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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Alverca 1–4 Sp Lisbon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 10.00 fair 5.41
Draw 5.00 fair 4.54
Away ✓ 1.27 fair 1.68
Under 2.5 2.25 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Alverca Sp Lisbon
12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 9
3 Corners 1
13 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (239 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 0.95 – 1.90
Home / Draw / Away
AlvercaDrawSp Lisbon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 11% 1–1 10.5% 0–2 10.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Alverca before this match, all matches
1.12points / match
1.00scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 26:41
Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.48points / match
2.56scored / match
0.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 64:14
Alverca all matches all matches Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.56
1.58 Goals conceded 0.56
2.58 Total goals 3.12
9.69 Shots 18.00
3.50 Shots on target 6.92
13.77 Shots faced 8.16
4.08 Corners 7.20
4.31 Corners against 2.64
12.58 Fouls 12.60
2.38 Yellow cards 2.32
0.38 1st-half goals scored 1.08
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

27% Wins 76%
31% Draws 20%
42% Losses 4%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 92%
50% Over 2.5 goals 68%
23% Over 3.5 goals 28%
8% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
54% Both teams scored 48%
23% Clean sheets 52%
27% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 56%
50% Draws 40%
31% Losses 4%
65% Over 0.5 goals 72%
38% Over 1.5 goals 40%
12% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca all matches
Sp Lisbon all matches
Alverca before this match, at home
1.46points / match
0.85scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:16
Sp Lisbon before this match, away
2.38points / match
2.15scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 28:10
Alverca at home away Sp Lisbon

Per match

0.85 Goals scored 2.15
1.23 Goals conceded 0.77
2.08 Total goals 2.92
10.92 Shots 16.31
3.69 Shots on target 6.15
12.46 Shots faced 9.31
4.38 Corners 7.54
2.77 Corners against 3.23
13.08 Fouls 13.08
2.00 Yellow cards 3.08
0.23 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 69%
31% Draws 31%
31% Losses 0%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 92%
38% Over 2.5 goals 62%
8% Over 3.5 goals 23%
0% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 69%
38% Clean sheets 31%
31% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 54%
38% Draws 38%
38% Losses 8%
62% Over 0.5 goals 85%
23% Over 1.5 goals 38%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca at home
Sp Lisbon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Gil Vicente – Alverca 2–2 (1–0) 1.663.705.25 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
28.02.26 Guimaraes – Alverca 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.604.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Alverca – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.822.752.70 2.70 1.44
13.02.26 Tondela – Alverca 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.35 1.57
08.02.26 Benfica – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.156.2517.00 1.65 2.20
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
25.01.26 Sp Braga – Alverca 5–0 (4–0) 1.374.508.00 1.85 1.95
17.01.26 Alverca – Moreirense 2–1 (0–0) 2.702.822.75 2.60 1.48
04.01.26 Alverca – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.70

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.26 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (1–2) 3.403.302.10 2.00 1.80
27.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–0 (2–0) 1.157.5012.00 1.30 3.50
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
15.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 1.255.0011.00 1.67 2.15
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88

Alverca at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
21.02.26 Alverca – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.822.752.70 2.70 1.44
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
17.01.26 Alverca – Moreirense 2–1 (0–0) 2.702.822.75 2.60 1.48
04.01.26 Alverca – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.70
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57
28.09.25 Alverca – Guimaraes 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.15 2.15 1.67

