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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Arouca 1–0 Nacional

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.79 fair 2.07
Draw 3.70 fair 4.10
Away 4.10 fair 3.66
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arouca Nacional
12 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
0.70 Expected goals (xG) 0.32
8 Corners 2
6 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (84 league matches this season so far).
Result Arouca to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
AroucaDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Arouca before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.33scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:7
Nacional before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
1.11scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:18
Arouca all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.11
0.78 Goals conceded 2.00
2.11 Total goals 3.11
1.28 xG created 1.09
1.28 xG allowed 1.83
11.11 Shots 10.56
3.78 Shots on target 3.22
13.89 Shots faced 15.22
3.11 Corners 4.33
5.11 Corners against 4.89
10.78 Fouls 11.89
2.89 Yellow cards 1.22
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

56% Wins 22%
22% Draws 11%
22% Losses 67%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 78%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
22% Over 3.5 goals 56%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 44%
56% Clean sheets 22%
22% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 11%
44% Draws 44%
22% Losses 44%
67% Over 0.5 goals 89%
44% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arouca all matches
Nacional all matches
Arouca before this match, at home
2.25points / match
2.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:3
Nacional before this match, away
0.25points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:8
Arouca at home away Nacional

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded 2.00
2.75 Total goals 3.00
1.32 xG created 0.74
0.94 xG allowed 2.31
12.00 Shots 8.00
5.00 Shots on target 2.75
10.00 Shots faced 18.00
4.25 Corners 3.75
3.50 Corners against 7.00
10.50 Fouls 11.50
3.25 Yellow cards 1.00
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

75% Wins 0%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
25% Draws 50%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arouca at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Alverca – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.303.50 1.85 1.95
11.10.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.95
19.09.26 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–2 (2–0) 1.197.0011.00 1.44 2.70
13.09.26 Arouca – Santa Clara 1–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.70 2.25 1.62
07.09.26 Estoril – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.85 1.95
29.08.26 Arouca – Maritimo 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.253.40 2.08 1.73
23.08.26 Porto – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.62 2.25
16.08.26 Arouca – Moreirense 4–0 (3–0) 2.013.303.70 2.10 1.70
08.08.26 Guimaraes – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 1.863.404.00 1.95 1.90
16.05.26 Arouca – Tondela 3–1 (1–0) 3.103.402.20 1.88 1.98

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.26 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 6.003.901.51 1.90 1.90
11.10.26 Rio Ave – Nacional 3–2 (1–1) 2.203.203.20 2.10 1.70
19.09.26 Nacional – Famalicao 0–4 (0–3) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.70
12.09.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–3 (0–3) 2.573.402.65 2.05 1.75
05.09.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.44 2.70
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
23.08.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.95 1.90
16.08.26 Nacional – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.653.302.55 1.93 1.93
10.08.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–2 (2–2) 1.863.254.20 2.15 1.67
16.05.26 Nacional – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05

