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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Alverca 3–1 Casa Pia

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.96 fair 2.20
Draw 3.30 fair 3.94
Away 3.90 fair 3.43
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Alverca Casa Pia
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 11
10 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (254 league matches this season so far).
Result Alverca to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
AlvercaDrawCasa Pia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Alverca before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.04scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 29:46
Casa Pia before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
1.00scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 27:49
Alverca all matches all matches Casa Pia

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 1.00
1.64 Goals conceded 1.81
2.68 Total goals 2.81
9.93 Shots 8.44
3.61 Shots on target 2.74
13.96 Shots faced 14.59
4.04 Corners 3.52
4.32 Corners against 6.22
12.36 Fouls 16.00
2.29 Yellow cards 2.89
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

29% Wins 19%
29% Draws 37%
43% Losses 44%
96% Over 0.5 goals 89%
82% Over 1.5 goals 85%
54% Over 2.5 goals 48%
25% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
57% Both teams scored 48%
21% Clean sheets 19%
25% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 26%
46% Draws 33%
32% Losses 41%
68% Over 0.5 goals 70%
39% Over 1.5 goals 37%
11% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca all matches
Casa Pia all matches
Alverca before this match, at home
1.36points / match
0.86scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:20
Casa Pia before this match, away
0.86points / match
0.71scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 10:26
Alverca at home away Casa Pia

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 0.71
1.43 Goals conceded 1.86
2.29 Total goals 2.57
11.00 Shots 9.07
3.71 Shots on target 2.79
12.64 Shots faced 15.07
4.29 Corners 4.14
2.64 Corners against 6.14
13.07 Fouls 15.07
1.93 Yellow cards 2.93
0.21 1st-half goals scored 0.21
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

36% Wins 21%
29% Draws 21%
36% Losses 57%
93% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 79%
43% Over 2.5 goals 57%
14% Over 3.5 goals 36%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 29%
36% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 14%
36% Draws 36%
43% Losses 50%
64% Over 0.5 goals 71%
21% Over 1.5 goals 36%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca at home
Casa Pia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Rio Ave – Alverca 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
22.03.26 Alverca – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–1) 10.005.001.27 1.62 2.25
14.03.26 Gil Vicente – Alverca 2–2 (1–0) 1.663.705.25 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
28.02.26 Guimaraes – Alverca 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.604.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Alverca – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.822.752.70 2.70 1.44
13.02.26 Tondela – Alverca 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.35 1.57
08.02.26 Benfica – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.156.2517.00 1.65 2.20
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
25.01.26 Sp Braga – Alverca 5–0 (4–0) 1.374.508.00 1.85 1.95

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Casa Pia – Benfica 1–1 (0–0) 13.006.001.19 1.53 2.40
20.03.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 2.403.103.10 2.20 1.65
07.03.26 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.804.50 1.73 2.08
01.03.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.50
23.02.26 Famalicao – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
14.02.26 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–2 (3–2) 2.653.202.55 2.20 1.65
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
23.01.26 Casa Pia – AVS 3–3 (1–0) 2.013.104.00 2.40 1.53
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35

Alverca at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Alverca – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–1) 10.005.001.27 1.62 2.25
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
21.02.26 Alverca – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.822.752.70 2.70 1.44
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
17.01.26 Alverca – Moreirense 2–1 (0–0) 2.702.822.75 2.60 1.48
04.01.26 Alverca – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.70
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57