Sp Lisbon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.26 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (1–2) 3.403.302.10 2.00 1.80
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
05.12.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.052.65 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Alverca winsDrawsSp Lisbon wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 26 22 3 1 52 10 +42 69 DWWWDW
2 Benfica 27 19 8 0 58 17 +41 65 WWWDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 25 19 5 1 64 14 +50 62 WDWWWD
4 Sp Braga 25 13 7 5 52 25 +27 46 WWLWWD
5 Famalicao 27 13 6 8 33 22 +11 45 LWDWWW
6 Gil Vicente 27 11 9 7 39 28 +11 42 WLLDDL
7 Estoril 27 10 7 10 48 44 +4 37 LWLDWL
8 Moreirense 27 10 5 12 31 39 -8 35 WLDDLL
9 Guimaraes 27 9 5 13 29 42 -13 32 WLDLLL
10 Rio Ave 27 7 9 11 28 46 -18 30 LLDWWW
11 Alverca 26 7 8 11 26 41 -15 29 LDDDDD
12 Arouca 27 8 5 14 34 55 -21 29 LWLLLW
13 Santa Clara 27 7 7 13 24 31 -7 28 LDDWWW
14 Estrela 27 6 10 11 33 45 -12 28 LLDDLW
15 Casa Pia 26 5 9 12 26 48 -22 24 DWLDDL
16 Nacional 27 5 7 15 29 39 -10 22 LLLDLL
17 Tondela 26 4 8 14 19 39 -20 20 DDWDLD
18 AVS 27 1 8 18 18 58 -40 11 WLDDLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 13 11 2 0 27 4 +23 35 WWDWWW
2 Benfica 14 9 5 0 33 10 +23 32 WWWWDW
3 Sp Lisbon 12 10 1 1 36 4 +32 31 WWWWWW
4 Famalicao 14 8 2 4 23 9 +14 26 LWWWWW
5 Sp Braga 12 7 3 2 27 11 +16 24 WDWWWD
6 Gil Vicente 13 7 3 3 22 12 +10 24 DWWWLD
7 Estoril 14 6 5 3 27 19 +8 23 WWDWDL
8 Guimaraes 14 6 4 4 19 18 +1 22 WLWWDL
9 Moreirense 13 6 2 5 16 18 -2 20 WWLLDL
10 Alverca 13 5 4 4 11 16 -5 19 LWWDDD
11 Estrela 14 4 5 5 20 21 -1 17 DLWLDW
12 Santa Clara 14 5 2 7 13 14 -1 17 LLLLWW
13 Arouca 13 4 3 6 18 25 -7 15 WDLWWL
14 Rio Ave 13 3 4 6 13 21 -8 13 WLLLDW
15 Casa Pia 12 2 6 4 16 22 -6 12 DDDWWD
16 Nacional 13 3 2 8 17 21 -4 11 DWDLLL
17 Tondela 14 1 6 7 9 17 -8 9 LDDDLD
18 AVS 14 1 4 9 10 24 -14 7 LLLWDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 13 11 1 1 25 6 +19 34 WWWLWD
2 Benfica 13 10 3 0 25 7 +18 33 DWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 13 9 4 0 28 10 +18 31 WDWDWD
4 Sp Braga 13 6 4 3 25 14 +11 22 LDWWLW
5 Famalicao 13 5 4 4 10 13 -3 19 LWLLDW
6 Gil Vicente 14 4 6 4 17 16 +1 18 DLWLDL
7 Rio Ave 14 4 5 5 15 25 -10 17 LLLLWW
8 Moreirense 14 4 3 7 15 21 -6 15 WLLWDL
9 Estoril 13 4 2 7 21 25 -4 14 LWWLLW
10 Arouca 14 4 2 8 16 30 -14 14 WWLLLW
11 Casa Pia 14 3 3 8 10 26 -16 12 LLDLDL
12 Nacional 14 2 5 7 12 18 -6 11 LLLLDL
13 Santa Clara 13 2 5 6 11 17 -6 11 DLLDDW
14 Estrela 13 2 5 6 13 24 -11 11 WLDLDL
15 Tondela 12 3 2 7 10 22 -12 11 WLLLDW
16 Alverca 13 2 4 7 15 25 -10 10 LLLDDD
17 Guimaraes 13 3 1 9 10 24 -14 10 DLLLLL
18 AVS 13 0 4 9 8 34 -26 4 LDLLDD