Arouca at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.95
13.09.26 Arouca – Santa Clara 1–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.70 2.25 1.62
29.08.26 Arouca – Maritimo 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.253.40 2.08 1.73
16.08.26 Arouca – Moreirense 4–0 (3–0) 2.013.303.70 2.10 1.70
16.05.26 Arouca – Tondela 3–1 (1–0) 3.103.402.20 1.88 1.98
02.05.26 Arouca – Santa Clara 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.102.55 2.35 1.57
19.04.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 1.93 1.93
06.04.26 Arouca – Estoril 3–2 (2–2) 2.453.402.65 1.75 2.05
14.03.26 Arouca – Benfica 1–2 (1–0) 10.005.751.24 1.60 2.30
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.26 Rio Ave – Nacional 3–2 (1–1) 2.203.203.20 2.10 1.70
05.09.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.44 2.70
23.08.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.95 1.90
10.08.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–2 (2–2) 1.863.254.20 2.15 1.67
11.05.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.75
25.04.26 Tondela – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.402.40 1.95 1.90
12.04.26 Benfica – Nacional 2–0 (2–0) 1.118.0015.00 1.36 3.10
21.03.26 Famalicao – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 1.85 2.00
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arouca winsDrawsNacional wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26P1 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
20.09.25P1 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
01.02.25P1 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
25.08.24P1 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 10 0 0 25 4 +21 30 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 9 7 1 1 26 8 +18 22 WWWLWW
3 Sp Lisbon 10 6 3 1 23 11 +12 21 WDDWLW
4 Santa Clara 9 5 3 1 13 6 +7 18 DWWDWL
5 Arouca 9 5 2 2 12 7 +5 17 WDLDWW
6 Academico Viseu 9 5 2 2 13 11 +2 17 LWWWWW
7 Gil Vicente 9 4 2 3 8 7 +1 14 LLDWWL
8 Moreirense 10 4 2 4 13 17 -4 14 LWDLWW
9 Alverca 9 3 2 4 13 13 0 11 DLWWWL
10 Sp Braga 9 3 2 4 9 11 -2 11 LWDLLL
11 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 14 11 +3 10 DDDWLW
12 Estrela 10 2 4 4 15 19 -4 10 WDLLLL
13 Guimaraes 9 2 2 5 10 10 0 8 LDLDLW
14 Maritimo 9 2 2 5 9 19 -10 8 LLLDLL
15 Nacional 9 2 1 6 10 18 -8 7 LLLLLW
16 Rio Ave 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7 LLDLWL
17 Casa Pia 10 2 1 7 5 19 -14 7 DLWLWL
18 Estoril 10 0 2 8 5 19 -14 2 DLLLLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 13 2 +11 15 WWWWW
2 Benfica 4 3 1 0 9 4 +5 10 DWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 5 3 1 1 11 7 +4 10 WWWDL
4 Arouca 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9 WWLW
5 Guimaraes 5 2 2 1 7 2 +5 8 LWDDW
6 Santa Clara 5 2 2 1 8 4 +4 8 DWWDL
7 Gil Vicente 5 2 1 2 4 3 +1 7 WWLDL
8 Moreirense 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7 DLWLW
9 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6 WWLL
10 Academico Viseu 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6 LLWW
11 Nacional 5 2 0 3 6 10 -4 6 WLLLW
12 Alverca 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 DDLWL
13 Estrela 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5 DDWLL
14 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4 WDLL
15 Rio Ave 5 1 1 3 6 15 -9 4 LLDWL
16 Famalicao 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2 LDDL
17 Estoril 5 0 2 3 3 8 -5 2 DLDLL
18 Casa Pia 5 0 0 5 1 15 -14 0 LLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 12 2 +10 15 WWWWW
2 Benfica 5 4 0 1 17 4 +13 12 WWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 5 3 2 0 12 4 +8 11 DWDWW
4 Academico Viseu 5 3 2 0 9 5 +4 11 DDWWW
5 Santa Clara 4 3 1 0 5 2 +3 10 WDWW
6 Famalicao 5 2 2 1 11 4 +7 8 DLDWW
7 Arouca 5 2 2 1 4 4 0 8 WLDDW
8 Casa Pia 5 2 1 2 4 4 0 7 LLDWW
9 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 4 4 0 7 DLWW
10 Moreirense 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7 LWLDW
11 Alverca 4 2 0 2 8 7 +1 6 LLWW
12 Estrela 5 1 2 2 9 10 -1 5 DWDLL
13 Sp Braga 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 DWLDL
14 Maritimo 5 1 1 3 5 12 -7 4 WLLDL
15 Rio Ave 4 1 0 3 2 6 -4 3 LWLL
16 Nacional 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1 DLLL
17 Guimaraes 4 0 0 4 3 8 -5 0 LLLL
18 Estoril 5 0 0 5 2 11 -9 0 LLLLL

