Hearts 5–0 St Mirren – Scotland Premiership, 10 Oct 2026

Match facts

Hearts St Mirren

18 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

3.44 Expected goals (xG) 0.68

6 Corners 2

16 Fouls 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (42 league matches this season so far).

Result Hearts to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.80

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.21

Home / Draw / Away

46% 25% 29%

HeartsDrawSt Mirren

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Hearts before this match, all matches

1.86points / match

2.00scored / match

1.14conceded / match

4 1 2

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:8

St Mirren before this match, all matches

1.43points / match

1.14scored / match

1.29conceded / match

3 1 3

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:9

Hearts all matches all matches St Mirren

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.14

1.14 Goals conceded 1.29

3.14 Total goals 2.43

1.69 xG created 1.44

1.26 xG allowed 1.57

16.29 Shots 14.29

5.29 Shots on target 3.86

9.71 Shots faced 14.86

7.57 Corners 4.57

3.43 Corners against 7.43

12.71 Fouls 12.57

1.43 Yellow cards 2.43

1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.86

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

57% Wins 43%

14% Draws 14%

29% Losses 43%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 57%

86% Over 2.5 goals 43%

29% Over 3.5 goals 14%

0% Over 4.5 goals 14%

0% Over 5.5 goals 14%

86% Both teams scored 29%

14% Clean sheets 43%

0% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 57%

14% Draws 29%

29% Losses 14%

100% Over 0.5 goals 71%

57% Over 1.5 goals 29%

0% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts all matches

1

D

3

W

1

3

L

1

2

L

4

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

St Mirren all matches

3

L

2

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

3

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

L

3

L

Hearts before this match, at home

3.00points / match

2.67scored / match

0.67conceded / match

3

WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:2

St Mirren before this match, away

2.00points / match

1.00scored / match

0.33conceded / match

2 1

WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:1

Hearts at home away St Mirren

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 1.00

0.67 Goals conceded 0.33

3.33 Total goals 1.33

1.89 xG created 1.28

0.74 xG allowed 1.09

18.33 Shots 11.67

7.00 Shots on target 2.67

7.67 Shots faced 12.33

9.67 Corners 3.33

2.67 Corners against 8.67

11.00 Fouls 14.67

1.00 Yellow cards 2.33

1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 67%

0% Draws 0%

0% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 33%

100% Over 2.5 goals 0%

33% Over 3.5 goals 0%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 0%

33% Clean sheets 67%

0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 67%

0% Draws 33%

33% Losses 0%

100% Over 0.5 goals 67%

67% Over 1.5 goals 0%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts at home

1

W

1

W

1

W

1

W

3

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

4

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

St Mirren away

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

L

2

W

2

W

1

W

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Hearts all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.09.26	Kilmarnock – Hearts	1–1 (1–0)	4.75	4.10	1.61	1.57	2.38
15.09.26	Falkirk – Hearts	2–1 (1–1)	3.80	3.60	1.86	1.73	2.10
06.09.26	Hearts – Dundee	2–1 (0–1)	1.46	4.10	6.25	1.57	2.38
03.09.26	Hibernian – Hearts	1–3 (0–2)	2.45	3.50	2.65	1.88	1.98
29.08.26	Hearts – St Johnstone	2–1 (2–0)	1.68	3.75	4.50	1.73	2.10
09.08.26	Hearts – Dundee United	4–0 (2–0)	1.57	4.33	4.75	1.73	2.10
01.08.26	Aberdeen – Hearts	2–1 (0–1)	3.20	3.40	2.15	1.73	2.10
16.05.26	Celtic – Hearts	3–1 (1–1)	1.56	4.20	5.00	1.57	2.38
13.05.26	Hearts – Falkirk	3–0 (2–0)	1.41	4.75	6.50	1.67	2.20
09.05.26	Motherwell – Hearts	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.50	2.40	1.88	1.98