Alverca   Sp Lisbon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 27 8 19 2.1 0.6 19 8 0 58 17 65 OOOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 25 7 18 2.1 1.0 13 7 5 52 25 46 OOOOOO
3 7 Estoril 27 9 18 1.8 1.6 10 7 10 48 44 37 OOOUUO
4 12 Arouca 27 9 18 1.3 2.0 8 5 14 34 55 29 OOOUOU
5 3 Sp Lisbon 25 8 17 2.6 0.6 19 5 1 64 14 62 OUUOOO
6 10 Rio Ave 27 10 17 1.0 1.7 7 9 11 28 46 30 OUUUOO
7 18 AVS 27 11 16 0.7 2.1 1 8 18 18 58 11 OOUUUU
8 8 Moreirense 27 12 15 1.1 1.4 10 5 12 31 39 35 OOUUOU
9 14 Estrela 27 12 15 1.2 1.7 6 10 11 33 45 28 OUUOOO
10 1 Porto 26 12 14 2.0 0.4 22 3 1 52 10 69 UUUOOO
11 6 Gil Vicente 27 14 13 1.4 1.0 11 9 7 39 28 42 OOOOOU
12 9 Guimaraes 27 14 13 1.1 1.6 9 5 13 29 42 32 OOUUOO
13 11 Alverca 26 13 13 1.0 1.6 7 8 11 26 41 29 OUUUUO
14 15 Casa Pia 26 13 13 1.0 1.8 5 9 12 26 48 24 UOUUUO
15 16 Nacional 27 14 13 1.1 1.4 5 7 15 29 39 22 UOOUUU
16 17 Tondela 26 13 13 0.7 1.5 4 8 14 19 39 20 OUUOUU
17 5 Famalicao 27 17 10 1.2 0.8 13 6 8 33 22 45 UUUUOU
18 13 Santa Clara 27 18 9 0.9 1.1 7 7 13 24 31 28 OUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 14 4 10 2.4 0.7 9 5 0 33 10 32 OOOOOO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 12 3 9 3.0 0.3 10 1 1 36 4 31 OOOOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 12 3 9 2.2 0.9 7 3 2 27 11 24 UOOOOO
4 12 Arouca 13 4 9 1.4 1.9 4 3 6 18 25 15 UOOOOO
5 7 Estoril 14 6 8 1.9 1.4 6 5 3 27 19 23 OOOOUO
6 8 Moreirense 13 5 8 1.2 1.4 6 2 5 16 18 20 UUOOUU
7 9 Guimaraes 14 6 8 1.4 1.3 6 4 4 19 18 22 OUUOUO
8 10 Rio Ave 13 5 8 1.0 1.6 3 4 6 13 21 13 OUOOUO
9 14 Estrela 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 4 5 5 20 21 17 OOUUOO
10 16 Nacional 13 5 8 1.3 1.6 3 2 8 17 21 11 OOUUOU
11 1 Porto 13 6 7 2.1 0.3 11 2 0 27 4 35 UOUUOO
12 5 Famalicao 14 7 7 1.6 0.6 8 2 4 23 9 26 OOOUUU
13 18 AVS 14 7 7 0.7 1.7 1 4 9 10 24 7 UUOOUU
14 6 Gil Vicente 13 7 6 1.7 0.9 7 3 3 22 12 24 UOOOOO
15 11 Alverca 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 5 4 4 11 16 19 OUOUUU
16 13 Santa Clara 14 9 5 0.9 1.0 5 2 7 13 14 17 UUOOUU
17 15 Casa Pia 12 7 5 1.3 1.8 2 6 4 16 22 12 UUOOOU
18 17 Tondela 14 9 5 0.6 1.2 1 6 7 9 17 9 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 13 3 10 1.6 1.9 4 2 7 21 25 14 OOOOOU
2 2 Benfica 13 4 9 1.9 0.5 10 3 0 25 7 33 OUUOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 13 4 9 1.9 1.1 6 4 3 25 14 22 UOUOOO
4 10 Rio Ave 14 5 9 1.1 1.8 4 5 5 15 25 17 OOOUUO
5 12 Arouca 14 5 9 1.1 2.1 4 2 8 16 30 14 UOOOUU
6 18 AVS 13 4 9 0.6 2.6 0 4 9 8 34 4 UOOOUU
7 3 Sp Lisbon 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 28 10 31 OUOUOO
8 11 Alverca 13 5 8 1.2 1.9 2 4 7 15 25 10 OOOUUO
9 15 Casa Pia 14 6 8 0.7 1.9 3 3 8 10 26 12 OOUUUO
10 17 Tondela 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 3 2 7 10 22 11 UOUOOU
11 1 Porto 13 6 7 1.9 0.5 11 1 1 25 6 34 OUUOUO
12 6 Gil Vicente 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 4 6 4 17 16 18 OOOOOU
13 8 Moreirense 14 7 7 1.1 1.5 4 3 7 15 21 15 UOUOUO
14 14 Estrela 13 6 7 1.0 1.8 2 5 6 13 24 11 OOUOUO
15 9 Guimaraes 13 8 5 0.8 1.8 3 1 9 10 24 10 UOOOUO
16 16 Nacional 14 9 5 0.9 1.3 2 5 7 12 18 11 OOOOUU
17 13 Santa Clara 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 2 5 6 11 17 11 OUUUOU
18 5 Famalicao 13 10 3 0.8 1.0 5 4 4 10 13 19 UUOUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10