Casa Pia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.03.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 2.403.103.10 2.20 1.65
07.03.26 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.804.50 1.73 2.08
23.02.26 Famalicao – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
04.01.26 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.323.053.05 2.40 1.53
21.12.25 Tondela – Casa Pia 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62
06.12.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.055.00 2.60 1.48
09.11.25 Benfica – Casa Pia 2–2 (1–0) 1.137.5013.00 1.53 2.40
26.10.25 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 1.394.507.00 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Alverca winsDrawsCasa Pia wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25P1 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 28 23 4 1 56 13 +43 73 WWDWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 28 22 5 1 73 17 +56 71 WWDWWW
3 Benfica 28 19 9 0 59 18 +41 66 WWDWWD
4 Sp Braga 27 14 7 6 54 27 +27 49 LWWDLW
5 Famalicao 29 13 8 8 36 25 +11 47 DWWWDD
6 Gil Vicente 28 12 9 7 42 28 +14 45 LLDDLW
7 Estoril 28 10 7 11 50 47 +3 37 WLDWLL
8 Guimaraes 29 10 6 13 35 43 -8 36 DLLLWD
9 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32 41 -9 36 DDLLLD
10 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31 48 -17 33 DWWWLW
11 Alverca 28 8 8 12 29 46 -17 32 DDDDLW
12 Arouca 28 9 5 14 37 57 -20 32 WLLLWW
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26 37 -11 28 DWWWLL
14 Estrela 29 6 10 13 33 48 -15 28 DDLWLL
15 Nacional 28 6 7 15 31 39 -8 25 LLDLLW
16 Casa Pia 27 5 10 12 27 49 -22 25 WLDDLD
17 Tondela 27 4 8 15 19 44 -25 20 DWDLDL
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19 62 -43 12 DDLDLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 14 11 3 0 29 6 +23 36 WDWWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 13 11 1 1 40 6 +34 34 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 14 9 5 0 33 10 +23 32 WWWWDW
4 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27 WWWWWD
5 Gil Vicente 14 8 3 3 25 12 +13 27 WWWLDW
6 Guimaraes 15 7 4 4 24 18 +6 25 LWWDLW
7 Sp Braga 13 7 3 3 28 13 +15 24 DWWWDL
8 Estoril 14 6 5 3 27 19 +8 23 WWDWDL
9 Moreirense 14 6 2 6 16 19 -3 20 WLLDLL
10 Alverca 14 5 4 5 12 20 -8 19 WWDDDL
11 Arouca 14 5 3 6 21 27 -6 18 DLWWLW
12 Estrela 15 4 5 6 20 22 -2 17 LWLDWL
13 Santa Clara 15 5 2 8 13 16 -3 17 LLLWWL
14 Nacional 14 4 2 8 19 21 -2 14 WDLLLW
15 Casa Pia 13 2 7 4 17 23 -6 13 DDWWDD
16 Rio Ave 14 3 4 7 14 23 -9 13 LLLDWL
17 Tondela 14 1 6 7 9 17 -8 9 LDDDLD
18 AVS 15 1 5 9 11 25 -14 8 LLWDLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 15 11 4 0 33 11 +22 37 WDWDWW
2 Porto 14 12 1 1 27 7 +20 37 WWLWDW
3 Benfica 14 10 4 0 26 8 +18 34 WDWWWD
4 Sp Braga 14 7 4 3 26 14 +12 25 DWWLWW
5 Famalicao 14 5 5 4 12 15 -3 20 WLLDWD
6 Rio Ave 15 5 5 5 17 25 -8 20 LLLWWW
7 Gil Vicente 14 4 6 4 17 16 +1 18 DLWLDL
8 Moreirense 15 4 4 7 16 22 -6 16 LLWDLD
9 Estoril 14 4 2 8 23 28 -5 14 WWLLWL
10 Arouca 14 4 2 8 16 30 -14 14 WWLLLW
11 Alverca 14 3 4 7 17 26 -9 13 LLDDDW
12 Casa Pia 14 3 3 8 10 26 -16 12 LLDLDL
13 Nacional 14 2 5 7 12 18 -6 11 LLLLDL
14 Santa Clara 14 2 5 7 13 21 -8 11 LLDDWL
15 Estrela 14 2 5 7 13 26 -13 11 LDLDLL
16 Guimaraes 14 3 2 9 11 25 -14 11 LLLLLD
17 Tondela 13 3 2 8 10 27 -17 11 LLLDWL
18 AVS 14 0 4 10 8 37 -29 4 DLLDDL