St Mirren all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.09.26	St Mirren – Dundee United	0–3 (0–3)	2.30	3.60	2.82	1.67	2.20
09.09.26	Rangers – St Mirren	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	5.50	8.00	1.44	2.75
05.09.26	St Mirren – Celtic	1–2 (1–0)	6.25	4.33	1.45	1.44	2.75
02.09.26	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.40	2.40	1.83	2.03
30.08.26	St Mirren – Motherwell	3–3 (3–2)	2.45	3.30	2.70	2.00	1.85
08.08.26	St Mirren – St Johnstone	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.10	1.90	1.95
01.08.26	Falkirk – St Mirren	0–2 (0–1)	1.96	3.60	3.50	1.83	2.03
17.05.26	St Mirren – Dundee United	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.10	1.80	2.00
12.05.26	Aberdeen – St Mirren	0–2 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.10	1.91	1.91
09.05.26	St Mirren – Kilmarnock	0–3 (0–1)	1.91	3.50	3.70	1.85	2.00

Hearts at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.09.26	Hearts – Dundee	2–1 (0–1)	1.46	4.10	6.25	1.57	2.38
29.08.26	Hearts – St Johnstone	2–1 (2–0)	1.68	3.75	4.50	1.73	2.10
09.08.26	Hearts – Dundee United	4–0 (2–0)	1.57	4.33	4.75	1.73	2.10
13.05.26	Hearts – Falkirk	3–0 (2–0)	1.41	4.75	6.50	1.67	2.20
04.05.26	Hearts – Rangers	2–1 (0–1)	2.65	3.60	2.40	1.73	2.10
11.04.26	Hearts – Motherwell	3–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.00	1.88	1.98
21.03.26	Hearts – Dundee	1–0 (0–0)	1.39	4.75	6.50	1.80	2.00
28.02.26	Hearts – Aberdeen	1–0 (1–0)	1.41	4.20	8.00	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Hearts – Falkirk	1–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.60	5.50	1.88	1.98
10.02.26	Hearts – Hibernian	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85

St Mirren away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.09.26	Rangers – St Mirren	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	5.50	8.00	1.44	2.75
02.09.26	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.40	2.40	1.83	2.03
01.08.26	Falkirk – St Mirren	0–2 (0–1)	1.96	3.60	3.50	1.83	2.03
12.05.26	Aberdeen – St Mirren	0–2 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.10	1.91	1.91
02.05.26	Dundee – St Mirren	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.25	2.75	1.91	1.91
11.04.26	Celtic – St Mirren	1–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.25	8.00	1.44	2.75
21.03.26	Falkirk – St Mirren	1–2 (1–1)	1.81	3.50	4.20	1.91	1.91
03.03.26	Dundee United – St Mirren	2–1 (1–0)	2.32	3.25	2.85	2.10	1.73
28.02.26	Livingston – St Mirren	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.91	1.91
14.02.26	Hibernian – St Mirren	2–0 (1–0)	1.81	3.50	4.10	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

9 4 4

Hearts winsDrawsSt Mirren wins

17matches

2.59goals / match

47%over 2.5

47%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.26SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	1–0 (0–0)	3.90	3.50	1.86	2.05	1.80
14.01.26SC0	Hearts – St Mirren	2–0 (0–0)	1.41	4.10	7.50	1.88	1.98
29.10.25SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	2–2 (1–1)	4.10	3.60	1.79	1.95	1.90
26.02.25SC0	Hearts – St Mirren	3–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.75	4.20	1.92	1.82
19.10.24SC0	Hearts – St Mirren	4–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.20	1.88	1.98
21.09.24SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	2–1 (2–1)	2.80	3.40	2.45	1.95	1.90
15.05.24SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	2–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.20	2.63	2.00	1.85
06.04.24SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	1–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.10	2.60	2.10	1.70
23.12.23SC0	Hearts – St Mirren	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.15	1.67
23.09.23SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.73
13.05.23SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	2–2 (2–0)	2.63	3.25	2.70	2.00	1.85
08.04.23SC0	Hearts – St Mirren	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.50	1.90	1.95
13.01.23SC0	Hearts – St Mirren	1–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	1.85	2.00
07.01.23SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.30	2.50	1.90	1.95
26.02.22SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	0–2 (0–0)	3.10	3.20	2.40	2.10	1.72
27.11.21SC0	Hearts – St Mirren	2–0 (0–0)	1.72	3.75	5.00	2.00	1.85
07.08.21SC0	St Mirren – Hearts	1–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.20	2.37	2.10	1.72

Scotland Premiership table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Hearts	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	St Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	St Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee United	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Champions League – 2nd qualifying round
Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
Relegation play-off
Relegation to Championship

Scottish Cup winners qualify for the Europa League, so places can move down the table. After 33 rounds the league splits into top six and bottom six.

