	1	1	8	6	7
13	14	Bolton	5	2	3	1.2	1.4	2	0	3	6	7	6
14	15	Sheffield United	5	2	3	1.4	1.2	2	1	2	7	6	7
15	16	Portsmouth	5	2	3	1.6	1.8	2	1	2	8	9	7
16	17	Wrexham	5	2	3	1.2	1.4	1	2	2	6	7	5
17	18	Lincoln	5	2	3	0.6	2.4	0	2	3	3	12	2
18	19	Cardiff	5	2	3	2.4	1.2	2	3	0	12	6	9
19	23	Derby	5	2	3	0.8	1.8	0	2	3	4	9	2
20	24	Preston	5	2	3	0.8	1.8	1	0	4	4	9	3
21	1	Swansea	5	3	2	1.4	0.4	3	2	0	7	2	11
22	8	West Brom	5	4	1	1.2	0.8	2	2	1	6	4	8
23	12	Bristol City	5	4	1	0.6	1.0	2	0	3	3	5	6
24	13	Charlton	5	4	1	0.8	0.4	2	3	0	4	2	9

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Swansea	5	1	4	1.8	1.0	4	0	1	9	5	12
2	4	West Ham	5	1	4	2.8	1.4	2	3	0	14	7	9
3	7	Wolves	6	2	4	1.7	1.5	3	1	2	10	9	10
4	9	Stoke	5	1	4	1.4	2.0	2	1	2	7	10	7
5	12	Bristol City	5	1	4	1.8	1.8	2	2	1	9	9	8
6	13	Charlton	5	1	4	1.2	2.2	1	2	2	6	11	5
7	14	Bolton	5	1	4	1.8	2.2	2	1	2	9	11	7
8	15	Sheffield United	5	1	4	1.4	1.6	1	2	2	7	8	5
9	20	Norwich	5	1	4	1.4	2.2	1	0	4	7	11	3
10	21	Burnley	5	1	4	1.6	2.2	1	1	3	8	11	4
11	24	Preston	5	1	4	0.8	2.2	0	1	4	4	11	1
12	2	Middlesbrough	5	2	3	1.6	1.4	2	2	1	8	7	8
13	5	Birmingham	5	2	3	1.2	0.8	3	1	1	6	4	10
14	8	West Brom	5	2	3	1.2	1.2	3	0	2	6	6	9
15	10	Blackburn	5	2	3	1.2	1.2	1	3	1	6	6	6
16	11	Millwall	5	2	3	1.4	2.0	2	1	2	7	10	7
17	19	Cardiff	5	2	3	0.8	1.8	0	1	4	4	9	1
18	23	Derby	5	2	3	1.0	2.0	1	1	3	5	10	4
19	3	Southampton	5	3	2	1.0	1.2	1	2	2	5	6	5
20	6	QPR	5	3	2	1.4	0.8	2	3	0	7	4	9
21	16	Portsmouth	4	2	2	1.0	1.0	1	1	2	4	4	4
22	17	Wrexham	5	3	2	1.0	1.6	1	3	1	5	8	6
23	18	Lincoln	5	3	2	0.8	1.0	3	0	2	4	5	9
24	22	Watford	5	4	1	0.4	2.0	0	1	4	2	10	1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.