Alverca   Casa Pia

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 28 9 19 2.6 0.6 22 5 1 73 17 71 OOOOOU
2 3 Benfica 28 9 19 2.1 0.6 19 9 0 59 18 66 OOOOOU
3 4 Sp Braga 27 8 19 2.0 1.0 14 7 6 54 27 49 OOOOOU
4 7 Estoril 28 9 19 1.8 1.7 10 7 11 50 47 37 OOUUOO
5 12 Arouca 28 9 19 1.3 2.0 9 5 14 37 57 32 OOUOUO
6 10 Rio Ave 29 11 18 1.1 1.7 8 9 12 31 48 33 UUOOOU
7 18 AVS 29 12 17 0.7 2.1 1 9 19 19 62 12 UUUUOU
8 1 Porto 28 12 16 2.0 0.5 23 4 1 56 13 73 UOOOOO
9 9 Moreirense 29 14 15 1.1 1.4 10 6 13 32 41 36 UUOUUU
10 11 Alverca 28 13 15 1.0 1.6 8 8 12 29 46 32 UUUOOO
11 14 Estrela 29 14 15 1.1 1.7 6 10 13 33 48 28 UOOOUU
12 6 Gil Vicente 28 14 14 1.5 1.0 12 9 7 42 28 45 OOOOUO
13 8 Guimaraes 29 15 14 1.2 1.5 10 6 13 35 43 36 UUOOOU
14 17 Tondela 27 13 14 0.7 1.6 4 8 15 19 44 20 UUOUUO
15 15 Nacional 28 15 13 1.1 1.4 6 7 15 31 39 25 OOUUUU
16 16 Casa Pia 27 14 13 1.0 1.8 5 10 12 27 49 25 OUUUOU
17 5 Famalicao 29 18 11 1.2 0.9 13 8 8 36 25 47 UUOUOU
18 13 Santa Clara 29 19 10 0.9 1.3 7 7 15 26 37 28 OUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 3.1 0.5 11 1 1 40 6 34 OOOUOO
2 3 Benfica 14 4 10 2.4 0.7 9 5 0 33 10 32 OOOOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 13 3 10 2.2 1.0 7 3 3 28 13 24 OOOOOO
4 12 Arouca 14 4 10 1.5 1.9 5 3 6 21 27 18 OOOOOO
5 8 Guimaraes 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 7 4 4 24 18 25 UUOUOO
6 10 Rio Ave 14 5 9 1.0 1.6 3 4 7 14 23 13 UOOUOO
7 1 Porto 14 6 8 2.1 0.4 11 3 0 29 6 36 OUUOOO
8 7 Estoril 14 6 8 1.9 1.4 6 5 3 27 19 23 OOOOUO
9 9 Moreirense 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 6 2 6 16 19 20 UOOUUU
10 14 Estrela 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 6 20 22 17 OUUOOU
11 15 Nacional 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 4 2 8 19 21 14 OUUOUU
12 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27 OOUUUU
13 6 Gil Vicente 14 7 7 1.8 0.9 8 3 3 25 12 27 OOOOOO
14 18 AVS 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 11 25 8 UOOUUU
15 11 Alverca 14 8 6 0.9 1.4 5 4 5 12 20 19 UOUUUO
16 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 13 16 17 UOOUUU
17 16 Casa Pia 13 8 5 1.3 1.8 2 7 4 17 23 13 UOOOUU
18 17 Tondela 14 9 5 0.6 1.2 1 6 7 9 17 9 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 14 3 11 1.6 2.0 4 2 8 23 28 14 OOOOUO
2 18 AVS 14 4 10 0.6 2.6 0 4 10 8 37 4 OOOUUO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 15 6 9 2.2 0.7 11 4 0 33 11 37 OUOOOU
4 3 Benfica 14 5 9 1.9 0.6 10 4 0 26 8 34 UUOOOU
5 4 Sp Braga 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 7 4 3 26 14 25 OUOOOU
6 10 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 5 17 25 20 OOUUOU
7 11 Alverca 14 5 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 7 17 26 13 OOUUOO
8 12 Arouca 14 5 9 1.1 2.1 4 2 8 16 30 14 UOOOUU
9 17 Tondela 13 4 9 0.8 2.1 3 2 8 10 27 11 OUOOUO
10 1 Porto 14 6 8 1.9 0.5 12 1 1 27 7 37 UUOUOO
11 16 Casa Pia 14 6 8 0.7 1.9 3 3 8 10 26 12 OOUUUO
12 6 Gil Vicente 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 4 6 4 17 16 18 OOOOOU
13 9 Moreirense 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 16 22 16 OUOUOU
14 14 Estrela 14 7 7 0.9 1.9 2 5 7 13 26 11 OUOUOU
15 8 Guimaraes 14 9 5 0.8 1.8 3 2 9 11 25 11 OOOUOU
16 13 Santa Clara 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 13 21 11 UUUOUO
17 15 Nacional 14 9 5 0.9 1.3 2 5 7 12 18 11 OOOOUU
18 5 Famalicao 14 10 4 0.9 1.1 5 5 4 12 15 20 UOUUOO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47