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	8	2	+6	9
2	Celtic	4	3	0	1	6	2	+4	9
3	Dundee	4	2	1	1	6	4	+2	7
4	St Johnstone	4	2	1	1	7	6	+1	7
5	Rangers	3	2	0	1	3	2	+1	6
6	Aberdeen	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
7	Motherwell	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4
8	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	5	8	-3	4
9	Falkirk	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3
10	Dundee United	3	0	2	1	2	4	-2	2
11	Hibernian	4	0	1	3	3	7	-4	1
12	Kilmarnock	4	0	1	3	2	11	-9	1

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rangers	4	3	1	0	5	2	+3	10
2	Celtic	3	3	0	0	8	2	+6	9
3	St Mirren	3	2	0	1	3	1	+2	6
4	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	5	4	+1	6
5	Dundee United	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6
6	Hearts	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4
7	Kilmarnock	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4
8	Motherwell	4	1	1	2	6	7	-1	4
9	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	4
10	Dundee	3	1	0	2	3	3	0	3
11	Falkirk	4	0	3	1	3	4	-1	3
12	St Johnstone	3	0	1	2	2	4	-2	1

Hearts St Mirren

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Hearts	7	1	6	2.0	1.1	4	1	2	14	8	13
2	9	Motherwell	7	2	5	1.3	1.6	2	2	3	9	11	8
3	10	Hibernian	7	2	5	1.1	1.6	2	1	4	8	11	7
4	1	Celtic	7	3	4	2.0	0.6	6	0	1	14	4	18
5	8	Dundee United	7	3	4	1.3	1.6	2	2	3	9	11	8
6	4	Dundee	7	4	3	1.3	1.0	3	1	3	9	7	10
7	5	St Mirren	7	4	3	1.1	1.3	3	1	3	8	9	10
8	6	St Johnstone	7	4	3	1.3	1.4	2	2	3	9	10	8
9	7	Aberdeen	7	4	3	1.0	1.1	2	2	3	7	8	8
10	11	Falkirk	7	4	3	0.9	1.3	1	3	3	6	9	6
11	12	Kilmarnock	7	4	3	0.9	2.1	1	2	4	6	15	5
12	2	Rangers	7	5	2	1.1	0.6	5	1	1	8	4	16

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Hearts	3	0	3	2.7	0.7	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	5	St Mirren	4	1	3	1.2	2.0	1	1	2	5	8	4
3	1	Celtic	4	2	2	1.5	0.5	3	0	1	6	2	9
4	4	Dundee	4	2	2	1.5	1.0	2	1	1	6	4	7
5	6	St Johnstone	4	2	2	1.8	1.5	2	1	1	7	6	7
6	9	Motherwell	3	1	2	1.0	1.3	1	1	1	3	4	4
7	10	Hibernian	4	2	2	0.8	1.8	0	1	3	3	7	1
8	11	Falkirk	3	1	2	1.0	1.7	1	0	2	3	5	3
9	12	Kilmarnock	4	2	2	0.5	2.8	0	1	3	2	11	1
10	2	Rangers	3	2	1	1.0	0.7	2	0	1	3	2	6
11	7	Aberdeen	3	2	1	0.7	0.7	1	1	1	2	2	4
12	8	Dundee United	3	3	0	0.7	1.3	0	2	1	2	4	2

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Dundee United	4	0	4	1.8	1.8	2	0	2	7	7	6
2	3	Hearts	4	1	3	1.5	1.5	1	1	2	6	6	4
3	9	Motherwell	4	1	3	1.5	1.8	1	1	2	6	7	4
4	10	Hibernian	3	0	3	1.7	1.3	2	0	1	5	4	6
5	1	Celtic	3	1	2	2.7	0.7	3	0	0	8	2	9
6	7	Aberdeen	4	2	2	1.2	1.5	1	1	2	5	6	4
7	2	Rangers	4	3	1	1.2	0.5	3	1	0	5	2	10
8	4	Dundee	3	2	1	1.0	1.0	1	0	2	3	3	3
9	6	St Johnstone	3	2	1	0.7	1.3	0	1	2	2	4	1
10	11	Falkirk	4	3	1	0.8	1.0	0	3	1	3	4	3
11	12	Kilmarnock	3	2	1	1.3	1.3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	5	St Mirren	3	3	0	1.0	0.3	2	0	1	3	1	6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.