Arouca   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 9 1 8 2.9 0.9 7 1 1 26 8 22 OOOOUO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 10 3 7 2.3 1.1 6 3 1 23 11 21 UUOOOU
3 8 Moreirense 10 3 7 1.3 1.7 4 2 4 13 17 14 OOUUOO
4 12 Estrela 10 3 7 1.5 1.9 2 4 4 15 19 10 OOUUUO
5 14 Maritimo 9 2 7 1.0 2.1 2 2 5 9 19 8 OOOUOO
6 1 Porto 10 4 6 2.5 0.4 10 0 0 25 4 30 OOOOUO
7 6 Academico Viseu 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 5 2 2 13 11 17 OUOUOO
8 9 Alverca 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 4 13 13 11 UOOUOU
9 10 Sp Braga 9 4 5 1.0 1.2 3 2 4 9 11 11 OUUOOU
10 11 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.6 1.2 2 4 3 14 11 10 UOUOOO
11 15 Nacional 9 4 5 1.1 2.0 2 1 6 10 18 7 OUOOOU
12 16 Rio Ave 9 4 5 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7 OOOUOO
13 18 Estoril 10 5 5 0.5 1.9 0 2 8 5 19 2 UUOOOO
14 4 Santa Clara 9 5 4 1.4 0.7 5 3 1 13 6 18 UOOUUO
15 5 Arouca 9 5 4 1.3 0.8 5 2 2 12 7 17 OUOOUU
16 13 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 2 5 10 10 8 UUOUUO
17 17 Casa Pia 10 7 3 0.5 1.9 2 1 7 5 19 7 UOOUUU
18 7 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 0.9 0.8 4 2 3 8 7 14 UOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Lisbon 5 1 4 2.2 1.4 3 1 1 11 7 10 OOUOO
2 8 Moreirense 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7 OOOUO
3 16 Rio Ave 5 1 4 1.2 3.0 1 1 3 6 15 4 UOOOO
4 1 Porto 5 2 3 2.6 0.4 5 0 0 13 2 15 UUOOO
5 2 Benfica 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 0 9 4 10 OOOU
6 4 Santa Clara 5 2 3 1.6 0.8 2 2 1 8 4 8 OUOUO
7 5 Arouca 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9 OOOU
8 6 Academico Viseu 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6 UOOO
9 12 Estrela 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5 OOOUU
10 14 Maritimo 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4 UOOO
11 15 Nacional 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 2 0 3 6 10 6 UOOOU
12 9 Alverca 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OUOUU
13 10 Sp Braga 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6 UUOO
14 11 Famalicao 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2 OUUO
15 17 Casa Pia 5 3 2 0.2 3.0 0 0 5 1 15 0 OUOUU
16 18 Estoril 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 2 3 3 8 2 UUUOO
17 13 Guimaraes 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 2 2 1 7 2 8 UUUUO
18 7 Gil Vicente 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 2 1 2 4 3 7 UUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 5 0 5 3.4 0.8 4 0 1 17 4 12 OOOOO
2 12 Estrela 5 1 4 1.8 2.0 1 2 2 9 10 5 OOOUO
3 14 Maritimo 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 1 1 3 5 12 4 OOOUO
4 1 Porto 5 2 3 2.4 0.4 5 0 0 12 2 15 UOOOU
5 3 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 3 2 0 12 4 11 OOUOU
6 6 Academico Viseu 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 2 0 9 5 11 OOUUO
7 8 Moreirense 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7 OUOUO
8 9 Alverca 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 0 2 8 7 6 UOOO
9 10 Sp Braga 5 2 3 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OOOUU
10 11 Famalicao 5 2 3 2.2 0.8 2 2 1 11 4 8 UUOOO
11 18 Estoril 5 2 3 0.4 2.2 0 0 5 2 11 0 UOUOO
12 7 Gil Vicente 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 1 4 4 7 UOUO
13 13 Guimaraes 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 0 4 3 8 0 OUOU
14 15 Nacional 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1 OUUO
15 4 Santa Clara 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 1 0 5 2 10 UUOU
16 5 Arouca 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 1 4 4 8 UUUOU
17 16 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 3 2 6 3 UUOU
18 17 Casa Pia 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 1 2 4 4 7 UUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10